A TREBLE OF DAQMAN DOUBLES! Two more winners yesterday made it two a day for Daqman for THREE consecutive days. Can he reach last week’s two or more for FIVE days running? He’ll have a go! Here are the scorers in best-SP order (better bets on BETDAQ, of course):
WON 11-4 Skidby Mill (Thurs)
WON 9-4 Fingersonaswitch (Wed)
WON 7-4 Royal Vacation (Tues)
WON 5-4 Esteemable (Thurs)
WON 1-3 Paint The Clouds (Wed)
WON 2-7 Listen To The Man (Tues)
NAP AT WARWICK: STAND-OUT AT WOLVER: Today Daqman takes you horse by horse through the Devon National field, finds bets at Lingfield and Warwick (including his nap) and a stand-out tonight at Wolverhampton.
NAIL A WINNER IN DEVON NATIONAL GUIDE
3.55 Exeter (Devon National) This is a few pounds better race than in recent years, and quality usually means that the winner will come from the top half of the handicap.
But much depends on the going when trainers walk the track (Alberobello, for instance; won’t run if it’s too soft). I have marked each runner out of 10.
7 Return Spring
I’ve followed Philip Hobbs in his terrific handicap season, including in the Sandown Gold Cup and Welsh Grand National with Return Spring.
No joy at that level; but he’s now dropped more than a stone and is 11lb below the mark when he won here at Exeter. He clearly hasn’t lived up to his home reputation but could bounce back in this grade in first-time cheekpieces. Well backed this morning.
3 Thomas Wild
Stablemate Thomas Wild, a CD winner, has done best on a sound surface and is returning after 243 days’ absence. Sixth last year.
4 Alberobello
The horse Thomas Wild beat at Stratford last May, Alberobello, had a run back over hurdles this month and, although he has never won higher than class 4 off a 13lb lower rating, he is unexposed over today’s extra trip. Will not run if the going is too soft.
7 Nail ‘M
Nail ‘M, too, has won only in class 4 but, when he stepped up to today’s level over CD in the Marathon in December, he ran an excellent second in the mud in cheekpieces. They’re back on today, with Sam Twiston-Davies asked to do the steering.
5 Armedanddangerous
Back-to-back heavy-ground wins (December-January) for Amedanddangerous has shot him 20lb up the handicap but he gets in this grade-higher race off a featherweight.
6 Saroque
Once-a-year-winner but Saroque, another to score on today’s course, is the only runner from Venetia Williams’s acceptors. Fourth in the Welsh National and dropped in class.
5 Wizards Bridge
Colin Tizzard is having a cracking season – including a recent spell of six winners in eight days – but Wizards Bridge is 8lb above his winning mark on today’s course and has run only one handicap outside novice company. Only seven and could improve.
6 Finish The Story
Ran no fewer than 14 times in 2015 for the one win at Southwell a year ago, but Southern National second at Fontwell in November and fourth in this race last year suggest he will be thereabouts again without being a confident win bet.
5 Fourovakind
Has some good form, even into class 2 (in a race of winners) but has never lasted out a marathon 29-30f, albeit shuffled back in the Welsh National when handy enough to get involved.
3 Merlin’s Wish
Stays 4m but would have to return to his form of two years ago before a bad injury.
3 Teochow
Still qualified for novice chases and seems easily swallowed up.
2 Alpha Victor
Has tailed off, pulled up or refused in his last four starts but a wind op could change all that.
VERDICT: Nail ‘M has an interesting jockey booking, hoping to repeat a good effort in the Marathon here in December.
Saroque tried to run them into the ground in the Welsh National last month but that was just it; the ground was a bog and he was one of many who failed to last out.
However, that was Class-1 company and he’s a big danger to Nail ‘M with Return Spring the ‘hidden horse’.
BETDAQ MARKET: Saroque at 14.5 was big value early mouse, but was in to 9.4 at the time of writing. There was strong interest in Nail ‘M’, in to 6.8 favourite and Return Spring was 8.0
ARNIE AT LINGFIELD: I’LL BE BACKED..
2.40 Warwick Getting a stone, the grey filly Forgiving Glance leapfrogged Pillard in the markets this morning, dropped from Grade-1 company on the last day after good efforts in the autumn.
3.35 Lingfield (Ladbrokes Handicap) Arnold Lane (I took 2.8 on BETDAQ) is dropped in class for the first time since his narrow defeat here in December, after a class-2 success at Chelmsford.
Arnie’s trainer, Mick Channon, is getting 100% from his horses, according to the excellent Trainerspot in the Racing Post.
Clement has climbed two stone and two grades and, though Majestic Myles won over CD in a canter three weeks back, that was just a claimer and only his second success since 2012.
3.45 Warwick An A-level handicap with an 11-plus question: Howlongisafoot? Well, he’s 4.2 BETDAQ favourite, as I write.
But the real question is whether he’ll bounce back to his decent autumn form, with ground conditions improving and Paul Nicholls firing again after two below-par months.
The better going will also suit veterans Araldur and Renard, both having slipped down the handicap. I grabbed 5.0 Araldur, working on the basis that, between Forgiving Glance and Araldur, Alan King is a good bet to get at least one winner, both being so astutely placed.
7.45 Wolverhampton A massive drop in grade for Mitre Peak made 3.7 BETDAQ offers look inviting this morning. Won her maiden on this course.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked 1 to 9 for strength, with 10 as a banker)
BANKER: BET 10pts win (nap) FORGIVING GLANCE (2.40 Warwick)
BET 8pts win ARNOLD LANE (3.35 Lingfield)
BET 5pts win ARALDUR (3.45 Warwick)
BET 4pts win on each NAIL ‘M and RETURN SPRING (3.55 Exeter)
BET 6pts win MITRE PEAK (7.45 Wolverhampton)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 2pt win doubles and 1pt win treble FORGIVING GLANCE (2.40 Warwick), ARNOLD LANE (3.35 Lingfield) and MITRE PEAK (7.45 Wolverhampton)
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