TORNADO WINS AT 8-1 FOR DAQMAN: Tornado Bob (WON 8-1) saved the day for Daqman yesterday when a second nap in two days was beaten in the last few yards. His last five naps are now 21122, with 11 winners in the last 18.
ROYAL ASCOT: LARGO THE KEY TO HUNT CUP: Daqman takes an ante-post look at the second day at Royal Ascot next week and finds a case for Emilio Largo in the Royal Hunt Cup at a big value 17.0 on BETDAQ this morning.
BETDAQ RACES AT KEMPTON: Today he gives last chances to Hit The Jackpot, and on the BETDAQ-sponsored evening card at Kempton, St Paul De Vence. But his nap is at Yarmouth this afternoon.
He’s the trainer for the big occasion. James Fanshawe has lost out at Royal Ascot before the meeting’s started, with Diamond Jubilee contender, Deacon Blues, having to be retired through injury.
But Team Fanshawe could still steal the diamond at Royal Ascot next week with Haydock Sprint winner Society Rock, who returned in May with success in the Duke Of York on the Knavesmire.
Five days earlier Emilio Largo had a highly promising first run for Fanshawe on the Ascot course, finishing well over 6f.
And the step up to the 7f of the Royal Hunt Cup next Wednesday has Emilio Largo 12-1 in places with bookmakers, but 17.0 big value on BETDAQ this morning.
3.45 Royal Ascot Wednesday (Prince Of Wales’s Stakes) The race became a Group 1 this century and it’s usually taken a previous Group 1 winner to win it (11 times).
The score was 7-5 to four-year-olds over five-year-olds until last season when So You Think, a champion in Australia, added this to his Irish Champion Stakes and Sandown Eclipse at the age of six.
Only Camelot (124) in Wednesday’s race has the right rating (recent parameters 121 to 125) and only he, Maxios (118), Al Kazeem (117), Dunaden (117), Hunters Light (117) and The Fugue (116) of the likely line-up are Group-1 winners.
Al Kazeem beat Camelot in one of the key races for this, the Tattersalls Gold Cup, won twice by So You Think, and it’s very much a question of whether Camelot can finally return to his best after major colic surgery with the improving Al Kazeem in the way.
4.20 Royal Ascot Wednesday (Royal Hunt Cup) Four-year-olds (21 wins) have dominated since 1980 (five-year-olds 8, aged six just 4).
Nine of the last 10 were officially rated 93 to 102, and seven out of 10 had had just one or two previous races in their Hunt Cup winning season.
Those who best fit the stats are David Livingston, Tandem, Emilio Largo, Fury, Excellent Guest and Burkes Rock. I’ll take the 17.0 Emilio Largo as my first position on the race.
TODAY’S RACING: It’s last-chance saloon for me with Hit The Jackpot (2.50) at Haydock and St Paul De Vence at Kempton tonight.
I had a pound on Hit The Jackpot in the Lincoln. He did nothing. But I was heartened by a good run over further, still in class 2, at Pontefract, though not by a modest effort at Ripon.
On the evidence of these three runs, the handicapper has dropped him 10lb. At 5.1 the field, nothing was much fancied this morning so I took 7.6 Hit The Jackpot, hoping the handicapper will have egg on his face.
It’s one of those days where you have to take chances with ordinary horses. And I‘m guessing that Out Do (3.40 Yarmouth) is better than we’ve seen, particularly now gelded.
Titus Gent is a bit of a bridesmaid and Tarooq hasn’t scored on turf since 2010, so the 4.5 Out Do could be nap value.
7.10 Kempton (£200 Free Bets At Betdaq Handicap) Adam Kirby for Dean Ivory on CD winner El Mirage (13.5 on BETDAQ) catches the eye but the filly has to give weight all round.
Also standing out in the orange is Jimmy Fortune for the Libertarian stable, sending down Baron Run (8.4 offers, as I write) from the frozen North for his first handicap.
Duke Cosimo’s following up a Pontefract maiden here is not Sir Michael Stoute’s usual style: it suggests that the Pivotal gelding has not gone on from there.
Smokethatthunders also seemed to go backwards between Wolver and Leicester. Saga Lout was mulish on his return at Windsor. I’ll have a pound on Baron Run.
8.10 Kempton (Commission Free 1st Month At Betdaq Handicap) I followed the Epsom plunge on St Paul De Vence in a race two grades higher than this. He didn’t seem to act on the course but is in last-chance saloon tonight, returning to the scene of his maiden win in December.
The punter with only half a brain is always on the lookout for a Sir Mark Prescott sequence horse, wanting to get in at the start, so will be wondering about Southwell winner, Alwilda.
My half-brain tried to anticipate one last night but the Prescott horse, Big Thunder (nap), lost half a length in round two of his ‘sequence’ after kicking clear. Caught on the line. Ouch!
Both Lamusawama and Masquerading are also back to the scene of their last triumph in this BETDAQ race. It’s for three-year-olds, all with potential to improve, and we have to guess which one will do so and get this trip off a decent pace, should Glorious Protector do the scalded-cat act we saw at Windsor.
Another possibility is that Glorious Protector – well bred and aimed at hot maidens last season, including one won by Telescope – won’t be caught under Jamie Spencer on his only ride of the evening. Or, contrarily, will be held up this time. It’s a tough one.
8.40 Kempton (Betdaq 1st UK Commission-Free-Everyday Handicap) I thought a cunning plan would be to take the younger horses against the older ones, also ignoring stables out of form.
But it’s a bit Baldrick, since I end up with the first two in the market, Flexible Flyer and Anya, and the high-drawn Restaurateur, and none of them looked very special in the context of the race.
Flexible Flyer is a bad starter; Anya’s wins have been on heavy ground; and Restaurateur has to show that a return to the visors will not produce the flop of his first time fitted with them last August.
In the end I opted for Ocean Legend as a winner seven times at Kempton who has been first and second on his last two AW starts at this trip.
9.10 Kempton (Winners Are Welcome At Betdaq Fillies’ Handicap) Clary makes a 350-mile round trip for this handicap debut, with Adam Kirby booked.
Olympic Jule fluffed her lines first time and can’t be guaranteed to turn around the placings with Miss Avonbridge on revised terms.
Lady Vermeer has 67 for her first handicap after being backed the last three times in four maidens, starting never better than 5-1 and including once as favourite.
That suggests that he’s been letting the side down, so I shall take a bit of Miss Avonbridge and have a just-in-case saver on Clary.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 5.7pts win (nap) OUT DO (3.40 Yarmouth)
BET 3pts win HIT THE JACKPOT (3.50 Haydock)
BET 2.7pts win BARON RUN (7.10 Kempton)
BET 2pts win and place ST PAUL DE VENCE (8.10 Kempton)
BET 2pts win and place OCEAN LEGEND (8.40 Kempton)
BET 8pts win MISS AVONBRIDGE and 1.4pts win (stakes saver) CLARY (9.10 Kempton)
DAQ MULTIPLES JACKPOT: 3pts win double OUT DO (3.40 Yarmouth) and HIT THE JACKPOT (3.50 Haydock) plus 2 x 1pt win trebles the same two with MISS AVONBRIDGE and CLARY (9.10 Kempton)
ANTE-POST: BET 1.8pts win EMILIO LARGO (Royal Hunt Cup, Wednesday)
DAQMAN’S TARGETS: An ordinary day with singles to win 20 points. Daq Multiples and the ante-post bet are as stated.
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