FRIDAY SERIE A: The Ultra previews INTER MILAN v PARMA and ATALANTA v AC MILAN both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
INTER MILAN V PARMA
5.30pm Serie A is the focus for Friday night football on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE this week! We have a massive night ahead – the highlight of the night is definitely Atalanta v AC Milan later, but we kick off the action with the Champions Inter Milan hosting Parma. The market is fully expecting a comfortable home with here with Inter Milan trading as short as 1.21 at the time of writing. If you fancy a shock, Parma are 16.0 and the draw is 8.6. Unfortunately Inter had their game suspended at the weekend when Fiorentina’s Edoardo Bove collapsed on the pitch – that is always a terrible sight on the pitch, but the latest reports are he was ‘awake, alert and speaking to his family’ which is positive. It’s been a fascinating title race in Serie A so far this season, and that was a huge game with Fiorentina and Inter Milan going into it level on points. As things stand, Inter are four points behind Napoli at the top of the table but Inter have been playing the better football and they’ll be confident of closing that gap. Parma come into this matchday sitting in mid-table, but there are some red flags in their performance levels.
Parma have an average xG conceded of 1.64, which is the worst defensive figure in Serie A this season. While they sit in mid-table, they are actually only four points away from the relegation zone. Obviously there are a lot of sides between themselves and the bottom three, but with a defensive figure like that I wouldn’t be surprised to see them drop down the table as the season goes on. Parma have been over-performing in front of goal this season too, so if that’s stops then they could be in trouble. It’s very hard to see past a win for Inter here, and with them trading 1.21 we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value. Inter have the second best attacking and defensive figures this season, so it’s hard to knock them. With the big volume of chances Parma are conceding, I feel Inter can cover the 1.5 goal handicap and that’s worth backing at 1.58.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Inter Milan -1.5 goals to beat Parma at 1.58 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/IntPar
ATALANTA V AC MILAN
7.45pm We finish Friday night with a cracker from Serie A as Atalanta host AC Milan. What a fixture this will be, and you have to feel it’s a vital fixture for AC Milan too. They have been a little off the pace this season, and they are definitely on the backfoot in the race for European spots this season. They come into this matchday sitting in seventh, and they are already four points off Juventus ahead of them in sixth. They are nine points behind Atalanta who sit in second; AC Milan have been playing some good football, they just haven’t been getting over the line in games. They have the fourth best attacking figure, and while they aren’t in the top six on defensive figures, their average xG conceded of 1.15 isn’t bad. It’s a pretty reasonably impressive figure. Atalanta have a very similar defensive figure at 1.11, but the big difference is the attacking figures here – Atalanta have the best attacking figure in Serie A this season with an average xG created of 1.74. It’s not a surprise that Atalanta come into the game as favourites at 2.0 with AC Milan 4.0 and the draw is 3.85 at the time of writing.
It will be fascinating to see how AC Milan perform here. As I said above, they have been playing some decent football this season, but they have been coming up short against the better sides. They’ve lost to Fiorentina and Napoli recently, along with drawing with Juventus – add those results to their terrible start with no wins from their first three games, and you can see why they are a little off the pace. Atalanta have been in excellent form this season though, and I’m a little surprised that they aren’t the odds on favourites here; although they are very close at 2.0! They’ve won their last eight Serie A games so they come into this game with incredible momentum, and they’ve been banging in goals for fun while creating a lot of chances. They’ve been more solid at the back with home advantage too, and for me the 2.0 is a little too big to ignore here on the home win.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Atalanta to beat AC Milan at 2.0 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/AtaAcm
