PREMIER LEAGUE WEDNESDAY: The Striker previews Wednesday’s Premier League games between BRIGHTON v SPURS and ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL both with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
BRIGHTON V TOTTENHAM
7.30pm All eyes might be on the Champions League Last 16 tonight on BETDAQ Betting Exchange, but we have two cracking Premier League fixtures to enjoy as well. We really do have two fascinating games from a betting point of view. Both away sides are the favourites and will be expected to win, but they have tough challenge ahead. Arsenal v Liverpool will take most of the headlines tonight, but we start the evening with Brighton hosting Spurs. Brighton slipped to a fifth defeat in a row at the weekend with a 2-0 loss to Liverpool – to be fair to them they wouldn’t have been expected to pick up points against Liverpool as Klopp’s side are in incredible form at the moment, but the losses to Burnley, Aston Villa and Newcastle in a row have to be a worry. Spurs didn’t play too badly at the weekend against Manchester United in the sense that they weren’t completely outplayed they were just beaten by a superb performance from Ronaldo. It was really Ronaldo’s day and he pretty much beat Spurs on his own. If you want to take the xG figures on their own, Spurs actually created the better chances but Ronaldo was just on form. That first goal was incredible – it had a probability of 2%!
Despite Spurs being outplayed by Ronaldo, they do have plenty to worry about. At times they are unplayable, and at times they are dreadful. I don’t think anyone knows what version turns up either, and they can be incredible in parts of the game and woeful in others. That just sums up Spurs to be honest! I know Brighton arrive into this fixture on a losing run, but I would be worried about Spurs here. Even taking away the loss to United, they have lost to Middlesbrough and Burnley in their other recent away games. They beat Leeds away in between those games but Leeds have been poor, and to be honest the Manchester City win came from nowhere. It’s hard to see Spurs repeating that performance to be honest – it was a once off. Brighton were totally outplayed by Liverpool at the weekend, but the games against Burnley, Aston Villa and Newcastle were pretty even – they just came out on the wrong side of them. I think Spurs are about the right price at 2.32 in the sense that they should win, but I just don’t trust them. Both sides have been conceding plenty of goals, and Spurs are scoring plenty too – the best option here is over 2.5 goals in what should be an open and entertaining game.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 2.16 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQBrittm
MATCH STATS
● Brighton have won their last two Premier League home games against Spurs, having won just two of their first seven at home against them in league competition (D1 L4).
● Spurs have won five of their eight Premier League meetings with Brighton (D1 L2), though all of their failures to win have come at the Amex Stadium.
● Brighton have won just four of their 34 midweek (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) Premier League games (D14 L16), and are winless in all five such games this term (D3 L2). However, those four victories have come in games against Crystal Palace, Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City.
● Since the start of last season, Tottenham have lost four of their seven Premier League games played on Wednesday (W2 D1), having lost just three of their previous 17 such games in the competition (W14).
● Having lost just four of their first 23 Premier League games this season, Brighton have now lost each of their last five in a row. They last lost six consecutive league games back in February/March 2006, a season in which they were relegated from the Championship.
● Tottenham have lost five of their last eight Premier League games (W3), as many as they had in their previous 20 in the competition (W12 D3). Away from home, Spurs have alternated between victory and defeat in their last six Premier League games, losing 3-2 at Man Utd last time out.
● Brighton have failed to score in 29 Premier League home games since their promotion to the division in 2017 – no team has failed to do so more often than the Seagulls in that time.
● Tottenham have benefitted from five own goals in the Premier League this season, more than any other side. They’ve never had more goals scored via own goals in a single campaign in the competition’s history (also 5 in 2013-14 and 2019-20).
● Spurs manager Antonio Conte has a 100% Premier League win record against Brighton, winning both games in 2017-18 with Chelsea. The only manager to face the Seagulls more often without dropping points is Ole Gunnar Solskjær, who won all five of his games against them.
● Tottenham striker Harry Kane has scored 94 goals in 138 Premier League away games – one more strike will see him become the all-time highest goalscorer on the road in the competition’s history.
ARSENAL V LIVERPOOL
8.15pm Arsenal host Liverpool next in what should be a very entertaining fixture. It’s a shame it clashes with the Champions League Last 16 tonight, but the Premier League are trying their best to catch up on fixtures missed due to the Covid19 outbreak around Christmas time and we also have the FA Cup Quarter Finals at the weekend too. This is a massive game for both sides when you look at the table. Pretty much every game is a must win game for Liverpool now as they try to chase down Manchester City at the top of the table, and while Arsenal are in pole position for that fourth spot and Champions League football they can’t afford to let it slip. You have to say that Arsenal are in a superb position – they start this fixture one point ahead of Manchester United and they also have three games in hand. Even as unreliable as Arsenal are, I’m not sure they could mess up that position. Even if they lose here, they could still be clear of Manchester United in a few weeks who aren’t exactly winning every game at the moment either. It would be a fantastic achievement for Arteta to bring back Champions League football to Arsenal after so many years without it, and he’s going to do it too. Although Arsenal fans are in a good mood at the moment, I can’t get away from the Liverpool win here at 1.92.
You have to give Arsenal credit for this season, but they do come up well short against the top sides. They were played off the park when the sides met in November an Anfield with Liverpool winning 4-0, and I felt Arsenal had a great chance in the League Cup Semi-Final too but they lost 2-0 over two legs when Liverpool winning the tie away from home without their star players too. Liverpool are playing some exceptional football at the moment and you can’t help but be impressed by their xG figures. They completely controlled another game at the weekend and while Arsenal do come into this game with confidence, they just aren’t in the same league as Liverpool. Like I said, Arsenal just keep coming up short against the top sides and this should be no different. Liverpool are playing so well at the moment I’m happy to have a Max Bet at 1.92 which looks incredible value.
The Striker Says:
Five points win Liverpool to beat Arsenal at 1.92 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQArsliv
MATCH STATS
● Arsenal have won just one of their last 18 meetings with Liverpool in all competitions (D8 L9), beating them 2-1 at home in July 2020 with the Reds as recently crowned champions.
● Liverpool have won their last two away games against Arsenal in all competitions, as many as they had in their previous 24 visits to the Emirates/Highbury combined (D10 L12). The Reds have never won three in a row away against the Gunners in their history.
● Arsenal have failed to score in any of their last five meetings with Liverpool in all competitions, since an Alexandre Lacazette strike at Anfield in September 2020. Only against the Reds themselves have the Gunners had a longer run without a goal in their history (6 games between 1997 and 2000).
● Arsenal are unbeaten in all eight of their midweek (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) Premier League home games under Mikel Arteta (W5 D3), which includes a 2-1 Wednesday win over Liverpool in July 2020.
● Arsenal come into this match currently on a five-match winning run in the Premier League, and Liverpool do so having won each of their last eight in the competition; it’s only the third time in the competition’s history that two sides will face each other while both on 5+ game winning runs, and the first since a 4-4 draw between Arsenal and Liverpool at Anfield in April 2009.
● Liverpool have won their last eight Premier League games, scoring 21 goals and conceding just two in this run. Away from home, the Reds have only failed to win five of their 14 Premier League games this season (D3 L2), though four of those came against London clubs.
● Arsenal are looking to win six consecutive Premier League games for the first time since a run of seven between August and October 2018 under Unai Emery. At home, the Gunners have lost just one of their last 13 Premier League games (W10 D2), going down 2-1 against Manchester City on New Year’s Day.
● Liverpool’s Diogo Jota has scored five goals in last four appearances against Arsenal in all competitions, netting a brace on each of his last two visits to the Emirates. Indeed, only Jamie Vardy (5) has netted more goals at Arsenal’s Emirates Stadium as a visitor than the Portuguese.
● Since Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang played his last game for Arsenal (December 6th vs Everton), Alexandre Lacazette has been involved in 10 goals in 11 Premier League appearances (3 goals, 7 assists), more than any other Gunners player in that time.
● Mohamed Salah has been directly involved in 30 goals in 26 games for Liverpool in the Premier League this season. This is the second time he has scored 20+ goals and provided 10+ assists in a Premier League campaign (also in 2017-18), while only Thierry Henry also achieved this in multiple seasons in the competition (in 2002-03 and 2004-05).
