PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews EVERTON v LIVERPOOL, CRYSTAL PALACE v MANCHESTER CITY and MANCHESTER UNITED v NOTTINGHAM FOREST all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
EVERTON V LIVERPOOL
12.30pm The Premier League fixtures keep coming thick and fast on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! After a hectic full midweek fixture list with plenty of drama, we roll straight into another massive weekend. We kick the weekend off with the Merseyside Derby, and while the gulf in class in this fixture has dramatically grown in recent years, it’s always been an entertaining game with a good atmosphere. As expected, Liverpool come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.46 with Everton 8.0 and the draw is 5.1 at the time of writing. Liverpool have been going off short prices against Everton for a while now – to be honest Everton haven’t been a force since David Moyes left – but they have been frustrating Liverpool in recent times. They won 2-0 in the last meeting here, and they picked up a draw in 2022 here. Liverpool have actually only won four of the last nine meetings, which isn’t a great record when you compared it to their expected odds of winning. As I said above, on paper there’s a huge gulf in class between the sides but rivalry games rarely work out straightforward!
Liverpool have been absolutely superb under Arne Slot this season. They dropped points for the first time in a while midweek in a dramatic 3-3 draw at Newcastle – it looked like Mo Salah had won it for them but rarely the late goal went against Liverpool. Everton record a very impressive 4-0 win over Wolves, and that broke a run of five Premier League games without a win. Although you’d expect Liverpool to get the job done here, the 1.46 doesn’t jump off the page as massive value – I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market here. Everton have had plenty of goals in their recent games; a 4-0 win and a 4-0 loss, but before that they had Under 2.5 goals land in seven of eight games. I know Liverpool have been full of goals this season, but this fixture generally doesn’t work out that way. It is often very cagey without many goals – Under 2.5 goals is trading 2.4 and I feel this offers a shade of value for a small investment.
The Striker Says:
One point win Under 2.5 goals at 2.4 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/EvrLvp
CRYSTAL PALACE V MANCHESTER CITY
3pm After a full midweek fixture list, we have a shorter than usual 3pm fixture list. Three games kick off Saturday afternoon, and the pick of them is Crystal Palace hosting Manchester City in my opinion. There has been a huge amount of drama around Manchester City and Pep Guardiola in recent weeks, and he would have been very happy to finally break the losing run with a midweek win over Nottingham Forest. Anything bar a comfortable win would have been a shock in fairness, but given they put four straight losses together in the Premier League along with all the poor Champions League results it must have been a relief! This is another game that City will be expected to win on paper, but Crystal Palace have been getting results lately. We landed a bet on them to beat Ipswich midweek away from home, but obviously Manchester City will be a totally different beast. Palace have only lost once in their last six Premier League games, and although City are trading odds on, there are plenty of willing layers because they aren’t trading at an exceptionally short price.
Manchester City are trading 1.66 with Crystal Palace 5.8 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing. While City have been taking all the headlines for the amount of points they have dropped this season, you can’t really knock their performance level. They have the best attacking figure in the Premier League – the only side with an average xG created over 2.0, and they have the best defensive figure too. The problem has been at both ends of the pitch in the sense that they haven’t been taking their chances, and they’ve been sloppy at the back too conceding more goals than they should. Obviously key players missing is effecting the balance of the side, but mistakes have been a big factor – they’ve found it hard to keep clean sheets and that has got them into trouble. Palace have been creating a decent amount of chances this season for their level, and I feel Both Teams To Score is worth a small bet at 1.79. I feel this offers marginally more value than the City win.
The Striker Says:
One point win Both Teams To Score at 1.79 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CrlMnc
MANCHESTER UNITED V NOTTINGHAM FOREST
5.30pm We finish Saturday with an intriguing fixture as Manchester United host Nottingham Forest. The Ruben Amorim show continued midweek as a lot of Manchester United fans seemed reasonably pleased with the system as they lost away to Arsenal. The reality is United just aren’t on the same level as the Top Four these days, but perhaps the fans can see what Amorim is trying to do. It is my belief that United just don’t have the quality in the squad to carry out the Amorim tactics, but it’s early days so let’s see what happens! This is a game that United should win on paper, but as always it’s been hard to trust them in recent times. Nottingham Forest have been having a very good season too – they got well beaten by Manchester City midweek but there’s no shame in that, and they come into this weekend sitting up in sixth three points ahead of Manchester United. We have a very interesting market here because I’m sure there will be some big opinions on the United price either side of the book. United come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.71 with Nottingham Forest 5.5 and the draw is 4.2 at the time of writing.
Although United took the headlines last weekend with a 4-0 win over Everton, even Amorim said after the game that Everton deserved more. They didn’t fully control the game, and it’s clearly taking time for the players to get used to the new system. I wouldn’t be in a rush to back United here at odds on – in my opinion there are plenty of better options around the Premier League markets this weekend compared to United at 1.71. It’s just hard to trust what type of performance they are going to deliver here. Forest actually have a better attacking figure compared to United this season too – but United have been better at the back. I do feel this game will be closer than the odds suggest, and I also expect plenty of action. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.83 and Both Teams To Score is 1.82 – only one tick in the difference. For me, there is marginally more value in the Both Teams To Score option in what should be an end-to-end game.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score at 1.82 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MunNfo
