FRIDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews BAYERN MUNICH v RB LEIPZIG and VERONA v AC MILAN with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BAYERN MUNICH v RB LEIPZIG
7.30pm We have a superb Friday night from Europe on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE this week! We have a huge clash from the Bundesliga as Bayern Munich host RB Leipzig, along with AC Milan in action in Serie A. We kick off the night in the Bundesliga though, and this should be a cracker. Bayern come into the game off the back of their first Bundesliga loss of the season away to Mainz, and now they gap at the top of the table is only four points with Bayer Leverkusen moving into second. I have to say I felt the title race was as good as over when it was seven points and Leverkusen were dropping a lot of points, but now the door feels slightly ajar. It’s funny how quickly things can change in football! RB Leipzig have been struggling a little this season – they still sit inside the top four but their under-lining numbers have been unimpressive, and they have been well and truly exposed in the Champions League too with six losses from six games. Bayern Munich come into the game as the red-hot favourites at 1.35 with RB Leipzig 10.0 and the draw is 6.2 at the time of writing.
I have to say I wasn’t expecting Bayern to be quite so short when I clicked into the market. I felt they would be a bigger price and I’d be backing them given limited Leipzig have looked at times but the market is confident on a home win. Bayern have an average xG created of 2.04 compared to Leipzig at 1.34 – Leipzig are actually conceding more chances than they are creating, but they have been getting away with things so far. They are over-performing at both ends of the pitch, but their average xG conceded is 1.46 and their actual figure is only 1.07. That’s quite a big difference, and I can see them dropping out of the top four as the season goes on and sides start taking their chances against them. The market is expecting goals with Over 2.5 goals trading short at 1.39 – we haven’t quite had the open game we expected when these two have met recently. I feel Bayern can cover the handicap here though; they are trading 1.86 -1.5 goals and that looks a nice position looking at the Leipzig performance levels.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Bayern Munich -1.5 goals to beat RB Leipzig at 1.86 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BayLei
VERONA v AC MILAN
7.45pm We move over to Serie A to finish Friday night and we have a very interesting market here. AC Milan have been well off the pace in the race for the European spots this season, and it will be interesting to see how they get on here away to a Verona side in the relegation battle this season. AC Milan come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.67 with Verona 5.9 and the draw is 4.3 at the time of writing. AC Milan have been really struggling to get over the line in games this season – six wins from 15 games while having the third highest attacking figure in Serie A just isn’t good enough. They have been solid at the back too; an average xG conceded of 1.17 is in the top seven defensive figures too. They haven’t been under-performing compared to their figures, but they just aren’t getting the job done. One win in their last five along with losses prior to that run against Fiorentina and Napoli leave them starting this weekend already eight points off the top five. Whatever about the Champions League, the ways things are going they could struggle for the Europa League!
This is a game that they should win on paper. Verona are just one point outside of the relegation zone starting this matchday, and that was thanks to a win last weekend over Parma who have the same amount of points as them in the relegation battle. I have to say we should have drama at both ends of the table in Serie A this season! The Verona figures make for pretty grim reading though; they have the third worst attacking figure and the second worst defensive figure. Put everything together and they are the joint-worst performing side in Serie A along with Empoli. There really isn’t anything to give confidence in Verona to be honest, and while I fully accept that AC Milan have been struggling to win games, they are playing much better football than this Verona side. I’m going to keep stakes small, but looking the under-lining numbers here, the 1.67 on AC Milan is too big to ignore.
The Ultra Says:
One point win AC Milan to beat Verona at 1.67 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/VerAcm
