SUNDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews Sunday’s games between WEST HAM v ARSENAL and ASTON VILLA v MANCHESTER UNITED both including a recommended BETDAQ bet.
WEST HAM V ARSENAL
2pm We have an intriguing Super Sunday from the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this week! Two fascinating fixtures with a London Derby between West Ham and Arsenal followed by Aston Villa hosting Manchester United. We’ve had some very mixed fortunes for these clubs over the last week with Aston Villa crashing out of the FA Cup at home to Chelsea and also Arsenal beating Liverpool to get back in the title race. It would be classic Arsenal if they followed that result up with dropping points against West Ham, but Arteta has definitely given this Arsenal squad a backbone so it’s a lot more unlikely than years gone by. The Gunners come into this game as the odds on favourites, they are trading 1.58 with West Ham 6.4 and the draw is 4.6 at the time of writing. Looking at the table, you might feel that this could be a very tricky game for Arsenal; The Hammers only fell out of the top six last weekend, however West Ham are one of the biggest over-performing sides in the Premier League this season. They have scored a lot more goals than they should, and eventually they will stop scoring from awkward angles. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see them slip down the table as the season goes on.
West Ham’s average xG created is only 1.15 which is very low. Only sides like Sheffield United, Nottingham Forest, Burnley, Luton, Crystal Palace and Wolves have been worse going forward. West Ham are also over-performing at the back too. Their average xG conceded is a whopping 1.74 which is the joint-second worse defensive figure in the Premier League – again they aren’t conceding those chances though! Arsenal have been superb going forward this season, and you just know that they are going to get a lot of chances off West Ham here. I know the Hammers have grinded out a lot of results this season and they do deserve massive credit for that – however the 1.58 on Arsenal is worth backing here There’s a huge gulf in class between the sides, and although West Ham were able to beat Arsenal 2-0 recently, Arsenal created so much that game. They finished with an xG of 2.96 compared to 0.82 – a classic example of West Ham getting away with things this season!
The Striker Says:
Three points win Arsenal to beat West Ham at 1.58 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WhuArl
ASTON VILLA V MANCHESTER UNITED
4.30pm We have a cracker for the prime TV slot this Sunday as Aston Villa host Manchester United. It’s a sign of the times that Villa come into this game as the favourites – they are trading 2.26 with Manchester United 3.2 and the draw is 3.95 at the time of writing. Although United come into this game eight points behind Aston Villa, you get the feeling that this is a massive game for both sides. Villa don’t have the experience of a Top Four battle and we all know it can be difficult to finish off the season – just ask Arsenal! A win here for United is an absolute must if they want to have any chance of getting into the Top Four battle, while for Villa they just want to keep their place and hold off Spurs. Villa would have suffered a knock to their confidence midweek when getting beaten here by Chelsea in the FA Cup; they went into that game the clear favourites and were very well supported in the market too; 2.3 into close to 2.0 by kick off. United had a smooth 3-0 win over West Ham, but they still conceded a host of chances. They just haven’t been good enough at the back all season to be honest – their average xG conceded is 1.56 which is actually higher than their average xG created!
Villa have been better than United all over the park this season. They’re probably still scratching their heads as to how they lost at Old Trafford from 2-0 up! After being so confident earlier in the season, Villa have definitely hit a few speed bumps recently. Only two wins in their last six Premier League games; those two wins coming against the bottom two sides in the table as well. At the same time, they have been much better than United this season and I wouldn’t argue to lay Villa. All things considered I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market here. I feel this game screams goals with how open United have been this season – Villa like to play an attacking game at home too. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.58 and that looks a cracking position, as does Both Teams To Score at 1.54 but I marginally prefer the Overs bet. This should be a very entertaining end-to-end game.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.58 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/AvlMun