PREMIER LEAGUE FRIDAY: The Striker previews BOURNEMOUTH v MANCHESTER UNITED with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BOURNEMOUTH V MANCHESTER UNITED
8pm We kick off the Premier League weekend with a fantastic Friday Night Football game on Betdaq Betting Exchange! Bournemouth host Manchester United, and hopefully we see as much drama as we did when the sides met earlier in the season for the remarkable 4-4 draw at Old Trafford back in December. After all the drama United went through with Ruben Amorim, you can now say that they are having a good season. They sit in third after a massive win last weekend against Aston Villa – things are looking rosy for Michael Carrick getting into the Champions League again with Liverpool and Chelsea also dropping points.
That win over Villa made it five wins from five at Old Trafford under Carrick. The feel good factor continues at Old Trafford under him, and the numbers back it up. Their average xG created of 1.78 is still the best attacking figure in the Premier League, and their average xG conceded of 1.28 keeps them well inside the top four defensively too. That being said, United did have the best attacking figure when Amorim was there as well. United’s away form has actually been solid for most of the season too, with the Newcastle loss a blip, and while this will be a good test for United, it’s no surprise that they come into the game as the favourites.
United are trading 2.22 with Bournemouth 3.35 and the draw is 3.9 at the time of writing. While the under-lining numbers haven’t changed much for United – Carrick has obviously given a lot of confidence to the side. When Michael Carrick took over at Old Trafford in January, it looked unlikely United would be Top Four – they were 11 points behind Villa. Two months on and the picture has changed dramatically. Bruno Fernandes is producing the form of his life, and this squad is bursting with confidence. The work Sky Sports Monday Night Football did on Bruno was incredible showing how many chances he’s created this season, and how far ahead of everyone else he is.
Obviously everything is going well for United, but Bournemouth away is no easy task. There’s a reason why they aren’t odds on. Their average xG created of 1.58 is the sixth best attacking figure in the Premier League, and their average xG conceded of 1.49 is an OK enough figure, but obviously where the problem lies. The underlying numbers tell the story of a side that has been more than decent this season in attack, and yet the results have been frustratingly flat because they’ve been sloppy at the back. Their games were the most entertaining in the Premier League up until recently – Under 2.5 goals has actually collected in their last four Premier League games, with three 0-0’s! Very un-Bournemouth like – usually their games are carnage! They are unbeaten in ten though.
There are pros and cons with both sides here – and I suppose you could say the same about the goals market. Apart from Bournemouth’s recent games, you’d be all over the Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.59 but the last few games would worry you. United have a huge amount of positives this season, and while a sloppy mistake is never far away with this squad, the 2.22 does look a shade big to me. They are playing some excellent football, and while I’m happy to keep stakes reasonably small, I do feel the 2.22 is too big to ignore.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Manchester United to beat Bournemouth at 2.22 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLBoMu
