Oakland Raiders (0-7, 3-4 ATS) @ Seattle Seahawks (4-3, 3-4 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Seattle -14 (43)
Significant Injuries
Oakland: WR Kenbrell Thompkins (questionable– personal), CB Keith McGill (questionable– groin), WR Vincent Brown (questionable– hamstring), TE David Ausberry (questionable– foot), WR Rod Streater (out– foot)
Seattle: C Max Unger (questionable– foot), CB Byron Maxwell (questionable– calf), DT Jordan Hill (questionable– ankle), LB Bobby Wagner (out– toe), TE Zach Miller (out– ankle)
Recent Trends
Oakland is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these 2 teams
Oakland is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record
Seattle is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing fewer than 15 points in their previous game
Seattle is 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games
The home team is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these 2 teams
The UNDER is 4-0 in Oakland’s last 4 road games
The UNDER is 6-2 in Seattle’s last 8 home games
The OVER is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Oakland
1. Boy, that’s a lot of points.
2. The Raiders have quietly improved since Tony Sparano took over as head coach for the fired Dennis Allen, as they’ve lost each of their past 3 games by 11 points or fewer despite facing three winning teams. They’ve also been competitive on the road this season, losing by 5 to the New York Jets, by 7 to New England, and by 10 to the Cleveland Browns. Plus, the Seahawks are very conservative offensively, so it’s going to be difficult for them to score enough to cover this number.
3. Boy, that’s a lot of points.
Three reasons to back Seattle
1. Seattle is better than the Raiders in every conceivable way. They’ve won more games, they score more points, they allow fewer points, they have more Pro Bowler, they have a more accomplished coaching staff… the list goes on. Any Oakland argument here must begin and end with “boy, that’s a lot of points”.
2. The Seahawks consistently exceed expectations at home, as evidenced by their 40-19-1 record against the spread in their last 60 home games. The Raiders, on the other hand, have covered just once in their last 6 road games against teams with winning records despite being underdogs in all 6 of those games.
3. The Raiders have one of the NFL’s worst offenses, a unit that ranks 31st (out of 32) in both yards per game and points per game and 32nd (a.k.a. dead last) in rushing. Their chances of success are almost nonexistent against a Seattle defense that ranks in the top 10 in every major statistical category and features the infamous Legion of Boom secondary.
Prediction
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