WORLD CUP GROUP F: The Ultra previews SWEDEN v TUNISIA with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
🏆 World Cup 2026 🏆
🇸🇪 Sweden v Tunisia 🇹🇳
3am (Monday) Group F continues in the small hours of Monday morning UK time in Monterrey as Sweden meet Tunisia on WORLD CUP 2026 Betdaq Betting Exchange! . I said in my Group F preview that this fixture is every bit as crucial as the Netherlands v Japan opener that is played before it – with those two sides still to come for both of these sides, neither can really afford to leave Monterrey empty handed if they are serious about getting out of this Group. Sweden in particular need to win this game; drop points here and the Netherlands and Japan double header becomes a very difficult ask. Sweden come into the game as the marginal odds on favourites at 1.96 with Tunisia 4.6 and the draw is 3.55 at the time of writing.
Sweden’s qualification story is one of the most theatrical of any side at this entire tournament. They were a disaster in their UEFA qualifying Group – finishing bottom with just two points, no wins, and only four goals scored against Switzerland, Kosovo and Slovenia – and it looked for all the world like they wouldn’t be here. Jon Dahl Tomasson was sacked, Graham Potter arrived in October, and their escape route came via the Nations League, where winning their group had granted them a playoff berth. Potter steadied the ship and guided them through the playoffs in March with wins over Ukraine and Poland, Viktor Gyokeres scoring a last-minute winner against Poland to seal qualification in the most dramatic fashion. The attacking talent in this squad is genuinely elite: Gyokeres has had an excellent first season at Arsenal, Alexander Isak of Liverpool provides another top class option despite an injury-hit campaign, and Anthony Elanga of Newcastle is superb too.
Tunisia’s qualifying journey could not have been more different – they qualified without conceding a single goal! They topped CAF Group H with 28 points from a possible 30, nine wins and a draw across ten matches, showing the defensive discipline and organisation that has defined their recent international campaigns. However, a disappointing Africa Cup of Nations followed – they were eliminated in the Last 16 by Mali. Obviously qualifying opposition was reasonably limited; it’s actually hard to know what to expect from them. You could say the same about Sweden too though given their journey! The big concern for Tunisia is recent form: that famous defence has suddenly sprung a leak, beaten 5-0 by Belgium for example probably highlights that against decent opposition they are exposed.
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Whether or not Sweden will be good enough to take advantage of that is the big question here. However, Graham Potter is an exceptionally good manager – I know things didn’t work out at Chelsea but he was highly sought after prior to that gig. Tunisia will set their stall out here to frustrate Sweden and nick a result. Under 2.5 goals is trading 1.7 and that’s probably a reflection of what to expect here; a tight and cagey affair with Sweden likely to grind out a win. There is a real gulf in attacking quality between these sides, Sweden know they have to win, and I think Potter’s side have far too much for a Tunisia team that is quite limited. I wouldn’t put anyone off Under 2.5 goals at 1.7, but Sweden at 1.96 offer slightly more value in my opinion.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Sweden to beat Tunisia at 1.96 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WCSwTu
