FA CUP FINAL: The Striker previews Saturday’s FA Cup Final from Wembley between MAN CITY v MAN U with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MANCHESTER CITY V MANCHESTER UNITED
3pm We have a massive FA Cup Final on BETDAQ Betting Exchange from Wembley on Saturday! Manchester City meet Manchester United with the sides never further apart. Manchester United have a huge journey ahead of them starting this summer as the new ownership finally start to make decisions; the result here will surely have an impact on Erik ten Hag’s future. Manchester City come into the game as the red-hot favourites, and with the Premier League title already in the bag it’s very hard to see past a comfortable City win here. There’s just such a huge gulf in class between the sides.
The market is very confident on a City win with Pep Guardiola’s side trading as short as 1.35 with Manchester United 9.6 and the draw is 6.0 at the time of writing. We have already had this type of price on City when they have had home advantage in the Manchester Derby, but United’s performances levels have been so poor this season it’s hard to argue with the odds. I know United have had a lot of injuries, but that has had a big impact on them at the back. They finished the Premier League season with an average xG conceded of 1.73 which was the fourth worst defensive figure. United got a huge amount of stick this season for being all over the place at the back, but things could have actually been worse – their actual goals conceded average was only 1.53.
Coming up against one of the best sides in the world, United have to produce their best performance at the back all season to have a chance here. City have an average xG created of 2.23 which is exceptionally impressive – not only that, their average xG conceded is only 0.93. While they have the second best attacking and defensive figure, when you put them together they clearly come out as the best side in the Premier League. The only positive thing to say about United’s chances here is that this squad has produced a superb performance under pressure when everyone has been giving them no chance. That’s the situation we have here really, and we have basically saw the same actions from this United squad as seasons past this year. Most times that has been negative, but they do have it in their locker to turn up here.
On paper, there’s such a gulf in class between the sides it’s hard to see past a City win here. They are levels above United. With City trading as short as 1.35, we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value. City are trading 1.81 -1.5 goals which looks nice value too – they are creating over two goals per game and United are conceding close to that figure too. In a normal game, you’d have to expect City to win by two or more goals here. The market is expecting goals here too, Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.44 which to be honest still offers a little bit of value in my opinion. I couldn’t put anyone off the City Handicap bet or a position on Overs, however I’m going to take a chance on a big win for City here. Any Other Home Win (Man City to score four or more and win) is trading 3.9 in the Correct Score market and that price is very appealing in my opinion. A fascinating Final ahead, but to me there’s a huge gulf in class between the sides and United have been all over the place at the back this season – I would be surprised if City didn’t expose that here.
The Striker Says:
One point win Any Other Home Win Correct Score at 3.9 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MciMnu
