PREMIER LEAGUE MONDAY: The Striker previews ARSENAL v BURNLEY with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
ARSENAL V BURNLEY
8pm We have Monday Night Football from the Premier League to enjoy this week on Betdaq Betting Exchange! It’s the latest instalment in the title race as Arsenal host the already relegated Burnley at the Emirates in what is, on paper, one of the most comfortable fixtures imaginable for the Gunners. Yet the pressure could hardly be greater. The title race is going down to the wire, and Arsenal know that anything less than maximum points is simply not good enough. To be honest, it’s extremely difficult to see past an Arsenal win here. If anything, we should be talking about how many goals they will score rather than will they actually win.
As you would expect, Arsenal come into the game as the red-hot favourites. The home win is trading as short as 1.11 with Burnley 30.0 and the draw is 13.0 at the time of writing. That’s one of the shortest prices we’ve had all season in the Premier League. The pressure on Mikel Arteta’s side has been immense for months now, but this should be a straightforward task. Indeed, could they have asked for a better fixture at this stage of the season? Burnley have had a miserable season. Their average xG created of 1.09 is the worst attacking figure in the Premier League, and their average xG conceded of 1.89 is comfortably the worst defensive figure too. Those are dreadful numbers across both ends of the pitch, and they have translated directly into results – relegation was confirmed weeks ago and the players have been going through the motions ever since. They have not won a league game since February, and their record on the road this season has been particularly grim.
Burnley have only managed nine points away from home all season, and now it’s been ten Premier League games without a win too. Nothing suggests an upset here. Arsenal’s underlying numbers have been exceptional all season. Their average xG created of 1.70 is the fourth best attacking figure in the entire Premier League, and their average xG conceded of just 0.96 is the best defensive figure – that is a genuinely outstanding figure in a league as competitive as the Premier League. You won’t be collecting any prizes for tipping Arsenal to win at these odds, so we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value. As I said above, this one is going to be about how many goals Arsenal can score.
With Burnley having nothing to play for here, it’s hard to see them sitting back. That will play into Arsenal’s hands – but with an average xG conceded of 1.89, we know Arsenal will get plenty of chances here. Arsenal are in good goal scoring form too, and while they haven’t always been convincing, they do have a habit of taking care of the lesser sides in style. Arsenal are trading 1.86 to cover the 2.5 goal handicap, and another interesting bet is Both Teams Not To Score at 1.58 which is in effect an Arsenal clean sheet on the way to winning. I feel that offers the best value here – we have the best defence in Europe at home to the worst Premier League attack. Arsenal can run out comfortable winners and keep a clean sheet en route. I’m happy to start the week with a very confident bet!
The Striker Says:
Four points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.58 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLArBu
