DAQMAN GOES FOR A ‘WEE’ 13-1 JACKPOT AT LINGFIELD: You’ll need a wee drop in the hip flask if you’re going to Lingfield today, and Daqman prefers the company of his mouse and a 14.0 Betdaq offer for a jackpot tilt at a ‘Wee’ horse they‘ve all overlooked.
2.00 Lingfield One day Waabel may make all again. Twice successful from the front at Lingfield at this time last season, he’s dropped like a stone – in fact, exactly a stone – down the handicap in the last year.
He hasn’t been given his head since then but William Carson’s switch to stablemate Cut The Cackle – in the same ownership – signals ‘not today’.
However, Cut The Cackle has been an even longer loser (no success since July 2010) and has an even larger slice of help from the handicapper, 15lb lower than that day, though failing by only half a length at Kempton last time out.
Waabel has finished behind Captain Dimitrios three races running, and this heat is surely all about the pace.
Both Captain Dimitrios and Waterloo Dock are fast front-runners who will throw the rest into confusion. I prefer Waterloo Dock, back to his right trip.
Microlight has also won from the front, and returns to a left-handed track (his last two runs have been the other way round, for which his record is 0-6) but the 37.0 offers this morning suggest ‘not today.’
2.30 Lingfield Kieran O”Neill has a 50% record riding for Jimmy Fox, and The Wee Chief has had treatment for breathing problems since last seen in June two grades higher than this race.
He’s won before after a long absence, and Jimmy Fox is going for a training hat-trick, after two wins at Kempton in three days. The Wee Chief is 14.0, as I write, but ought to be favourite.
Chjimes has won 11 races at Lingfield, six of them over CD, but he hasn’t put back-to-back wins together for three years and they came with a two-months’ rest in between.
Diamond Vine could ‘do the double’, but it’s hard to trust a horse who’d gone 20 runs without success before a CD win only a week ago; a quick repeat is unlikely.
Court Applause has yet to break his maiden, and Slatey Hen is no better than a plater, racing a grade higher than his recent Kempton second.
2.40 Wolverhampton: Laura Pike’s 5lb could make all the difference for Hazzard County, from a stable in top gear right now, and down a grade on his only previous Wolver effort.
Things should be set up for him, since Little Garcon, Norville, Piscean and Oil Strike are all sprinters by trade, so far at least.
Tamareen hasn’t held his form since winning over CD in December and the danger to Hazzard County may be Pat’s Legacy who has won after an absence, but the drift to 11.0 this morning was offputting.
3.00 Lingfield The next two races are Class 3, and the form should be more reliable. Tarooq exemplifies that: he’s been placed 11 times in 13 starts.
You’d think he’d pay for it with a high mark but has only 6lb more than for his last win, and is 7lb better off with Lockantanks for a two-lengths defeat over CD and finished in front of him last time out.
Tarooq was only second in that last CD run, when Lockantanks was fourth, but that was a grade higher race and Tarooq went down only by a neck. He is Tony Hamilton’s only ride of the day.
Amitila has won in class 2 but this is an experiment stepping the 6f and 7f winner up to a mile. Similarly, neither Numeral nor Shifting Star has won beyond 7f.
This is also an experiment for soft-ground 2008 Lincoln winner Smokey Oakey, not seen since October 2010 and likely to find this surface on the fast side.
Ian Mongan is 100% (2-2) riding for Jeremy Gask at Lingfield this season, Prince Of Burma being responsible both times, and he tries for an 18-day hat-trick here, 13lb higher than for the first of them.
Prince Of Burma, a class-5 winner, is now so penalized that he’s level peggings with class-4 winner and recent class-2 runner-up, Tarooq, so you’ve no doubt where my money will be going.
It’s a wide-open race but there’s one tip you must take: bet among the Betdaq offers, since the ‘book’ of ‘prices’ adds up to only 107% at time of writing. The bookies will want a bigger slice than that.
3.35 Lingfield Another class 3, with the Pricewise horse, Status Symbol, so far ignored, as I write: 6.0. He’s a Newmarket winner at this level but off a 13lb lower mark.
He made all at HQ that day, with nothing in the pack capable of mounting an attack on rain-softened ground.
His Listed run here in December (hampered) came before another make-all attempt over hurdles at Leicester. Can he get away from them here? Got to be a back-and-lay bet.
Fergus Sweeney has a good record riding for Laura Mongan but First Avenue, who scored here over 2m recently, is ‘the same animal’ – dead level – as Art Scholar if they reproduce their CD form of the end of last year.
Art Scholar is a hold-up horse who came off the pace to score at Kempton a fortnight later but has to overcome a 6lb rise and has never liked Lingfield (form figures there 0040).
Brunston has to bounce back to his old form; Cashelgar has never won in UK, and Franco Is My Name seems to have lost his form which, in any case, was at 10 furlongs.
That leaves Layline, a decent animal on his day, and given a chance by the handicapper, but a spooky sort (has to be taken down early), and Exemplary, who seems to need further but, as a Mark Johnston front-runner, could do damage to the Status Symbol plan.
Tough. But, again, I see that Betdaq offers add up to around 105% so I ought to be in (you gotta be in it to win it!), and I’ll take the two pace horses to go clear: 6.0 Status Symbol and 5.8 Exemplary, as I write.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET (to win 20 points) 2.7pts win WATERLOO DOCK (2.00 Lingfield)
WIN-30 JACKPOT: BET 2.3pts win and place THE WEE CHIEF (2.30 Lingfield)
BET 3.5pts win (nap) HAZZARD COUNTY (2.40 Wolverhampton)
BET 3.8pts win TAROOQ (3.00 Lingfield)
LAY to win 10pts ART SCHOLAR and BET 4pts win on each STATUS SYMBOL and EXEMPLARY (3.35 Lingfield)
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