BULL’S-EYE! SIX-LENGTHS NAP: Daqman warned of the home reputation of a two-year-old yesterday and for the third time in four attempts landed a nap that had never raced in public. It paid 4.81 at BETDAQ XSP and won six lengths, immediately followed by a bull’s-eye bet taken at 9.0 on BETDAQ and backed in to 11-2.
YESTERDAY Overall profit 57.50
WON 11-2 MISS JUSTICE (from BETDAQ 9.0)
WON 3-1 HE’S WALIIM (nap won six lengths)
BOY RIDER WITH SPIRIT
⭕ 2.20 Salisbury Apprentice Ashley Lewis, who has ridden five winners in just 11 days’ riding in August, landed the top Northern Dancer Handicap at the Epsom Derby meeting and is my tip to be back there one day soon in the feature race.
His task today is to make up for his neck defeat on Spirit Of Breeze at Chepstow and outrun My Boy Jack, who has scored six seconds and four thirds on turf without taking the main prize.
⭕ 4.35 Salisbury Three-year-olds win this every time. With Chilli Queen withdrawn and Ghaiyaa high in the handicap now after three wins in four, I fancy Orionis.
Orionis was beaten by Chilli Queen at Ascot but had won, ridden for stamina by Tom Marquand at Windsor, and he also scored on her earlier at Ripon. Nap.
SASSY TO STRIKE ON FIRM
⭕ 6.00 Windsor Karl Burke’s form is phenomenal: 83 winners this year and currently striking at 37%.
Though surrounded by meetings nearer home, at Beverley, Doncaster, Ripon, Pontefract and Thirsk this week, he sends one down to Windsor tonight and has his riding ace Clifford Lee trek down to Berkshire with him.
That’s the more intriguing since Lee has never ridden Gloriously Sassy on a racecourse. Maybe if he had, the gelding would have doubled up on Yorkshire tracks earlier in the summer.
He was just held just half a length at Redcar on the soft after scoring on firm ground at Beverley. Betdaq Betting Exchange 7.6 taken.
FINANCER PAY-OUT AT 10.5
⭕ 8.00 Windsor LAYS LOGIC: The snag with following a horse seemingly denied a way through, is that everybody knows and the price is short next time.
if it happens more than once with the same horse you are entitled to wonder whether the animal had anything to do with his own demise.
Parole d’Oro was marked ‘not clear run repeatedly’ by the Raceform racereader in the Britannia at Royal Ascot.
Six weeks later in the Kincsem at Glorious Goodwood, he was ‘waiting for room’ but ‘no impression’ and ‘jockey said denied a clear run’. That jockey was Ryan Moore.
The red flag is that he was twice a narrow runner-up, once before these incidents in April and once in between (in July), beaten less than a length in total.
He’s only ever won his maiden. It was 7f not today’s 1m 2f and now he is in a race three-year-olds have yet to win!
Mr Swivell and Silent Age are likely to set a strong pace. That should suit July Course (1m 4f) winner, Claymore, and the well-handicapped class-2 scorer, Financer. Both should be spot on after runs last week.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 8.1 Claymore, 11.0 Financer
DAQMAN’S BETS on Betdaq Betting Exchange
2.20 Salisbury (win 12)
BET 3pts win SPIRIT OF BREEZE
★ 4.35 Salisbury (win 20, nap)
BET 12pts win ORIONIS
6.00 Windsor (win 20)
BET 3pts win GLORIOUSLY SASSY
8.00 Windsor (win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 7pts win CLAYMORE
BET 5pts win FINANCER
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
WON 4-1 ARABIAN POET (Ivatt 2nd 9-4)
WITHDRAWAL MAKES WAVES
Stay off the beach! Try Wild Waves instead. One of the favourites, Plage De Havre – ‘plage’ means beach – was seemingly pulled out of next week’s Ebor Handicap this morning.
If that’s confirmed, and the Old Newton Cup winner is out, that leaves Andrew Balding with Subsequent and Wild Waves for the £300,000 handicap.
Balding is running second in the trainers’ table on £4.3m won behind Aidan O’Brien, who is leading on £5m.
But Balding’s 132 winners total is already only 33 behind his grand total for the whole of 2024.
MIGHTY TO PROVE ALMIGHTY
⭕ 2.15 Carlisle Mighty Magnus (Michael Dods) has improved in each of his three starts, all at Ayr, and might be good enough to give away the weight against seemingly modest rivals.
He was last of six on debut in July when the good to soft ground may have counted against him but has done much better since in finishing fourth and winning well last time out in a similar small field as today when he made all the running to win by three lengths. The bare form doesn’t amount to a lot but he seems progressive and is a spot of value here on the Betdaq Betting Exchange.
Valor Spirit was heading the morning market after three solid placed efforts and might well improve for the step up in trip over a tougher circuit. He looks a bigger danger than Dacres Cross who hails from the Kevin Ryan yard (1 winner from last 29).
HOME TIME
⭕ 5.00 Carlisle I’ll stick with Michael Dods to book end the Cumbrian card as he looks to have a good chance here with Homeland who seems to have been treated fairly by the handicapper who has raised him just a pound for his win at Ripon last time out.
The drop back in trip is offset by this being a much tougher circuit and his main market rivals are not arriving in the best of form.
In fact, the biggest danger may come from sprightly 10-year-old Jewel Maker who continues to be competitive off his current mark.
BLAIZE OF GLORY
⭕ 8.40 Hamilton On a day where it seems more about keeping the powder dry Royal Blaize stands out as the day’s nap – we just need to wait until the last race of the day.
The Ewan Williams trained runner is taken to shrug off his 5lb hike for a four length Ayr win on Saturday and can strike again quickly off what now looks an absurdly lenient mark.
DAQMAN’S BETS on Betdaq Betting Exchange
2.15 Carlisle (win 10)
BET 3.3pts win MIGHTY MAGNUS
5.00 Carlisle (win 10)
BET 2.0pts win HOMELAND
★ 8.40 Hamilton (win 10, nap)
BET 9.5pts win ROYAL BLAIZE
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
