DAQMAN’S 10-1 WINNER WAS 18.5 ON BETDAQ: ‘Clearly all wrong at 18.5,’ said Daqman about yesterday’s City of Ripon Handicap winner, Maven (WON 10-1). He spent his entire column arriving step by step at his conclusion that Maven was one of two standouts in the race.
ANOTHER HANDICAP TILT AT 9.4 and 16.0: Daqman tries the same trick today in another tilt at a handicap coup in the BETDAQ-sponsored races at Kempton Park tonight, taking offers on two horses at 9.4 and 16.0 on the Daq this morning,
SECOND 10-1 FEATURE-RACE SCORER IN TWO DAYS: Maven was Daqman’s second big-feature winner at the Ripon festival. He also named winner and third, Orthopaedic Remedy (WON 10-1) and Captain Bertie (3rd 20-1), in the Ripon Rowels. So today is some kind of hat-trick mission.
7.10 Kempton Park (Betdaq 1st UK Commission Free Median Auction Maiden Stakes) Trainers in form clash here: you oppose Lady Cecil at your peril. Form figures: 2102122041. Sir Michael Stoute is 1312103.
Saeed Bin Suroor had four winners in three days up to Saturday, and Andrew Balding is on 31211322. Johnson, Cumani and Gosden are hardly slouching.
The form book gives us no encouragement for Al Arish (soft lead at Lingfield but run out of it) and Lady Cecil clearly knows something we don’t, since the gelding is bred for 6f not 1m 4f!
Mahdiyah (sire has had 111 AW winners), Mount Macedon (98) and Rancho Montoya (62) are the three most likely to be at home on today’s surface.
The American-bred Mahdiyah, who ran a pleasing debut at Kempton three weeks ago, is related to Snaafy who won a Group 3 on dirt, and the step up in trip should suit. Mount Macedon and Rancho Montoya appear to be looking for a handicap mark after their obligatory third run today.
Omnipresent, however, runs in a maiden for the fourth consecutive time, always a worry when you are dealing with a leading handicap trainer.
8.10 Kempton Park (£200 Free Bets At Betdaq Handicap, London Mile Series Handicap) Saeed Bin Suroor, who gets my vote in the first BETDAQ race, won this handicap last year and has the keen-going Ehtedaam in with a decent chance today, hooded for the first time.
But the difference is that his 2013 winner was a three-year-old (Ehtedaam is four) and you would normally expect the Classic generation to land the all-aged handicaps at this time of year. Gosden has one in it. Seek Again. I might have renamed it Look No Further, but for an off-putting draw in the 12 stall.
But Seek Again is currently one of the joint favourites for the Cambridgeshire, which Gosden won with a three-year-old, Pipedreamer, in 2007.
Pipedreamer scored off 102 and the most recent second-season winner of the first leg of the Autumn Double, Bronze Angel last year, off 95. That’s exactly where Seek Again resides in the ratings right now, so the switch to AW seems a canny move to keep him winning but avoid a weights rise. A banker but for that bad draw.
In fact, I can envisage plenty of jostling for position, with front-runner Maverick also in a wide stall. As well as Seek Again, six others – Maverick, Emilio Largo, Jacobs Cat (Spencer’s only evening ride), Loyalty, Shahdaroba (can also lead) and Well Painted – have all been seen in class 2 on turf.
It’s a tester for William Buick, whose strike rate is a poor 1-20 since he romped home at York on The Fugue, but he seems to have an animal under him with a telling burst of speed.
From one extreme to another (the one stall), Emilio Largo owes me after losing my hard-earned in a couple of handicaps this year. Maybe Polytrack is the answer. The stable is 7-14 in the last fortnight. I’ll go 1, 2, 3: Seek Again, Emilio Largo, Well Painted.
8.40 Kempton Park (Commission Free 1st Month At Betdaq Handicap) No three-year-olds. Not much help from the draw (it’s a 2m race). No clues in the early-doors betting, with 6.0 the field on BETDAQ.
Ehtidaam’s winning an earlier race would boost Halling’s Quest, who steps up to this distance for the first time. Cousin Khee and Spiritofmintoul are also lightly raced and could improve for a trip.
Class horse of the race is Desert Recluse, CD winner of the Queens Prize (class 2) off this mark in the Spring, and has kept good company since against the likes of Broxbourne and Tiger Cliff, and his Kempton form since his debut is 10310.
Trainer Pat Eddery implies that he’s pressing the ‘green-for-go’ button today by booking William Buick for the potential ‘job.’
Presto Volante and Meetings Man cannot be ignored but, for me, the main danger to a Desert Recluse turn-up (16.0 on BETDAQ this morning) is Mexicali.
Trainer Dean Ivory has been having one of his best years, and is looking to get off the 13-winner mark on AW, with Kempton his favourite track, and fresh from a hat-trick on Saturday, including two Listeds.
Mexicali (9.4 this morning) won over today’s CD in early July and was stepped up from a class-5 maiden straight into the marathon 2m 5f Goodwood Stakes (class 2), well there two out. Richard Hughes booked.
9.10 Kempton Park (Winners Are Welcome At Betdaq Fillies’ Handicap) This may end up as a battle of the Godolphin trainers, Charlie Applnby (Sugar House) and Saeed Bin Suroor (Spokeswoman).
Their main opposition in the market isn’t great: Hidden Belief (won in first-time hood but it hasn’t worked since) and Trucanini (struggles to win, and raised in class and weight).
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 2.5pts win FIRST CLASS FAVOUR (4.30 Carlisle)
BET 2.3pts win EMILIO LARGO (8.10 Kempton)
BET 2.3pts win MEXICALI, and 1.3pts win and place DESERT RECLUSE (8.40 Kempton)
BET 5.2pts win SUGAR HOUSE and 3.4pts win SPOKESWOMAN (8.10 Kempton)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 10pts win on each MAHDIYAH (7.10 Kempton) and SEEK AGAIN (nap, 8.10 Kempton), 3pts win double the two, and 2 x 1pt win trebles the same ones with both MEXICALI and DESERT RECLUSE (8.40 Kempton)
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