DAQMAN’S BIG BANK HOLIDAY GUIDE: Daqman today presents his free guide to Bank Holiday racing, with something to talk about from all seven meetings in England this afternoon:
CARTMEL: Back lone raider from Wales
CHEPSTOW: End Of Line a good buy
EPSOM: You can risk Haafaguinea
HUNTINGDON: That man McCoy again
NEWCASTLE: Inflection well fancied
RIPON: One thrown in the Rowells
WARWICK: It’s Terror stallion Kodiac
BACK-TO-BACK BANKERS: 27 FROM 39: Daqman’s success rate with his bankers was fractionally short of 70% after Leading Light (WON 2-5) made it back-to-back success following Al Kazeem (WON 8-11 from evens) on Saturday. The overall profit in this sequence is now 106 points. His current betting totals are:
CHALLENGE: Daqman 97, Pricewise 36
VALUE: Bull’s-Eye Bets + 221 points
MAXIMUM: Banker bets + 106 points
NAP (since day one at York) + 60 points
RAIN AT EPSOM IS LONG AWAITED
CARTMEL Scene of the infamous Gay Future affair 40 years ago today. One of two Bank Holiday NH meetings this afternoon; the other is at Huntingdon.
4.5 Cartmel (Cavendish Cup) Peter Bowen has had two goes at this in four years and both have hit the mark. Today he sends Dark Glacier – 6.6 on BETDAQ this morning – on a solo trip from Welsh Wales for this prize.
4.40 Cartmel Gordon Elliott has booked Richard Johnson for two of his Irish raiders but Johnson was snapped up by another Irish yard, that of Mark Michael McNiff, to get on Sean Airgead in this one: 7.2 on BETDAQ this morning. McNiff has a 50% record on the course.
5.15 Cartmel Marathons beyond three miles are fairly predictable because you need good hurdling or fencing, stamina and a good weight mark.
Step forward Handsome Dan, up in class but a rear runner who conserves himself for a finish and has the admirable Paul Moloney to do the biding of his time.
CHEPSTOW I’d rather not be writing praise for Louis Steward, who cost me a packet when steering Mutual Regard to
pip my Van Percy in the Ebor. But credit where it’s due and he’s now in demand: five mounts here this afternoon.
5.05 Chepstow Best race of the day, a class 2, has George Cinq, on which Steward scored at Ascot, consistent but doesn’t improve much.
And I’m looking for that improvement from End Of Line, gelded since tackling Group-1 and third in a Listed in the Spring. Goes well fresh.
5.35 Chepstow Ronald Harris landed both divisions of this in 2012. His Corporal Maddox is a once-a-year winner, and today could be the day, with Mikey Ennis booked to take his weight down 9lb below his last winning rating, his only ride of the day.
EPSOM This is such a tricky track that horses and trainers who know what is required are worth following, which recommends Long Awaited (3.10) and Haafaguinea (3.45)
3.10 Epsom Straight 5f, starting downhill, is one of the fastest in the world, but Long Awaited has won this race before and has been primed with a good run at Doncaster.
Owner Peter Jones, former chairman of the Tote, who had the prolific God’s Solution with David Barron, is back with Barron and will be one racegoer who won’t mind the forecast downpours. Long Awaited has won on heavy.
3.45 Epsom Saeed bin Suroor is 111112 in this race since 2004. Beaten into second last year by David O’Meara and Fattsota, who take his Halfaguinea on here. Both horses have won on the soft.
HUNTINGDON Six mounts in seven races here for record-breaker (breaker, breaker) Tony McCoy, one of the greatest jockey champions of all time.
3.50 Huntingdon Best race of the day here is the clash of Brockwell and Authorship, two fair sorts on the Flat, both making their hurdles debut.
That’s a challenge in itself for Tony McCoy on Authorship, trained by the stable which saddled the one-two in the race last season.
STARDRIFTER FOR THE BLAYDON RACE
NEWCASTLE The Geordie track, scene of the Pitman’s Derby features a valuable class-2 nursery, a handicap for two-year-olds called the Blaydon Race (bring your karaoke kit).
2.15 Newcastle Ed Vaughan (50%) and Sir Michael Stoute (45%) are trainers to punt on here, and one of them should win this two-year-old maiden, between Vaughan’s Newmarket third Bartel and Stoute’s expensive yearling Swaheen, also third on debut.
3.25 Newcastle (Blaydon Race) Winners include a fine mare called Anna Pavlova, who rose to become winner of a Group 2 at the Arc meeting.
Her stable, that of Richard Fahey, saddles Stardrifter, who could be towed into it by Al Rayyan and Multi Grain, who have led in the past.
Azraff’s Newmarket win was on the soft and the Paco Boy colt has to give weight all round. Stardrifter was 9.8 this morning after the defection of Special Venture and Only Joking.
4.00 Newcastle Hugo Palmer (50% strike-rate and fresh from York triumph) has first-time-handicapper Inflection nicely poised at the weights against a field, which – with the exception of Medam – has run 30 races without success this season.
ADULATION THE RIPON CHAMPION ELECT
RIPON One of the big days of the season at this right-handed track, where light rain should see the ground on the easy side of good.
3.35 Ripon (Billy Nevett Memorial) Named after one of the great northern riders, who won three of the six war-time Derbys, notably on Dante, whose name survives in the Derby trial at york.
4.10 Ripon (Champion Two-Year-Old Trophy) Six winning favourites in nine seasons, including last year’s for Richard Fahey, who runs Izzthatright today.
‘Izzy’ has to step up from class 4 at Catterick to take on Explosive Lady, third in the Group-3 Princess Margaret Stakes at Ascot.
Bossy Guest and Adulation have claims, while Dark Reckoning is better off with Prince Bonnaire, whom she beat over CD earlier this month.
Adulation could be the value at 9.2 on BETDAQ this morning. Ran in the Queen Mary and attempted a Listed last time but was bogged down in the mud at Vichy.
4.45 Ripon Rowells Osteopathic Remedy has clicked four times in this race (winner in 2008, 2010 and for the last two years) but this veteran of 90 races hasn’t put two wins together since May-June, 2008.
His Thirsk win last time out puts him back to his previous winning mark on this course last backend, but he’s giving six or seven years away to five others in the field.
There’s not much between King Taurus and Bold Prediction on their one-two over todays’ CD in June, between Bold Prediction and Bartack, also on the course but over a furlong further, and between Dubai Dynamo and Bold Prediction, again on today’s course.
It could boil down to Mujazif, 12lb better with Bartack for half a length at York in July, and likely to get a good tow from Ifwecan in a neighbouring stall.
WARWICK’S LIFE AT END OF ITS SPAN
WARWICK It’s goodbye to all that. This is the final day of Flat racing at Warwick, which now becomes jumps only. After the loss of Folkestone and Kempton turf tracks, we can expect even more Flat-race maidens stacked up at the remaining grass venues.
1.25 Warwick Saying a bitter-sweet farewell is the Hills family. Charles, top trainer on the course with a huge 31% strike-rate, puts the last saddle on Vixen Hill, an Acclamation filly, half-sister to a Group-1 winner.
Pilgrim is superbly sprint-bred, and David Simcock’s Terror is by Kodiac, prolific stallion of precocious youngsters (149 two-year-old winners).
Quite Smart will be backed to step up on her Yarmouth debut second, and is with the right yard for a sprint future. Ted Durcan takes the mount before going to Ripon for another single.
3.40 Warwick Clear Spring, not beaten far in the Great St Wilfrid, is reunited with Liam Jones; the partnership is 2-2.
Goldream won a Shergar Cup race but that form is always suspect because of the musical-chairs jockey set-up, so I prefer Ninjago, a Listed winner who ran second in the renamed Stewards Cup at Goodwood.
4.15 Warwick Charles’ father, Barry, back from retirement until the end of the season, bows out at Warwick with first-time-in-a-handicap Muzarkash, his first runner on the course in three years.
Hard to beat will be Pixieleen, who comes into her first handicap off the back of an all-the-way win at Windsor last month; second, fifth and ninth have all won since.
4.50 Warwick Last (starters’) orders at Warwick, and the drinks could be on sprint-expert Ron Harris, whose Spic ‘N Span is overdue his once-a-year win, 7lb lower than when he last won on soft ground.
I say ‘soft’ because heavy showers are forecast and the ground staff have been watering in the last few days. They must be exhausted.
DAQMAN’S BANK HOLIDAY SELECTIONS
CARLISLE: 4.05 Dark Glacier, 4.40 Sean Airgead, 5.15 Handsome Dan
CHEPSTOW: 5.05 End Of Line, 5.35 Corporal Maddox
EPSOM 3.10 Long Awaited, 3.45 Haafaguinea
HUNTINGDON: 3.50 Authorship
NEWCASTLE: 2.15 Bartel, Swaheen, 3.25 Stardrifter, 4.00 Inflection
RIPON: 4.10 Adulation, Explosive Lady, 4.45 Mujazif
WARWICK: 1.25 Terror, Vixen Hill; 3.40 Clear Spring, Ninjago; 4.15 Pixieleen, Muzarkash; 4.50 Spic ’n Span.
DAQMAN’S BETS (charged to the account, each staked to win 20 points at the BETDAQ offers available at 10.30 a.m.)
BET 10pts win AUTHORSHIP (3.50 Huntingdon)
BET 8pts win INFLECTION (4.00 Newcastle)
BET 10pts win EXPLOSIVE LADY and 2.4pts win ADULATION (4.10 Ripon)
BET 5pts win (nap) END OF LINE (5.05 Chepstow)
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