PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews CHELSEA v NEWCASTLE and ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
CHELSEA V NEWCASTLE
2pm It’s a Super Sunday right out of the top drawer from the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this week! There’s no doubt that all eyes will be on Arsenal v Liverpool in the prime time TV slot later, but we also have three very interesting games kicking off at 2pm. With Manchester United and Spurs in action, any of those games could have been the focus but Sky Sports have opted for Chelsea v Newcastle, and I’m happy to focus on that game too. Both sides will be pleased with their start to the season, there are some red flags in the Newcastle stats, but they won’t be too unhappy with coming into this weekend sitting just inside the top of the table given they had to sell players during the summer to meet financial fair play rules – that’s never a good situation. Chelsea were the opposite – they absolutely splashed the cash leaving football fans wondering where the rules different for different clubs, but after all the new faces coming in and yet another summer change in manager, they seem to be settling into things now. Obviously Cole Palmer has been the star of the show. You can forgive them the loss to Liverpool last weekend, but the draw to Nottingham Forest prior to the International Break was bitterly disappointing.
Looking at their stats, Newcastle are a side you want to be against this season in my opinion. Their average xG created is quite low at 1.33 – that’s in the bottom seven attacking figures. They have been conceding a lot of chances though, their average xG conceded is 1.62 which is the fifth worst defensive figure in the Premier League this season. So far, they are getting away with it – their actual average goals conceded is only 1.0 but when they are conceding that volume of chances, eventually the goals will flow. Chelsea come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.78 with Newcastle 4.6 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing. Chelsea have been playing much better football compared to Newcastle this season, and with home advantage here it’s hard to get away from the 1.78 here. They had a great win midweek in Europe, and to be honest Newcastle are there for the taking in my opinion. Chelsea are confident bet to start a brilliant Sunday.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Chelsea to beat Newcastle at 1.78 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ChlNew
ARSENAL V LIVERPOOL
4.30pm The Premier League have definitely saved the best until last this weekend! Arsenal host Liverpool in the prime TV Sunday afternoon slot, and we should have a cracker here. Arne Slot has had an excellent start to life at Liverpool – he’s also made the perfect start to an incredible difficult run of fixtures for Liverpool with wins over Chelsea and RB Leipzig midweek in the Champions League. Apart from a shock loss to Nottingham Forest at Anfield, Liverpool have pretty much been faultless. Their average xG conceded this season is only 1.17 – if Slot can fix the issues they had at the back under Klopp and keep their attacking flare, then they will challenge for the title in his first season. It will be fascinating to see how they get on here against an Arsenal side that were very well fancied coming into this season. Obviously we have the 115 charges hanging over Manchester City; the general feeling was Arsenal would step in if City got a massive points deduction but now that’s probably switched to Liverpool. There’s clearly a lot at stake here mentally with a view to the rest of the season; a fascinating game awaits!
We have an open betting heat as you would expect, and Arsenal come into the game as the favourites with home advantage at 2.6 with Liverpool 3.0 and the draw is 3.45 at the time of writing. Both sides are clearly creating a lot going forward – there actually isn’t much between them on xG figures – only 0.08. Arsenal have dropped a few sloppy points this season; if you believed their fans it would be because the Refs are “out to get them” and everything goes against them. However, they are conceding a lot more chances this season. Their average xG conceded is 1.41 which is a mid-table defensive figure. Their actual goals conceded average is only 1.0 per game, so things could actually be worse for Arsenal. The 3.0 is a very tempting bet on Liverpool – I am tempted to be brave and go for it, however I’m happy with the Arsenal lay at 2.6 and having the draw on our side too. I’d have the market even more open; Arsenal bigger with the draw and Liverpool coming in a little – I believe the value play is the Arsenal lay.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Arsenal to beat Liverpool at 2.6 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ArlLiv
