FOUR BETDAQ RACES AS KEMPTON HOLDS THE FORT: Betdaq keeps the show on the road today, sponsoring the first four races on the Kempton Park card on a cold afternoon and evening, livened by the riding skills of Jimmy Fortune and Jamie Spencer.
2.20 Kempton (Free Entry For Betdaq Members Handicap) Bobbyow is expected to make the running from stall 2. In fact, stall 3 beat 7 last year, and 7 beat 3 the previous year.
Both winners had previously been placed on the course, and Bobbyow was third there on the first day of the month, stepping up on that two days later when just failing to last out 6f at Lingfield in a race a class higher than today’s.
It was a blanket finish at Lingfield, with class-5 winner Raimond Ridge closing him down after a slow start, but Raimond has flattered before.
Two form lines through Pharoh Jake suggest that the pair have the beating of Deveze and Porthgwidden Beach, and would have more to fear from White Shift, though that one hasn’t won over the minimum since 2008.
The mare Silver Linnet is 18lb lower than when winning a class 4 in the Spring of 2010. Her form has tailed off but the visors may revive her.
I took 7.6 Betdaq offers about Bobbyow early doors on his third run for Terry Clement, 11lb lower than he raced for Bryn Palling a year ago. Looks a back-and-lay bet, seemingly sure to beat 7.6 – and his SP – in running.
2.50 Kempton (Back Or Lay At betdaq.com Handicap) There’s a lot of pace on here: Flotation, Gay Gallivanter, It’s Dubai Dolly, Laser Blazer, Le Reveur, Miss Whippy and Prickles have all been known to lead.
But remember, you are down in the class basement here and the horses are unreliable, sometimes kinky, as with tail-flasher Miss Whippy and Laser Blazer (reluctant to race last time out).
It’s a race to weigh up the negatives: Roy Brotherton (Flotation) has had 30 runners at Kempton in just short of five years without a winner.
Ian McInnes (Forbidden) is without a winner anywhere in the last 158 days from 75 starters. Steve Drowne has had 31 rides at Kempton in the last 77 days without a winner.
And Tobias Coles’s training record with first-time handicappers and first-time blinkers (both apply to number 4, Brent Pelham) is zero and zero, in that order. Gun to my head, I’d go for the mare Prickles.
3.25 Kempton (Betdaq Multiples Handicap) Jamie Osborne, who trains Russian Bullet – Fergus Sweeney’s only mount of the day – has a 50% record in this type of race.
Russian Bullet is up 8lb on his CD win in December and has never won in this grade of handicap but, then, neither has anything else in the field.
Dawn Lightning is another quirky sort, and was behind Russian Bullet at Lingfield; Redair has won only at claimer level; Gin Twist pulls his head off; Rooknrasbryripple is plating class.
That leaves Lady Caprice, 13lb higher than for the first of two January wins, and Majestic Rose, who has been running in class 3 and 4 on turf and returns to the CD of her only triumph.
3.55 Kempton (Betdaq Mobile Classified Claiming Stakes) April Fool won this last year off 70. Has 5lb more this time but has won on turf off 81 and a 7lb claimer should help.
April Fool won for an apprentice – but not this boy Egan – over CD a month or so ago, but claiming off him today needs to be fully justified against top-class performers in the saddle, Jimmy Fortune and Jamie Spencer.
What young Egan might take note of is that Russian Ice and Hand Painted are often slowly away but the snag is that, if he tries to kick on (April Fool made all for that CD success in January), he may well set it up for Satwa Laird.
Satwa Laird, who had April Fool well behind here over a mile, sat in nicely behind the leader at Lingfield last time and won well.
But – there’s a snag here also – that was only a claiming race and, when asked to do the same in a January handicap here, he held his head to one side and refused to respond.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 3pts win BOBBYOW (2.20 Kempton)
BET 3pts win PRICKLES (2.50 Kempton)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 2pt win doubles and a 1pt win treble BOBBYOW (2.20 Kempton), PRICKLES (2.50 Kempton) and MAJESTIC ROSE (nap, 3.25 Kempton)
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