Seattle Seahawks (8-4, 6-6 ATS) @ Philadelphia Eagles (9-3, 8-4 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Philadelphia -1 (48)
Significant Injuries
Seattle: CB Jeremy Lane (questionable– glute), TE Cooper Helfet (doubtful– ankle), C Max Unger (out– knee)
Philadelphia: TE Trey Burton (questionable– hamstring), QB Nick Foles (out– collarbone)
Recent Trends
Seattle is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 December games
Seattle is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning record
Philadelphia is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
Philadelphia is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record
The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these 2 teams
The OVER is 4-1 in Seattle’s last 5 games following a win
The UNDER is 9-3 in Seattle’s last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record
The OVER is 5-1 in Philadelphia’s last 6 home games
Three reasons to back Seattle
1.The defending champs have regained their form after hitting a midseason rough patch, winning 5 of their past 6 games and dominating division rivals Arizona and San Francisco over the past two weeks. They’ve proven their worth in the toughest of situations, which is precisely what their opponent this week, Philadelphia, has not done. The Eagles have beaten up on some bad teams over the past month but they’ve failed miserably when faced with elite competition, losing by 33 points to Green Bay in Week 11.
2. The Seahawks rank 1st in total defense (once again) and they’re playing their best football at the moment, holding division rivals San Francisco and Arizona to 3 points apiece over the past two weeks. Now they get to face Mark Sanchez, a quarterback whose time in New York was chock-full of lowlights. Sanchez has been a turnover machine throughout his career, so trusting him with your money in a spot like this is certainly not advisable.
3. Philadelphia has a porous defense that ranks 24th in yards allowed and 26th against the pass, while Seattle leads the league in rushing and ranks 11th in points scored. Russell Wilson and the ‘Hawks will be able to do whatever they want to do in this game.
Three reasons to back Philadelphia
1. The Eagles have been excellent at home lately, covering in 4 consecutive games, and Seattle is notoriously worse on the road than at home under Pete Carroll. That’s definitely been true this year, as the Seahawks have lost 3 times on the road and only once at home. The venue matters in this case, and Philly should be backed enthusiastically as a short home favorite.
2. Seattle simply hasn’t seen an offense like Philadelphia’s lately, as each of their last 7 opponent have ranked 15th or worse in total offense. The Eagles rank 4th in both yards per game and points per game and they’ve been nearly unstoppable with Mark Sanchez under center, averaging over 35 points per game in Sanchez’s four starts. The Seahawks aren’t nearly as good on defense as they were last year but that fact has been obscured somewhat due to their schedule. They’ll be exposed this week.
3. The Seattle offense is run-first to the point of being one-dimensional, as they average just 192 pass yards per game. That means this is a great matchup for a Philadelphia defense that struggles against the pass but is tough up front, ranking 11th against the run. The Seahawks won’t be able to push this Philly defense around and based on their passing numbers they have little chance of out-scoring the high-flying Eagles if this game turns into a shootout.
Prediction
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