DAQMAN Weds: Beverley NAP

TOUGH AT THE TOP FOR DAQMAN: Two tough races for fillies today at Salisbury and Gowran Park and a nap at Beverley for a two-year-old excelling at home alongside previous winners.

EVIDENCE FAVOURS JUSTICE

⭕ 4.30 Salisbury (Upavon Fillies Stakes) First of two strong Listed races this afternoon, this one still basking in the Arc glory of its 2020 winner, Alpinista, 12-1 SP that day. One year on, she would take six successive Group-1 events.

Beckett, Gosden, Haggas – three stables with fillies of renown in recent years – take each other on today.

Revoir (Beckett), runner-up at Newbury in the Spring to a subsequent Group-2 winner, is top-rated but Wujjood (Haggas) debuted here at Salisbury, in June and has been progressive ever since. Tom Marquand currently 4-6 and she loves the fast ground. BETDAQ 7.4.

Of the older fillies, Miss Justice, daughter of the US Triple Crown winner Justify, has reached the first two four times in a row but won just the once.

In her favour is that her win was over 1m 4f which gives William Buick options to play with in this 10-furlong test. Betdaq Betting Exchange 9.0.

It’s a cracking contest for which you can’t leave out Azaniya, going for the hat-trick, with Owen Burrows 4-8 in his last six days’ racing and Jamie Spencer 2-5 at Salisbury since 2018.

RIVER FORM RUNNING DEEP

⭕ 6.35 Gowran Park (Hurry Harriet Stakes) Once upon a time, in three years out of four, 2013, 2014 and 2016, Father O’Brien didn’t have a filly good enough to win the Hurry Harriet.

So the then king of Ballybrit – Uncle Dermot Weld – came along and won it and won it and won it!

And, though Aidan O’Brien has retaken the initiative, leading Weld 7-4 for winners of this race, his success has been entirely down to three-year-olds and a noticeable modern trend at Ballydoyle: the second-season fillies get better as they get older.

But time now for a short intake of breath: O’Brien has just two outsiders in today’s race, neither having won in their last six starts, and neither one has a top jockey booked.

The market leader is Continuite, with Colin Keane riding for Lyons, closely followed by Tarima, Chris Hayes riding for Weld.

Juddmonte’s Frankel filly Continuite needed three tries to break her maiden but, though a steadily-run affair, it was here at Gowran and was dictated from the front quite impressively.

Colin Keane picks Continuite over stablemate Madam Celeste, already a Listed winner here but now saddled with a lump of weight.

Tarima won on debut this Spring and quickly tried a Group 3 but disappointed on the soft at Navan. Easy Mover (Aidan O’Brien) has been placed twice at Listed level.

But today’s race may be dominated by Joseph O’Brien, who runs four, all in cheekpieces, of which Dancing Teapot won her maiden here.

Mojave River, Dawn Spirit and Soft Winds now wear cheekpieces. Mojave River (Dylan Browne McMonagle) won only a small race at Cork but fought back when headed to beat a useful-looking Tipperary scorer.

NAP of the day: He’s Waliim (3.15 Beverley) has been winning races on the gallops as his stablemates have won 2-3 for James Tate in the Abdullah colours. Bred for stamina so has waited for this longer 2yo test. ‘Expected’ on the debut. BETDAQ 2.86

DAQMAN’S BETS on Betdaq Betting Exchange

★ 3.15 Beverley (win 15, nap)
BET 8pts win HE’S WALIIM

4.30 Salisbury (win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 7.5pts win WUJJOOD
BET 6.25pts win MISS JUSTICE

6.35 Gowran Park (win 30 each)
BET 3.5pts win MOJAVE RIVER
BET 6pts win CONTINUITE

What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….

Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.

Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.

DAQMAN Thurs: Wincanton NAP

DAQSTATS Thurs: Leicester NAP

THE STRIKER Thurs: MANCHESTER UNITED v WEST HAM

THE ULTRA Thurs: LAZIO v AC MILAN

THE EDGE Thurs: Australia v England 2nd Ashes Test

DAQMAN DELIVERS THE OLD ONE-TWO: Daqman, who built up 71 points profit in four days last week, landed a Monday one-two to start a new week (winner and 2nd in the same race) at Kempton.

WON 4-1 ARABIAN POET (Ivatt 2nd 9-4)

WITHDRAWAL MAKES WAVES

Stay off the beach! Try Wild Waves instead. One of the favourites, Plage De Havre – ‘plage’ means beach – was seemingly pulled out of next week’s Ebor Handicap this morning.

If that’s confirmed, and the Old Newton Cup winner is out, that leaves Andrew Balding with Subsequent and Wild Waves for the £300,000 handicap.

Balding is running second in the trainers’ table on £4.3m won behind Aidan O’Brien, who is leading on £5m.

But Balding’s 132 winners total is already only 33 behind his grand total for the whole of 2024.

MIGHTY TO PROVE ALMIGHTY

⭕ 2.15 Carlisle Mighty Magnus (Michael Dods) has improved in each of his three starts, all at Ayr, and might be good enough to give away the weight against seemingly modest rivals.

He was last of six on debut in July when the good to soft ground may have counted against him but has done much better since in finishing fourth and winning well last time out in a similar small field as today when he made all the running to win by three lengths. The bare form doesn’t amount to a lot but he seems progressive and is a spot of value here on the Betdaq Betting Exchange.

Valor Spirit was heading the morning market after three solid placed efforts and might well improve for the step up in trip over a tougher circuit. He looks a bigger danger than Dacres Cross who hails from the Kevin Ryan yard (1 winner from last 29).

HOME TIME

⭕ 5.00 Carlisle I’ll stick with Michael Dods to book end the Cumbrian card as he looks to have a good chance here with Homeland who seems to have been treated fairly by the handicapper who has raised him just a pound for his win at Ripon last time out.

The drop back in trip is offset by this being a much tougher circuit and his main market rivals are not arriving in the best of form.

In fact, the biggest danger may come from sprightly 10-year-old Jewel Maker who continues to be competitive off his current mark.

BLAIZE OF GLORY

⭕ 8.40 Hamilton On a day where it seems more about keeping the powder dry Royal Blaize stands out as the day’s nap – we just need to wait until the last race of the day.

The Ewan Williams trained runner is taken to shrug off his 5lb hike for a four length Ayr win on Saturday and can strike again quickly off what now looks an absurdly lenient mark.