PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: The Striker previews BRIGHTON v LIVERPOOL, EVERTON v CHELSEA and LEEDS v BRENTFORD all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BRIGHTON V LIVERPOOL
12.30pm Another wonderful Saturday in the Premier League on Betdaq Betting Exchange! We have three absolutely fascinating markets and we kick it off with Brighton hosting Liverpool at the Amex. Liverpool were absolutely magnificent on Wednesday night. The manner in which Arne Slot’s side destroyed Galatasaray 4-0 at Anfield to progress to the Champions League Quarter-Finals was up there with the best Liverpool have looked all season. Mo Salah’s sensational strike – his 50th Champions League goal – was the cherry on the cake of a dominant European performance. Now they need to start getting some Premier League wins and secure a Champions League spot for next season. They come into the weekend sitting in fifth, but there will be five Champions League spots for the Premier League this season, but they only have a one point advantage over Chelsea. Liverpool’s form in the Premier League has been inconsistent to say the least – they drew 1-1 with Tottenham at Anfield last weekend in a result that once again highlighted how they have been sloppy at the back, and also sloppy with their chances up front too. Their average xG created of 1.76 is the second best attacking figure in the Premier League, but they haven’t been converting all those chances.
Liverpool come into this game as the favourites at 2.34 with Brighton 3.2 and the draw is 3.75 at the time of writing. The question surrounding Liverpool in the league all season has been their inconsistency. However, the best way to describe Brighton is lacklustre – obviously Liverpool haven’t been getting the results they have deserved, but at least they are playing good football and creating chances. Brighton have had a season that mirrors the word lacklustre. Their average xG created of 1.49 is reasonable, the eighth best attacking figure in the league, but they have sat in the lower half for most of the campaign having threatened the European spots in recent years. Their average xG conceded of 1.38 is mid-table too. They aren’t converting all their chances either, a very similar situation to Liverpool. When this Liverpool side clicks, they are genuinely hard to stop – I feel Brighton will give them chances here and the 2.34 looks on the big side in my opinion. It’s hard to have a very confident opinion on Overs given both sides haven’t been converting their chances, but we should have an entertaining game. I do feel Liverpool is the value call though.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Liverpool to beat Brighton at 2.34 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.com/
EVERTON V CHELSEA
5.30pm Next we have Everton hosting Chelsea, and another very interesting market here. Once again, this is a big game that will have an impact on the race for Champions League spots. That’s something Chelsea have to focus on too – the dressing room must be in a dark place after being dismantled 3-0 by PSG at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday – dumped out 8-2 on aggregate and their Champions League season over. Liam Rosenior has come under a little pressure in the past week; in between the PSG losses – which were obviously heavy and embarrassing – they lost 0-1 to Newcastle at home, and that left them with only one win from five Premier League games. As I said above, the Premier League will get five Champions League spots this season, but they come into the weekend sitting down in sixth! The underlying numbers for Chelsea are still impressive on paper. Their average xG created of 1.61 is the fifth best attacking figure in the Premier League, and their average xG conceded of 1.28 is solid enough – matching Manchester United and putting them in the top five defensively. They just haven’t been getting results though; and one wonders has the new manager bounce been and gone with this squad.
Everton are not to be taken lightly. Their average xG created of 1.29 is bang average – that’s actually in the bottom six attacking figures in the Premier League – but they have been pretty solid with home advantage since David Moyes returned. They grind out a lot of results in classic Moyes fashion. Their average xG conceded of 1.52 tells you they can be got at, but morale must be low at Chelsea at the moment. I feel like this market will have some big opinions – Chelsea come into the game as the favourites at 2.2 with Everton 3.55 and the draw is 3.65 at the time of writing. Big European nights have a habit of either galvanising a squad or leaving them flat the following weekend – but the manner of that PSG exit will surely hurt Chelsea. I wouldn’t be rushing to take the 2.2 on the away win here; granted there aren’t a huge number of positives with Everton this season. I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market here, and I do feel we’ll see goals here. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.89 and Both Teams To Score is 1.73. I couldn’t put anyone off either bet, but the Overs offers marginally more value.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.89 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.com/
LEEDS V BRENTFORD
8pm We round off Saturday’s Premier League action with Leeds hosting Brentford. This is another interesting market – another very competitive affair! It’s actually the most open market of the day – Leeds come into the game as the favourites at 2.56 with Brentford 3.0 and the draw is 3.55 at the time of writing. These two started the season in the relegation discussion, but they can both be very happy with the season so far. Leeds came back from the Championship and have been a solid if unspectacular presence. Their average xG created of 1.37 is a decent enough mid-table figure, and their average xG conceded of 1.42 is similarly mid-table standard. Keith Andrews has done an incredible job at Brentford this season – they sit seventh coming into the weekend and have genuine ambitions of European football. However, looking at the underlying numbers you’d be mad not to see the red flags. Their average xG created of 1.27 is the fifth worst attacking figure in the Premier League, and their average xG conceded of 1.47 is mid-table – they are massively over-performing their numbers. One wonders are results starting to fall in line with their performance levels; drew 2-2 with Wolves last Monday in a game they were odds on for with home advantage, and prior to that a 0-0 at Bournemouth.
We have seen all season that results have to catch up with performance levels eventually for Brentford – we are seeing that with Aston Villa in recent weeks – and there aren’t many positives with taking the 3.0 on Brentford here in my opinion. I’m happy to actually stay out of the match odds market here. Both sides have the defensive figures of teams that concede goals – this feels very much like a goals game. Brentford can score, Leeds can score, and neither side has been particularly tight at the back all season. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.95 and the Both Teams To Score is 1.75. I couldn’t put anyone off either bet – I would be surprised if we didn’t have an open and entertaining game. On balance, I feel the 1.95 on offers cracking value on Over 2.5 goals and I’m happy to have a confident bet to finish what should be a fascinating Saturday!
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.com/
