NINE WINNING BETS IN FOUR DAYS: Daqman had nine winning bets in four days over Chester and including the Lingfield Oaks Trial (WON 9-4 Eternal Hope) yesterday. He leads Pricewise 16-8
FRENCH GUINEAS AT LONGCHAMP: The action moves on to the French Guineas today and the Derby and Oaks trials at York next week. Daqman updates you and has more winners in mind.
FORTUNE COOKIES: Blue Rose Cen runs today. Add to the list High Fibre, Perotto and Circle Of Fire (King Edward V11 Stakes)
BROSTAIGH WIN PRECIPITATE
⭕ 12.58 Longchamp (Prix de Saint-Georges) This Group-3 sprint has stayed at home nine years in the decade, the exception Michael Dods’ Mecca’s Angel, who went to post with a higher rating than anything traveling from England or Ireland this afternoon.
But heavy ground will be an equaliser; it helped Karl Burke’s White Lavender to very nearly win the Abbaye in October, beaten a short-neck, giving 17lb.
White Lavender has had a run back and should be very hard to beat though, if Brostaigh has grown over the winter, from three to four, and comes here fully fit, it could be a close-run thing.
Joseph O’Brien’s filly was getting the three-year-olds’ allowance when beating White Lavender a length in the Prix du Gros-Chene in soft ground last June.
But it could also be argued that White Lavender was only a 97 sprinter at that time and is now a 108 rated.
Perdika (George Boughey) had earlier won a Listed in very soft ground but her rating didn’t move much, and the three times Group placed Vicious Harry may be best of the three-year-olds.
SOUMILLON FLIES THE FLAG
⭕ 2.50 Longchamp (French 2,000 Guineas) Winners by stall: 3, 1, 4, 11, 3, 3, 2, 2, 6, 4.
Only Aidan O’Brien’s winners, The Gurkha (2016) and St Mark’s Basilica (2021) have been able to beat the low four stalls in the decade.
O’Brien saddles Hans Anderson (out of gate 5) today; Futurity runner-up at the Curragh in August and Guineas-trial winner at Leopardstown (7f, heavy) last month.
The Leopardstown field had very little depth and the form has been knocked, but Hans Anderson could only win with the minimum of fuss.
Brian Meehan saddles the Greenham winner, Isaac Selby (Knight, handled kindly, a long way behind).
The Newbury form looks modest, with second and third both beaten since, but Isaac Selby made all that day and has the advantage of the one stall.
American Flag, the home defender, comes out of the adjacent stall 2 under Christophe Soumillon, who brought him from the rear on today’s course (1m heavy) in April.
He went clear to complete a hat-trick and in the process spoiled another hat-trick bid by Marhaba Ya Sanafi.
The race was the prestigious Prix Fontainebleau, won for the Aga Khan in the good old bad old days by Ashkalani and Daylami, and more recently for Godolphin by Wootton and Persian King.
BLUE ROSE STILL BLOOMING
⭕ 3.30 Longchamp (French 1,000 Guineas) Winners by stall: 5, 10, 12, 1, 3, 3, 1, 6, 3, 5, 8.
Only David Simcock (with Teppal in 2018) has interrupted a 20-year history of home winners, with Jean-Claude Rouget top trainer with 5.
FORTUNE COOKIE: I marked Blue Rose Cen as exceptional, after she completed a hat-trick by holding a late run by Lindy in the Grotte a month back.
She only had to be pushed out to beat Never Ending Story more than five lengths in the Marcel Boussac at the Longchamp Arc meeting.
That these two are her market rivals today suggests that Blue Rose Cen only has to have luck in running – and her draw says she should – to outpoint them again today, though the form comes with a warning that any filly can suddenly bloom in the Spring and early summer.
Frankel filly Kelina, last of 12 in the Marcel Boussac, was beaten a neck by Quickstep last month, so best outsider may be Swingalong, Cheveley Park fourth (when Mawj was third) and Fred Darling third, though winners of those races were 13 lengths and more behind in the Newmarket 1,000.
BIRCHDALE CAN BOUNCE BACK
⭕ 4.55 Killarney National There could be a ‘hidden horse’ here, Birchdale, who has slipped 11lb down the handicap in the last year, after winning the Leopardstown Chase.
Fourth in the same race in February, and a good banks run latest, for Enda Bolger who has won this race three times in the last six years.
⭕ 5.45 Hamilton Another who has dropped a chunk – exactly a stone – in the last year is Object. His stable switch and good effort the last day suggests he can bounce back now.
Monsieur Kodi’s style of running means that he’s often short of room and, despite 4lb turn-around on his form with The Thin Blue Line, that one has won over 6f so the stiff finish here will suit.
DAQMAN’S BETS on Betdaq Betting Exchange
12.58 Longchamp (win 10)
BET 3pts win BROSTAIGH
2.50 Longchamp (win 10, nap)
BET 7pts win AMERICAN FLAG
3.30 Longchamp
FORTUNE COOKIE
BLUE ROSE CEN
4.55 Killarney (win 20)
BET 2.5pts win BIRCHDALE
5.45 Hamilton (win 20)
BET 3pts win THIN BLUE LINE
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