PREMIER LEAGUE TUESDAY: The Striker previews BOURNEMOUTH v MANCHESTER CITY and CHELSEA v TOTTENHAM with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BOURNEMOUTH V MANCHESTER CITY
7.30pm We have a blockbuster Tuesday night from the Premier League on Betdaq Betting Exchange! We have two huge games at both ends of the table with Manchester City and Spurs both in action. We kick off the evening as Bournemouth host Manchester City at the Vitality Stadium. If the Gunners do the expected and take care of business against the already relegated Burnley on Monday night, Pep Guardiola’s side will find themselves five points behind again. The aim is quite easy – win here and hope Arsenal slip up on the final day, but the huge problem is Arsenal face Crystal Palace on the final day who are in the Europa Conference League only days later. They will hardly field a strong side for that game, so it appears the writing is on the wall for Pep Guardiola’s side the way the fixtures have fallen. Still, you never know what can happen and they just have to win their final two games to see what happens. They arrive at the Vitality on the back of a tremendous weekend – they won the FA Cup on Saturday, beating Chelsea 1-0 at Wembley to give them a Cup double this season. The celebration will have been brief though; there’s simply no time to rest with the title race still on.
City come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.8 with Bournemouth 4.5 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing. No surprise City are odds on here – they’ve been finishing the season strongly and City’s average xG created of 1.84 is the best attacking figure in the Premier League, while their xG conceded of 1.11 is the second best defensive figure behind Arsenal. This could be an entertaining game though because Bournemouth have impressed this season. Their average xG created of 1.57 is a genuinely impressive joint-fifth best figure in the Premier League, and their xG conceded of 1.46 is solidly mid-table, but obviously they like to play an open game and give away more chances than they should. They are finishing the season in superb form too – they are unbeaten in their last 16 Premier League matches, a run that is the longest in the top flight this season and goes all the way back to start of January. I wouldn’t be rushing to take the 1.8 on City here; obviously they had a hard game at the weekend and this is a tricky fixture too. I think we’ll see goals here – Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.5 with Both Teams To Score four ticks bigger at 1.54. I couldn’t put anyone off either bet, but I marginally prefer the Both Teams To Score option at 1.54 in what should be an entertaining end-to-end game.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Both Teams To Score at 1.54 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLBoMc
CHELSEA V TOTTENHAM
8.15pm We finish Tuesday night with another huge game as Chelsea host Spurs at Stamford Bridge in a London derby. While it might feel like Chelsea’s season is over, a strong finish will see them break back into the European spots, so they have a lot to play for. They have finished the season terribly though, and obviously with the appointment of Xabi Alonso for next season it almost feels like they have wrote this season off already. However, if they got into the Europa Conference League for example, they would be favourites to win that. Spurs, remarkably, arrive as the form team in this fixture. Roberto De Zerbi has steadied the ship considerably, and Spurs are unbeaten in their last four matches. They enter the game two points clear of the relegation zone and with West Ham losing to Newcastle on Sunday, they know that a win here could save their season. It’s quite easy to poke holes in both of these sides, so it’s hard to have confidence in either to be honest. Chelsea are the favourites at 2.1 with Spurs 3.8 and the draw is 3.75 at the time of writing.
With Chelsea in such dismal form and Spurs having everything to play for in the relegation battle, I wouldn’t be rushing to take the 2.1 on the home win. It hardly jumps off the page as good value, and they need to pick themselves up after losing the FA Cup Final to Manchester City at the weekend too. Chelsea have gone seven Premier League games without a win though, and they’ve failed to even score in five of them. Chelsea’s average xG created of 1.57 is the joint-fifth best attacking figure in the Premier League, but as we’ve seen this season they’ve been deeply incapable of converting that into results of late. Their xG conceded of 1.29 is the third best defensive figure, yet zero clean sheets in their last ten is a damning indictment of their recent form. Spurs, on the other hand, have an average xG created of 1.33 which is their biggest limitation, while their xG conceded of 1.41 is similarly poor – this is a Spurs side that has underperformed all season. However, in fairness to Spurs they seem to be getting the job done towards the end of the season and I do feel the 2.1 on Chelsea is desperately short here. From a value point of view, I’m happy with a small Chelsea lay.
The Striker Says:
One point lay (liability) Chelsea to beat Tottenham at 2.1 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLChTo
