115 POINTS PROFIT FROM HAUL OF EIGHT WINNING BETS: Saturday-king Daqman was in sensational form yesterday with a total of eight winning bets: his nap, three more big-race winners, and three doubles and a treble in his Daq Multiples yankee, netting a total of 115 points profit.
HUGE BETDAQ VALUE AT 14.5 AND 9.4: His winnings included massive BETDAQ big-race value from 14.5 in to 8-1 SP and from 9.4 in to 13-2. The sequence of race-by-race big-hitters in time order was:
WON 13-2 BATTLE GROUP (Long Distance Hurdle, 9.4 on BETDAQ)
WON 1-1 SECRET GESTURE (Lingfield Oaks Trial) first leg of his yankee, with Nevis, Main Sequence and Salutation.
WON 4-9 NEVIS (Lingfield Derby Trial): Runaway winner Nevis was his nap, a short price because of a non-runner.
WON 8-1 BARIZAN (Swinton Hurdle, 14.5 on BETDAQ)
WON 4-1 LILY’S ANGEL (Chartwell Fillies’ Stakes)
WON 11-8 SALUTATION completes three doubles and a treble in his yankee (the fourth horse was third). It was his second winning yankee of the week, following four out of four on Monday. He made 137 points profit over Monday and Tuesday.
Two Classics and two Classic trials. Fraught with danger. But you have to bet on what you’re given: the rest of the cards are jumpers and a Longchamp sprint, though that sprint could win a place in my heart!
2.08 Longchamp (French 2,000 Guineas) Remember how I listed the winners by stall at Chester: 3, 4, 1, 5, 9, 9, 7, 1, 5. Well, that’s not Chester: it’s the result by stall of nine of the last 10 runnings of this French Classic, the Poule d’Essai Des Poulains.
That puts the French star – Intello in 17 – and the English challengers, Richard Hannon’s Olympic Glory (in 12) and Havana Gold (next door in 11), right up against it in an ironic twist to the Hannon fortunes in this race.
His ace miler Dick Turpin, saddled from the favoured stall 1, was robbed of the prize half a length by Lope De Vega in 2010, when ‘Lope’ loped from the only winning high stall (15) in the decade. How unlucky can you get?
Well, you can be certain sure that there will be half a dozen hard-luck stories from the Longchamp high draw today.
Olivier Peslier has jumped ship off the unbeaten Intello to take the low-drawn Anodin, despite that one needing blinkers first time to get off the mark over today’s CD in April.
The Ballydoyle hope, Gale Force Ten, has stall 5, but has borrowed Ruler Of The World’s cheekpieces, so another needing aids.
By Oasis Dream (stallion’s stamina index 7.4), he looks bred for sprinting and, indeed, has entries in the July Cup and the Kings Stand Stakes.
Two others low drawn, Bright Strike and Morandi, are also beyond the pale of the usual stamina indices required to win this; My Approach is a maiden; US Law looks exposed and Lion d’Anvers is well held by Morandi on form.
It leaves me relying on Style Vendome (holds Princedargent), who completed a four-timer in the Prix Djebel, the top French Guineas trial.
Best outsider may be the improver Gengis from the worst draw of all in 18. If any one horse can come round the field, Gengis can. He put in a last-to-first run in the Prix Fontainebleau to beat Morandi and US Law: 19.5 on BETDAQ this morning.
2.40 Longchamp (French 1,000 Guineas) Unlucky with Intello, Andre Fabre has a perfect draw for Esoterique in 6 for this Poule d’Essai Des Pouliches.
Endowed with a 10.6 stallion-stamina index, Esoterique slammed the Marcel Boussac (fillies’ Criterium) winner Silasol in a Group 3 over 1m 1f last month and, with no doubts about her engine, you can expect to see her stay clear of any trouble and take this on the way to the French Oaks at Chantilly, for which she is already regarded as favourite.
Topaze Blanche, pipped a head by Silasol in the Criterium, finished well in third in another top trial for today, the Prix De La Grotte, but was a head behind Tasaday.
Both now have double-figure stalls to overcome, as does the winner that day, Kenhope, who probably beat Topaz and Silasol on fitness. They are all of a heap and, for me, the Grotte only serves to show the superiority of Esoterique.
Alterite returned with a Listed win to launch her second season: she was two heads behind the winner, third in that Silasol Criterium. She has stamina to burn and, while she should keep a good position from stall 2, and benefit from a fast-run race, the ground may not be soft enough to bring that stamina into play.
If you could take the form literally, you’d go all in on Flotilla, yet another who ran in that Criterium (fourth) but stakes her claim as winner of the Breeders Cup juvenile on firm ground, with Newmarket 1,000 winner, Sky Lantern, behind. Well drawn today but winners of that American race don’t have great second seasons.
The outsider for this one is stamina-laden Cocktail Queen (stall 8), close up to Tasaday last season, and ready now after a quiet reappearance, and with Jamie Spencer riding out of his skin just now: 43.0 on BETDAQ.
3.40 Longchamp (Prix De Saint-Georges) The English handicapper was so impressed with Place In My Heart at Bath, first time for Clive Cox, that he lumped a stone on to her rating.
George Baker, who used to train her, opposes with Humidor, as the Brits go for a hat-trick in this, following Inxile and Beyond Desire.
Young horses are overdue a win– they used to take it all the time – and she may have the speed to foil Maarek, best over 6f and giving away 12lb.
At the difference in offers – 8.2 Place In My Heart against 3.5 Maarek – I’m on her side, with Gerard Mosse to help. Follow a filly in form, eh!
3.25 Leopardstown (1,000 Guineas Trial) Three winners in a row of this race (2009-11) didn’t win again and Yellow Rosebud, last year’s scorer, has won only a Group 3 on heavy.
Dermot Weld’s recent score in this race is 13101 and Rawaaq has already won the April trial over 7f here.
Market leader as I write, We’ll Go Walking, couldn’t be more different: Rawaaq is by Invincible Spirit, who would be thought of as a sprint sire if he hadn’t got champion miler Moonlight Cloud and French Derby winner, Lawman.
We’ll Go Walking, on the other hand, won a 1m 4f maiden on her debut and had to make her stamina count from the front over 9f on the soft on the last day.
Dropped back again here, she must surely be asked to dominate a second time but with the ground dried considerably.
Yet again, Aidan O’Brien reaches for the aids on a Classic three-year-old this season, keeping a hood on Just Pretending after it worked well at Navan. Will it do the trick again?
3.55 Leopardstown (Derby Trial) Ballydoyle has every chance of a ninth success in this in 13 seasons via Battle Of Marengo, as a CD winner and successful on both good and heavy surfaces, a mark of quality.
But there is a strong danger in Loch Garman, if he has trained on. A Jim Bolger Teofilo out of a Giant’s Causeway mare, he could get an almighty boost if either US Law or Kenhope wins the French 2,000 Guineas.
Loch Garman beat US Law in the Saint-cloud Criterium after that one had won the Thomas Bryon from Kenhope, whose back-to-back wins this year have included one of the best tests for today at Longchamp, the Prix De La Grotte.
Battle Of Marengo’s form has been franked by the runner-up to him in the Ballysax, Sugar Boy, winning the Sandown Classic Trial, but the Sandown runner-up was another O’Brien colt and trumping your own ace doesn’t win any more from the pot.
Ballydoyle have made a clean sweep of the trials so far this week but another day another race: it’s all to play for. Battle Of Marengo might win a street but, at 5.2 against in the BETDAQ orange in a seemingly two-horse race, the value is with Loch Garman until the battle is won.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 4.7pts win STYLE VENDOME and 1pt win GENGIS (2.08 Longchamp)
BET 6.6pts win ESOTERIQUE and 0.4pts win COCKTAIL QUEEN (2.40 Longchamp)
BET 8.6pts win (nap) RAWAAQ (3.25 Leopardstown)
BET 2.7pts win PLACE IN MY HEART (3.40 Longchamp)
BET 4.6pts win LOCH GARMAN (3.55 Leopardstown)
DAQMAN’S TARGETS: Above-average racing, of course, but I’ll be happy to get one winner, treading foreign soil. So stakes are low, to win 20 on each bet. Any one winner will just about cover the remaining stakes.
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