BACK-TO-BACK NAPS FOR BETS ‘PROFESSOR’ DAQMAN: Daqman has now hit 14 successful naps out of the last 23 (a massive 60% strike-rate), after back-to-back success with Baltic Knight (WON 2-1) on Saturday and yesterday with Professor (WON 5-6), which was odds against on BETDAQ.
40.0 SECOND IN THE FRENCH OAKS: Daqman is the wizard of odds who knows when to have an old-fashioned punt, and the filly he put up at 40.0 on BETDAQ for the French Oaks, Chicquita (2nd 25-1), was runner-up at Chantilly.
73 POINTS PROFIT IN TWO DAYS: Daqman’s profits soared to 73 points for the weekend with a third winning bet yesterday, Bassara (WON 7-4), giving him a return on all three of his Sunday races.
NOW FOR ROYAL ASCOT: ARE THESE THE ‘DEAD CERTS’? Dare you double up your winnings on the ‘good things’ at Royal Ascot, starting with three hot-pots tomorrow. Daqman takes a look at the reality of their races.
Do you know what a double is? Sounds like a silly question but the answer is crazy, too. It’s when you back a winner and then, would you believe, you put everything you’ve won straight on to another horse!
It can be done. I was knocking in doubles and trebles every day a week or so ago (check it out in the archives), and I’m having another crack today.
Look at it this way: what is this thing called ‘winning money’ but a sequence of successful bets, sometimes coming together, sometimes not.
You can bet Daq Multiples every day but, if you want to back horses in doubles and trebles when they are running on different days, remember the answer to my opening question. Just put your BETDAQ winnings on the next horse. If you dare.
Right up to the ‘off’ at Royal Ascot, there’ll be talk of the ‘good things’.. if they exist. The official handicapper says they do. He has four horses well clear in their respective races.
They are, in race order, Animal Kingdom in the Queen Anne tomorrow (10lb ahead of his nearest rival), Shea Shea same day in the Kings Stand (7lb clear of the rest of the field), and then on Friday Battle Of Marengo (+ 6) in the King Edward VII Stakes and Leading Light (+7) in the Queen’s Vase.
I’ve added another Tuesday favourite, Dawn Approach, to make up a fabulous five of so-called ‘good things.’ Fabulous five flops.. or double, treble, accumulator!
+10lb ANIMAL KINGDOM (2.30 Royal Ascot Tuesday, Queen Anne Stakes) Raised to Group-1 status in 2003, since when the Queen Anne has been won by top-class milers, normally rated 115 to 122 but Goldikova (2010) and Frankel (2012) were superclass 130.
Animal Kingdom (126) is 10lb ahead this year’s figures, with only Elusive Kate (116) and Penitent (115) within the normal parameters, and Penitent would be the only winner aged seven since records were kept by quill pen.
REALITY PLUS: The 2011 Kentucky Derby winner, and runner-up in last year’s Breeders Cup mile, Animal Kingdom won the Dubai World Cup, beating Red Cadeaux in style.
MINUS: The Meydan win was on Tapeta and Animal Kingdom has been beaten the last twice on turf, his only other success since 2011 coming in a small-field claimer.
+7lb SHEA SHEA (3.05 Royal Ascot Tuesday, Kings Stand Stakes) Seven of the last 10 Kings Stands have been won by foreign speed stars, after the Aussies broke the home hold on this race with Choisir (2003). Then their raiders Scenic Blast, Miss Andretti and Takeover Target took three from four (2006-2009).
REALITY PLUS: Before Choisir, a sub-60secs Kings Stand had happened only three times in 25 years. Shea Shea clocked 56.41 and 57.02 on turf in Dubai this year, defying the swoop of the Hong-kong flying machine, Eagle Regiment, who had done 56.32 at Sha-Tin.
MINUS: Meydan form has not been working out in Europe, whether from the Dubai turf or Tapeta. Shea Shea ‘likes to follow a target’, admits trainer Mike De Kock, so needs the race to pan out tactically.
+3lb DAWN APPROACH (3.45 Royal Ascot Tuesday, St James’s Palace Stakes) Winners of the French, English or Irish Guineas have won this nine times since 1999, and tomorrow the 2013 English winner (Dawn Approach) meets the Irish (Magician).
REALITY PLUS: Dawn Approach won the Newmarket Classic in the Frankel manner – no prisoners – and he seemed to destroy the career of the highly-regarded Craven winner, Toronado.
MINUS: Heavy showers just before the race on top of a firm surface put paid to several chances as they ‘took the top off it’ that day and, when Dawn Approach had to settle if he was to win a Derby, he ‘pulled his head off’ and trailed in last at Epsom.
+6lb BATTLE OF MARENGO (3.05 Royal Ascot Friday, King Edward VII Stakes) This is the Ascot Derby, a 1m 4f consolation for Epsom, with its best modern winner, Nathaniel (2011), who went on to capture the King George and the following season’s Eclipse.
REALITY PLUS: Fourth at Epsom, beaten less than two lengths overall, and this theoretical drop in class (the King Edward is Group 2) should see Battle Of Marengo home despite a penalty for winning the Leopardstown Derby Trial.
MINUS: The penalty reduces his ratings superiority to 3lb and, if he didn’t stay at Epsom, why should he get the trip here in, traditionally, a very-fast-run race?
+7lb LEADING LIGHT (5.00 Royal Ascot Friday, Queen’s Vase) Has the added epithet of a memorial to Sir Henry Cecil. In theory, this three-year-olds race launches the career of future Gold Cup heroes but needs last year’s royal winner, Estimate, to grab ‘gold’ on Thursday to give that theory any modern credence.
REALITY PLUS: If Leading Light misses the King Edward and leaves the race to stablemate Battle Of Marengo, he is on to a four-timer here, the only horse in the race already with a Group 3 to his name.
MINUS: That Group 3 incurs him a penalty, leaving him just 4lb clear, and Lady Cecil and the team bid for a five-timer with Disclaimer, while Mark Johnston (five wins) and Sir Michael Stoute (two), who have dominated since 2003, run twice-raced potential improvers Federal Blue and Baihas, respectively.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 6pts win (nap) GALLIPOT (7.50 Warwick)
BET 4pts win DAMBUSTER (8.35 Windsor)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 2pt win doubles and 1pt win treble PEARL BRIDGE (3.00 Kempton), GALLIPOT (7.50 Warwick) and DAMBUSTER (8.35 Windsor)
DAQMAN’S TARGETS: Singles backed to win 20 points each
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