EARLY BIRD CATCHES BETDAQ 10.5: Daqman followed up his 28-1 Saturday big-race second with another double-figure win and place bet on BETDAQ yesterday, despite form figures of P0P-0, making a profit on the day. It was good to be on Early at 10.5!
WON 15-2 ASK ME EARLY (BETDAQ 10.5 Sunday)
WON (2nd 28-1) w/p L’EAU DU SUD (Saturday)
DOUBLE THE ODDS FOR CHELTENHAM: Meanwhile Daqman is already in play from Cheltenham ante-post bets, with 31 points in the bag, ‘overs’ on three long-shots which have come down in price. He has more than double the odds about one now showing at 16.0.
GETTING AHEAD OF THE GAME
Daqman fans are doing handstands. The purpose of ante-post bets is to get ‘overs’ as the odds you took reduce on or nearer the day.
You can put these overs into play, laying or hedging, to guarantee you finish in front on the horse or on the race, or both.
Daqman has been matching the Pricewise bets as he has offered them for each race at Cheltenham, and the Post man has made one or two gains: 9-1>5-1 Grey Dawning (Brown Advisory), 25-1>20-1 My Mate Mozzie (Arkle).
But Daqman has had quite a killing in the Baring Bingham, with his 34.0 BETDAQ Sportsbook bet on Handstands, now 16.0. That’s 18 points of overs.
And he’s pinched nine points with his Arkle bet: 15.0 taken Il Etait Temps, now 6.0. Plus four points from his Supreme play, No Flies On Him (Pricewise tipped that one, too).
If you’d backed Handstands and Il Etait Temps in their prep races after their ante-post bets were published, you would already be in pocket.
They more than paid for their Cheltenham bets if you had Il Etait Temps for the Irish Arkle (WON 6-1) and Handstands for his prep race at Huntingdon (WON 9-4).
* Another ante-post bet tomorrow
PLUMPTON PRINCE TO BE CROWNED
⭕ 2.45 Plumpton It’s not often you can say the smallest field races on the card are also the most competitive but it’s definitely the case at Plumpton today with the four runner handicap chases at 2.45 and 3.45 both looking competitive betting heats!
In the first of them I’m keen to take on the Betdaq Betting Exchange favourite Aviles who has now been a beaten favourite four times in a row and twice at odds-on – ouch, definitely a friend of the layers.
Gary Moore’s runner was pulled up at Fontwell last time out after a bitterly disappointing run. He could be a different horse today reappearing for the first time since wind surgery and with new head gear on but I don’t want to be playing a short price to find out.
I much prefer the chances of the ex-French trained Prince Quali who shaped really well at Wincanton last time out when a close second in a better class 3 event. That was just his second start in this country and he is fully entitled to improve further. I’m not even sure he has to as that form looks the pick to me anyway.
I said it was competitive so Alto Alto and Give Me A Moment also have chances.
Alto Alto won over course and distance last April but his form tailed off dramatically in three subsequent starts over fences. He came back to form here last time when popping up at 28/1 over hurdles and it’s a slight surprise to see him back over fences after that effort.
Give Me A Moment has yet to recreate his amazing form in 2022 (5 wins from eight runs) but that evidence suggests he’s better on quicker ground and the soft ground forecast is unlikely to help his cause.
TAKING A DOUBLE CHANCEUX
⭕ 3.45 Plumpton The second of the tricky quartet runner races to solve – this time a class 3.
Three of the four were winners last time out including Kotmask who survived a couple of jumping errors to win going away at Sandown by eight lengths. The resulting 7lb rise looks fair but not harsh.
Ballybeen loves picking up place prize money and is set to do so again but his remarkable form sequence of 36F/55444/3222-3322 rather tells its own story!
Scarface won neatly over course and distance last time out by far his best effort over fences and he has chances of defying the 5lb hike.
Chanceux is not totally out of it after wins at Hereford and Doncaster (both also class 3). He looks over-priced and I will play the top and the bottom of the Betdaq market here.
⭕ 7.00 Wolverhampton Caelan made a winning start at Kempton but didn’t really progress in two starts since and the more exposed Marefuori is preferred.
Marco Botti’s runner was a winner over course and distance in September before getting bogged down in soft ground at Nottingham. He remains progressive on the all-weather and looks a sensible alternative to the likely favourite.
2.45 Plumpton (win 10, nap)
BET 5.0pts win PRINCE QUALI
3.45 Plumpton (both win 10)
BET 7.0pts win KOTMASK
BET 1pts win CHANCEUX
7.00 Wolverhampton (win 10)
BET 3.5pts win MAREFUORI
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.