11/2 WINNER FOR DAQMAN: After a sequence of narrow defeats (including Ingleby Archie 3/1 beaten a nose yesterday) Daqman fired home 11/2 WINNER Mwafaq for a WIN 20 return at Hamilton and a 7.8 point profit on the day.
DAY-BY-DAY STATS NEXT WEEK: Every day this week, Daqman checks out the turnkey stats for Royal Ascot seven days in advance. Today focuses on next Thursday’s races, with checks on best races for favorites or lays, the top trainers and best stalls positions.
KEY RACES AT ROYAL ASCOT
THURSDAY: TRAINERS
3.40 (Ribblesdale Stakes) Aidan O’Brien 6, Team Gosden 5, Saeed Bin Suroor 5
4.20 (Gold Cup) Aidan O’Brien 9, Saeed Bin Suroor 5
AGE
4.20 (Gold Cup) Only three winners aged seven and over (in 1929 but more recently Yeats 2008-9 and last year Trawlerman)
FAVOURITES
4.20 (Gold Cup): 8 out of 12 (including one joint)
STALLS
3.05 (King George V Handicap) 14 out of 16 winners had a double-figure draw
5.00 (Britannia Stakes) 14 winners out of 16 from double-figure stalls
LAYS
2.30 (Norfolk Stakes) Only one winning favourite (last year), going back 17 years.
3.05 (King George V Handicap) First outright favourite last year in 16 years (two joint)
5.00 (Britannia Stakes) Just one winning favourite in 11 years.
DAME TO SHADE IT
⭕ 4.40 Newbury This should be a benefit for the Gosdens, though not necessarily in the order that the Betdaq Betting Exchange might suggest.
Miss Scott reappears (under a penalty) after her smooth Leicester win 262 days ago and is clearly a nice prospect but in receipt of 7lb stable companion Shady Dame already has better form in the book – although has a similar lengthy absence to overcome.
With long term absentees it often helps to look at the market but in this case BOTH runners have been positive in morning trade!
Miss Scott beat Sydney Rock at Leicester but that one hasn’t run again since – however the third, Kaori, did nothing to advertise the form when last of six at Lingfield earlier this month.
In contrast, Shady Dame has been pitched in at a much deeper level. She was a promising runner-up in a class 2 at Newbury on debut and then finished sixth in the Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes at Newmarket.
Putting the form and prices side by side Shady Dame is taken to shade it.
NOT A MYTHICAL NAP
⭕ 5.15 Newbury It could well be soft ground by the time this 1m 4f handicap is run. It’s good to soft pre-racing but plenty of further rain is expected to fall.
Conditions should suit the experienced Mythical Bay who faced soft on debut at Bath. He has gone on to run well both on turf and the all-weather – notably at Chester in May when he chased home Magnetude who made all to win a class 3.
This class 4 looks easier and he should be able to outclass both Barrister (handicap debutant who has been soundly beaten on last two starts) and Irish raider Honouramongthieves.
BALLY WHO?
⭕ 7.00 Leopardstown (Ballycorus Stakes Group 3) British raider Native Warrior who ran inexplicably poorly when seventh of eight in a Listed race at Naas last time out looks very short to bounce back.
I’m just not sure he’s at the same level of form that saw him win back to back races at Ascot last season and prefer to take a chance at much bigger odds with East Hampton (big run when runner-up in Listed Gladness Stakes last time out) and Henry De Bromhead’s filly Wannabe Royal who popped up at 33/1 to win a Listed race at Naas last month.
DAQMAN’S BETS
on Betdaq Betting Exchange
4.40 Newbury (win 10)
BET 3.3pts win SHADY DAME
★ 5.15 Newbury (win 10, nap)
BET 7.1pts win MYTHICAL BAY
7.00 Leopardstown (both win 10)
BET 1.5pts win EAST HAMPTON
BET 1pts win WANNABE ROYAL
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
