DAQMAN WINS 20 LENGTHS: The 20-lengths winner, Creepy (WON 6-4), was one of only two runners from Daqman’s selections yesterday.
BANKER IN BETDAQ RACES: Today there are 11.0 and 14.5 bets, as Daqman analyses Nottingham, Salisbury and the BETDAQ races at Kempton Park tonight, which include a banker bet.
ARC ABC GUIDE TOMORROW: He opens with more stats for the supporting races on Arc day at Longchamp. Look out tomorrow for his ABC Guide to the big race itself.
MIMOSA CAN BLOOM IN THE GOLD CUP
Prix du Cadran (French Gold Cup) No longer has the clout of its glory decade (1969-79), which featured all-time greats Levmoss, Sagaro and Buckskin, and recent winning raiders from this side of the channel had finished only fifth and seventh in the Ascot Gold Cup.
This year’s challenge includes the Doncaster Cup second and fifth Whiplash Willie and Biographer. But the big news for Ireland today is that the Lonsdale Cup winner and Irish St Leger fifth Pale Mimosa is expected to be in the line-up.
Prix Lagardere News of the two-year-old tests is that The Wow Signal (Coventry, Prix Morny) could clash with Aktabantay (Solario Stakes), Belardo (Washington Singer) and the Ballydoyle choice of Gleneagles (Futurity and National Stakes) and War Envoy.
Prix de la Foret Top-class winners of this between 2008-13 were Goldikova, Paco Boy, Dream Ahead and Moonlight Cloud last year.
The stats are against Gordon Lord Byron. Only one horse over the age of five has win since the 1960s. The 2012 winner, he was runner-up to Moonlight Cloud last year, with Garswood a short-neck third.
Garswood, who won his only Group 1 on soft ground, will be ridden by Gerard Mosse, but there are drying conditions on the (currently) good-to-soft terrain. No more rain is forecast in Paris until next Tuesday.
Prix de l’Opera Three-year-olds dominate (five out of six) and, though Jim Bolger and Sir Michael Stoute have won it before, the French are currently holding the fort, drawbridge raised, with seven out of the last eight winners.
But that hasn’t stopped a strong raid from these islands: 50% of the 18 declared are English or Irish, including Chicquita (also engaged in the Arc), Tapestry, Ribbons, Sultanina and Just the Judge.
CATCH A FALLING STAR AT 11.0 OFFERS
3.45 Nottingham (Grassroots Middle Distance Series Final) The leading trainer on the Colwick Park track, Charlie Appleby, has two good chances here with No Win No Fee and Donny Rover.
But Maven is the only horse in the race to have won at this level and is put into contention by the 7lb claim of Rachel Richardson, who won on the mare at Pontefract in the Spring and just missed out in the Kilkerran Cup (class 2) at Ayr two weeks back. A big 14.5 on BETDAQ this morning.
4.50 Nottingham (Grassroots Sprint Series Final) Richard Fahey has tried two big handicaps with Sammy Jo Bell aboard Arctic Feeling when fourth in the Bold Lad Sprint at The Curragh and seventh in the Ayr Silver Cup.
But the gelding can’t beat Mon Brav on York form in July if everything drops right for Brian Ellison’s runner, and that takes us to the July Course in late August for one of the qualifiers for this.
Triple Chocolate (6.4 this morning) beat Best Trip that day, Front Page News fourth, with Mon Brav and Amadeus Wolfe Tone well beaten off.
5.00 Salisbury Daylight is back to his winning mark in his right class after dropping a couple of grades but finding the ground too soft. So a lot depends on whether the rain has held off on this cloudy day.
Royal Brave keeps edging up in the weights and has so far done best at the minimum trip. Vallarta is a CD winner who would come into it if the ground rides firm.
That also applies to Tamayuz Star, who ran in the Jersey Stakes as a three-year-old. He is still falling in the handicap, now 15lb below his last winning mark and is better than the bare form.
A wide draw would hinder an out-and-out sprinter in this field but it could help this one, in that he’s a 7f winner who needs to be given plenty of work to do.
Musicora didn’t much respond to first-time hood on the last day so the newly-applied blinkers may not make much difference either; we’ll see.
But the fitting of visors in the Spring has helped concentrate Panther Patrol’s mind and he’s had a fine season, up 12lb since improving this summer.
This is class 4 and none of them are reliable but the BETDAQ market this morning is big at 11.0 about Tamayuz Star in a wide-open race (8.2 the field, 110% orange).
BRAVO BIG-RACE TEST IN BETDAQ NURSERY
6.45 Kempton Park (Betdaq 50% Commission Refund Novice Stakes) Subsequent runner in the Pattern, Red Galileo won this last year after class-2 places on turf.
Today’s renewal is hot, with Chadic the one who has played in the Pattern but is looking vulnerable to five maiden winners. At this stage, any one of them ‘could be anything.’
There is another Pattern link. Gibeon beat the subsequent Haynes, Hanson and Clark runner-up (short-headed) at Newmarket, though that was on soft ground and his form collapsed last time out.
Sharp Sailor tried to make all over today’s CD in a BETDAQ conditions race in September, and Nona Blu won his maiden over CD. Typhoon Season’s brother scored over a Polytrack mile.
Chadic and Gibeon have Racing Post Trophy entries and Gibeon may be worth another chance for Richard Hannon, who has won more two-year-old races than the other trainers here put together.
7.15 Kempton Park (Betdaq £200 Games Bonus Nursery) Bravo Zolo is the Racing Post entry here. He quickened up from the front over CD on the last day, and looks ahead of the game.
He should be able to see off Subversive, already a make-all winner, and likely to fly the traps in first-time visors. The others look exposed to the handicapper.
7.45 Kempton Park (Betdaq 3% Commission Handicap) Masterpaver is the Polytrack lover in the field but has to give weight to the other three-year-old, Collaboration, whose sire does well on AW and is noted for late developers.
Of the older horses, Daaree is two from two on AW but at Wolverhampton, and it remains to be seen whether Kempton suits as well.
Rosie Probert, who has spent most of her career over hurdles, has won twice when fresh but her winning Flat (turf) jockey, Richard Hughes, prefers Masterpaver.
Opera Box, another Polytrack winner, looks set for a solid autumn campaign. Drops down to level 4 for the first time since scoring from a big field at Sandown 13 months back, and ran well here recently after a break. Gives weight all round but well backed on BETDAQ early mouse.
Trainer Marcus Tregoniing’s string is in peak form, with a week’s figures of 211133, including of course the Cambridgeshire with Bronze Angel again.
8.15 Kempton Park (Betdaq £30 Free Bet handicap) A pinstickers’ race but Tregoning again catches the eye, with Sweeping Rock, never out of the first four in the summer but claimed off now.
Ferryview Place is another consistent sort, while Brave Decision is the AW specialist, with wins at Kempton, Lingfield and Wolverhampton.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points each)
BET 1.4pts win and place MAVEN (3.45 Nottingham)
BET 3.7pts win TRIPLE CHOCOLATE (4.50 Nottingham)
BET 2pts win and place TAMAYUZ STAR, and 1pt win and place DAYLIGHT (5.00 Salisbury)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) BRAVO ZOLO (7.15 Kempton Park)
BET 6pts win OPERA BOX (7.45 Kempton Park)
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