STATE OF THE PARTIES: DAQMAN 11-4 Daqman landed five winners last Saturday and has been in form with two on each of Thursday and Friday, Thursday with pinpoint accuracy and more big profits, Friday with blanket coverage. He mixes the two today, with the state of the value challenge Daqman 11, Pricewise 4, proving that winners are bigger on BETDAQ.
Friday
WON 11-4 KILCRUIT BETDAQ 5.3
WON 2-5 STATE MAN (Champion Hurdle supernap)
Thursday
WON 6-1 BROOMFIELD BIJOU (BETDAQ value 9.9)
WON 5-1 SPIRITED GUEST (BETDAQ value 8.2)
NEXT WEEK: THE GUINEAS The start of the Classic season, with the 2,000 Guineas (Saturday) and 1,000 Guineas (Sunday) at Newmarket, is previewed throughout next week.
RODEO SHOW FROM KANSAS
⭕ 1.05 Sandown This big-field two-miler will be quite a rodeo in the mud. Paul Nicholls and Harry Cobden have won it twice in the last three years off 11st 12lb.
It has cost Killaloan a 17lb rise completing a hat-trick in class 4 but he’s always looked progressive and has had a break which can’t be said of Under Control (Nicky Henderson), a Cheltenham winner just nine days ago.
Both Nicholls (Beau Balko) and Henderson (Iberico Lord) have supposed second-strings, and Nicholls (Holetown hero) a third crack of the whip.
My verdict, look elsewhere, and maybe Kansas Du Berlais, a good traveling sort, who has won on both good and heavy, can make full use of his lenient handicap mark.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 9.8 Kansas Du Berlais
GUINNESS 6.2 GOOD FOR YOU
⭕ 1.40 Sandown (Celebration Chase) Altior for Nicky Henderson won this in a hat-trick aged 7, 8 and 9 and Greaneteen for Paul Nicholls also tries for the same now he’s 9, having won twice.
Add Gary Moore (Sire De Grugy 2013-14) with Editeur Du Gite and you have three trainers who have dominated for a decade and will surely do so today, unless Henry De Bromhead can see them all under the table with Captain Guinness.
On Champion Hurdle form, Editeur Du Gite could make the running, closely matched with Greaneteen, but well held by Captain Guinness.
Excluding Cheltenham, Jonbon has cleaned up among the novices and it would be no surprise if he improved into the top rank but, on value, 6.2 Captain Guinness is one for the pot. Sandown suits him.
WHY CLIPPER CUT AINTREE
⭕ 2.15 Sandown (Gold Cup) Not since Beau won as co-favourite in 2000 has any kind of favourite won this race though, LAYS LOGIC warns, several were heart-in-the-mouth second; 60% of winners have been 10-1 or bigger at SP.
Kittys Light holds the market lead. Though he made them look easy, it would buck commonsense and break the stats sequence for a seven-year-old to follow up here after winning the Eider Chase and the Scottish Grand National, a stone higher in this better race than for the first of them.
Frodon has had to be freshened up to win in recent years and the stats are all against horses of double-figure age and a topweight of 12st.
Youth is needed to bowl round those turns and have enough left for the final hill-rise home.
None of the last five to score had been seen at any of the big festivals, though before that The Young Master (2016) had finished third in the Ultima.
Tea Clipper has twice run well at Aintree after Cheltenham but swerved the Liverpool meeting to wait for this, and the drying ground suits.
He was sixth in the Ultima in March with the form of the winner, Corach Rambler, boosted by runner-up Fastorslow in the Punchestown Gold Cup this week and, of course, in that he himself won the Grand National.
The Goffer was the fourth horse at Cheltenham. But the Leopardstown Chase winner went on to Fairyhouse for the Irish Grand National (pulled up).
Enrilo was third in this race in 2021 and gets his ground today, though has to bounce back from a disappointing season. Paul Nicholls says he’s returned to form at home.
Coolvalla and Revels Hill would have chances if they could reproduce their one-two in the Devon Stayers of five weeks back. Revels Hill comes out best at the weights, and has been saved for this.
Moroder won a similar Exeter race last Spring to complete four in a row and was back to form, showing improvement and courage to hold off sustained challenges in the Grimthorpe at Doncaster (3m 2f) at the beginning of March.
Annsam cannot be ruled out but has been savaged in the market, drifting like a dog on a raft to 19.0. Up in trip.
BETDAQ value 7.8 Revels Hill, 15.0 Moroder and Tea Clipper
CATCHER IS BETTER CLASS
⭕ 3.45 Haydock Spycatcher, second in the Group-2 Clipper at York in May last year, won first time a week back: he’s giving weight all round here but looks better class.
Boardman won this off 90 last year but is up 8lb. Biggles is another hiked up the handicap.
Rossa Ryan needs some instruction from Pat Cosgrove if he is to get a position for Biggles out of the one stall. I recall Pat winning on Predominance (2016) after giving him a real stoking up so as not to get trapped on the rail and pushed too far back.
Dual class-2 winner Gweedore is just outside Biggles in gate 2, where he will also find such as Witch Hunter and Orbaan trying to barge across.
Lightly-raced Rainbow Fire has won both starts on turf since his debut but my outsider is Rhoscolyn, first run after a wind op, and tied in with Orbaan.
Rhoscolyn, third in the Buckingham Palace at Royal Ascot, was a hampered 7th giving 12lb to Orbaan, the Golden Mile winner at Goodwood, and is now 13lb better off.
BETDAQ value 5.4 Spycatcher, 14.0 Rhoscolyn
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.05 Sandown (win 20)
BET 2.25pts win KANSAS DU BERLAIS
1.40 Sandown (win 20)
BET 4pts win CAPTAIN GUINNESS
2.15 Sandown (win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 3.25pts win MORODER
BET 3.25pts win TEA CLIPPER
BET (win 20 saver) 3pts win REVELS HILL
3.45 Haydock (win 30, English nap)
BET 6.75pts win SPYCATCHER
BET 2pts win and place RHOSCOLYN
3.50 Punchestown (Irish supernap)
Only ever beaten by Brandy Love and
Honeysuckle, can take this Mares’ Champion Hurdle
BET 20pts win LOVE ENVOI
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