New York Jets (1-3, 0-3-1 ATS) @ San Diego Chargers (3-1, 4-0 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: San Diego -6.5 (43.5)
Significant Injuries
New York: WR Eric Decker (questionable– hamstring), WR David Nelson (questionable– ankle)
San Diego: TE David Johnson (questionable– shoulder), LB Dwight Freeney (questionable– knee), DT Corey Liuget (questionable– concussion), LB Jeremiah Attachou (out– hamstring), RB Ryan Mathews (out– knee), G Rich Ohrnberger (out– back), LB Manti Te’o (out– foot), LB Reggie Walker (out– ankle), CB Shareece Wright (out– knee)
Recent Trends
New York is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these 2 teams
New York is 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 road games
New York is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games
San Diego is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall
The OVER is 6-2 in New York’s last 8 road games
The OVER is 4-1 in San Diego’s last 5 home games
The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back New York
1. The Jets can run the ball and they can stop the run– they rank 1st in rushing defense, surrendering just 63 yards per game on the ground, and 2nd in rushing offense. The ability to run the ball and stop the run is the foundation of winning football.
2. San Diego has a one-dimensional offense and a defense that struggles against the pass, so they’re far from the perfect team that many are making them out to be. And they never have success against the Jets, either, covering just twice in the last 8 meetings between the two teams.
3. The Chargers are really banged-up heading into this game, as 9 key contributors are either lister as ‘questionable’ or ‘out’. The Jets, on the other hand, are as healthy as they’ve been all season. Can a San Diego team that’s considerably less than full strength cover 6.5 against the fearsome Jets defense? Seems unlikely…
The reasons to back San Diego
1. Philip Rivers is one of the NFL’s very best quarterbacks and he’s having an All Pro-caliber year, as his 282 pass yards per game are 5th-most in the league. This week he’ll be facing a Jets defense that has had major problems in the secondary, specifically at the cornerback position. It’s a great matchup for Rivers and the San Diego offense.
2. The Jets have an ugly offense (again) that is producing just 19.8 points per game. Their main problem continues to be quarterback Geno Smith, who has turned the ball over more than any player in the NFL since the beginning of last season.
3. The Chargers have been the best team in the NFL to back this season, covering in all 4 of their games, while the Jets are one of only three teams with a winless ‘ATS’ record. Don’t make this more complicated than it has to be: San Diego has consistently exceeded expectations while the Jets always fall short. Place your bets accordingly.
Prediction
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