NAPS HAT-TRICK LANDED AT 7-4: Daqman’s naps are unbeaten this week after Tanit River (WON 7-4) completed his hat-trick yesterday, separated by one non-runner on Wednesday. The trio is made up of:
WON 15-8 Storm Of Swords
WON 9-10 Roi Du Mee
WON 7-4 Tanit River
6-1 WIN LAST HIT IN A TREBLE: In fact, Daqman’s nap was the middle one of three consecutive winners yesterday for a total profit on the day of 32.40 to recommended stakes:
WON 5-2 Dashaway
WON 7-4 Tanit River (nap)
WON 6-1 Double Silver
TODAY: Daqman declares a daring nap on a 5-1 morning offer on BETDAQ, ridden by Tony McCoy.
TOMORROW: Back to the attack on value as he tries to increase his 33-14 NH season’s lead over Pricewise.
BOOM TO BOUNCE BACK AT BETDAQ 9.8
2.10 Newbury Going For Broke on McCoy? A lot of punters will, as his days in the saddle dwindle down to a precious few. But no one wants to know this one at 14.0 on BETDAQ early mouse.
Going For Broke ran to the line straight as a gun barrel, despite his December bumper at Taunton being his first visit to a racecourse.
By the same sire as Holywell and Johns Spirit, his dam is related to hurdles winners, so comes to the ‘sticks’ with plenty of provenance.
The odds-on favourite that Champagne Express turned over last month went on to score eight lengths in his next race, albeit a minor maiden with only five finishers.
Coologue also has form with winners, and Inner Drive slammed a gelding 14 lengths who had earlier got within two lengths of As De Mee, winner of the Grade-3 Novices’ Handicap Hurdle Final at Sandown.
Philip Hobbs finally turned the corner at Warwick on Wednesday after a long losing spell but Rock The Casbah has so far been kept to such a lowly level that two wins, two seconds and a third have produced the (not so) grand total of only £7,000 in prizemoney.
Champagne Express was too short and Going For Broke too big this morning, with the 4.0 Inner Drive the value, if the collateral form with As De Mee is any guide.
2.40 Newbury The Boom days are over. Or are they? The handicapper has virtually written off Shakalakaboomboom, since he pulled up in last year’s Grand National, dropping him 18lb.
But he’s had only two runs since, and is down to class 3 for the first time since his novice days in 2011. Those POPOP ‘figures’ concern Graded racing and he might pop up at this level. Used to go well fresh.
On Trend has got his ground and is now lower than his last winning mark of only four runs back, having failed to cope with better company at Sandown and Newbury, and not responding to the visor (tongue-tie worn today).
Phone Home finished in front of him when second here over CD in cheekpieces in November and he now tries the visor.
Shuil Royale came back to form in a lower grade on the last day but has never won off this high a mark and not put back-to-back wins together for four years.
Bob Tucker, Noble Legend and Back In June all like to front-run and, if he can bounce back in conditions that suit, against a dross lot, I shall take Shakalaka to Boom once more (9.8 on BETDAQ early mouse).
3.10 Newbury McCoy and Last Shadow were beaten favourites at Kempton in February, though in fact were the ‘moral’, going down a length and a half but giving away 12lb to the winner.
But there’s not much between Last Shadow and Hindon Road on earlier form at Exeter, and that forms not strong.
It’s hard to make out a case for anything special here; maybe Crack Of Thunder now that he’s got a handicap mark. Before he had a winter break he was prominent behind a Graded winner and the Pertemps Final third.
3.45 Newbury (Brown Chamberlin Trophy) If you want to know the shape of the race, check out the BETDAQ market – six horses within a 3.8-point parameter – and the ratings ( five of them rated 124-129). And no obvious front-runner.
Shape? A large dollop of novice-chase dough from which to try to make a cake (sorry ‘case’).
I think we should look to the negatives: Philip Hobbs finally got a winner on Wednesday, to which the immediate response was to make his nextfour runners short prices.
All four lost, two of them from the front of the market. It couldn’t happen to a nicer guy.
Tom George, Nick Williams and David Arbuthnot are also struggling and, although Desert Joe won at Leicester on the last day, his form is actually standing still, on a line through Azure Fly.
Letbeso has been winning narrowly off very slow times, and heavy-ground winner Wuff has different conditions and may bounce from his first run in a year.
Medieval Chapel won 23 lengths and 20 at Fakenham but that was no great shakes and his being kept down to this level – and offered 6.6 this morning – suggests nothing much is expected.
I’ll go for Horatio Hornblower, who has swerved the winter ground since being hammered by a certain Coneygree at Newbury in November. Didn’t like Cheltemnham on the last day but had looked a stayer in the making when sailing up the hill (very well backed) at Towcester earlier.
HERE’S A 5-1 PRESENT FROM TONY McCOY
4.20 Newbury As a class-2 hurdle, this is the highest quality of all the heats here today, and it usually goes to the quality in the race. There hasn’t been a winner below 11st 2lb in eight years.
In that time, David Pipe and Nicky Henderson – two apiece – have won most, but saddle lesser lights today, though they should at least take care of the trio of oldies; horses aged five or seven have won nine of the last 10.
Gassin Golf drops down from Graded level but I’m going nap on his market rival, Minella Present, which offers a 6.0 bet about an A P McCoy mount.
Minella Present is a keen-going sort on a soundish surface, another who missed out the winter mud and still found the ground too soft for his return under Ruby Walsh in a classy affair at Ascot recently won by the subsequent Pertemps Final runner-up.
Minella Present, tongue-tied first time today, had earlier slammed Coologue (see today’s first race) six lengths at Uttoxeter and run well behind the subsequent Neptune Hurdle runner-up in a trial for that race at Cheltenham.
His Limpley Stoke stable, currently two from three still standing, is having a fine season with 44 winners, striking at near-20% over hurdles. McCoy has a 45% record for Mulholland at Newbury, according to the Racing Post Jockey Bookings list.
DAQMAN’S BETS (each bet staked to win 20 points. Just one winner would produce an overall profit)
BET 6.6pts win INNER DRIVE (2.10 Newbury)
BET 2.2pts win SHAKALAKABOOMBOOM (2.40 Newbury)
BET 2.5pts win CRACK OF THUNDER (3.10 Newbury)
BET 3pts win HORATIO HORNBLOWER (3.45 Newbury)
BET 4pts win (nap) MINELLA PRESENT (4.20 Newbury)
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