PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for a busy days racing including the Victoria Cup at Ascot.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
Whether you are a BETDAQ backer or layer – you can combine the PROFORM generated stats below with the latest BETDAQ markets to help with your betting.
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Ascot 1-55: Saeed Bin Suroor and William Buick have a healthy 27% strike rate together, they team up in the first at Ascot today with Reach High, currently 2.1.
Ascot 3-05: Wayne Lordan has had nearly three times more than his expected winners at Ascot thus far, he rides Torcedor who is currently 7.0 on BETDAQ.
Ascot 4-15: Charlie Appleby and Adam Kirby have a 29% strike rate when they team up together, they have an outsider here in the Victoria Cup – Flash Fire is 36.0.
Haydock 4-30: Daryl Jacob has a 41% strike rate over fences at Haydock with over double his expected winners, he rides Javert in the 4-30 on a mixed card today at Haydock.
Lingfield 1-45: Hughie Morrison and Ryan Moore have a 32% strike rate when they team up together, Baltic Brave is 3.6 in the first on trials day at Lingfield.
Lingfield 3-25: Hugo Palmer continues to be in great form after his 2000 Guineas win, he’s had double his expected winners in the past 14 days, and he saddles Architecture at 3.3.
Lingfield 4-35: Ed Dunlop and Silvestre De Sousa also have a 32% strike rate when they team up together, and have had over double their expected winners, Dutch Uncle is 3.4.
Nottingham 3-50: Joey Haynes has had nearly three times his expected winners at Nottingham, he starts his day on Iseemist at 9.0.
Nottingham 4-25 and 4-55: Karl Burke has saddles nearly double his expected winners at Nottingham, he has two outsiders today – Lostock Hall is 23.0 and Zainat at 26.0.
Hexham 2-55: Stuart Coltherd has saddles over double his expected winners over fences at Hexham, he has an outsider here, Quick Decision is 17.0.
Hexham 3-30: Micky Hammond and Joe Colliver have a 38% strike rate when they team up over hurdles here, they have Taylor, who is currently 10.5 on BETDAQ.
Thirsk 5-35: Sam James has a healthy 24% strike rate at Thirsk, double his expected, he starts his day on Fly With Emirates at 4.4.
Thirsk 6-05: Peter Chapple-Hyam and Paul Mulrennan have a 33% strike rate when they team up, Sabre Squadron is 9.6 on BETDAQ.
Warwick 5-15: A small sample but Paul Nicholls and Conor O’Farrell are 4 from 8 together, they have The Outlaw here at 3.5.
Warwick 7-20: Malcolm Jefferson and Jamie Hamilton have had nearly double their expected winners together, they team up with Card Game at 9.4 in a very open betting heat.
Warwick 8-20: Richard Johnson has a 30% strike rate in Bumpers at Warwick, he rides Le Breuil at 8.2 on BETDAQ.
Wexford 2-05, 3-10 and 3-45: Jessica Harrington and Colm O’Donoghue have had over double their expected winners together and Harrington is in superb form too, Cockney Wren is 11.5, Palavicini Run is 11.0 and English Pale is 6.4.
Wexford 2-35: Dermot Weld and Pat Smullen have had double their expected winners together at Wexford, they have Shinghari at 3.2.
Ascot 3-05: Amanda Perrett is 0 from 31 with her runners at Ascot, she has the favourite here, Astronereus at 5.0.
Ascot 4-45: Martin Lane has only had 2 winners from 63 rides around Ascot, he takes the ride on Gold Club at 14.5.
Haydock 3-55: Tony Hamilton should have had over double the amount of winners he has had at Haydock thus far, Dont Touch is 2.66.
Lingfield 1-45: Chris Dwyer’s strike rate around Lingfield is only 6%, obviously below his expected, he saddles the favourite Baileys Mirage at 2.84.
Lingfield 3-25, 4-00 and 5-05: Ryan Moore has had below his expected winners on turf at Lingfield thus far, he rides Seventh Heaven at 4.2, Landofhopeandglory at 5.6 and Krebs Cycle at 2.42.
Nottingham 2-10: Robert Havlin has only won on 3 of his 65 rides around Nottingham when his expected was over 8, he rides Hermitage Bay in the first, currently 2.9 to lay on BETDAQ.
Nottingham 2-40: Scott Dixon is 0 from 44 with his runners here, he saddles Coiste Bodhar, currently 9.4 on BETDAQ.
Nottingham 5-30: Michael Easterby and Danielle Mooney have only teamed up for 2 winners from 102 tries together, Bajan Rebel is favourite at 4.8.
Hexham 1-50: Donald McCain’s strike rate over hurdles at Hexham is only 13%, considering the firepower he has and his expected that’s disappointing, Move To The Groove is 9.4.
Hexham 4-40: Henry Brooke has only managed 1 winner from 50 over fences here when his expected was nearly 6, Abbey Storm is 15.0.
Thirsk 8-05: Tracy Waggott and Connor Beasley strike rate together is only 2%, they team up again with Windforpower at 8.2.
Warwick 8-20: A relatively small sample but Alan King is only 1 from 17 in Warwick Bumpers when his expected was nearly 3, David Cricket is 6.2.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: SHINGHARI 2-35 Wexford, at around 3.2.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: HERMITAGE BAY 2-10 Nottingham, at around 2.9.
Prices quoted reflect those available on BETDAQ at the time of writing and are subject to fluctuation thereafter
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