SATURDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews the pick of the action in the Bundesliga, La Liga and Serie A all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BAYERN MUNICH V BOCHUM
2.30pm We have another excellent Saturday around Europe on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE with action from the Bundesliga, La Liga and Serie A. We kick off the day in the Bundesliga as Bayern Munich host Bochum. Bayern will be fully expected to win here, and they are trading as short as 1.12 at the time of writing which is the shortest price from the major leagues in Europe this weekend. Even Manchester City are trading a bigger price to win at home this weekend in the Premier League! Bayern were involved in a 4-3 thriller against Manchester United midweek in the Champions League, and they should have no problem finding plenty of goals here. This is a case of how many goals can Bayern score rather than will they win in my opinion – you won’t get rich backing them at 1.12, but they are a nice selection for any Acca this weekend. Bochum haven’t managed a win in the Bundesliga yet this season, but they have managed three draws from four games. One of those draws came against Dortmund too which is obviously impressive, but they did have home advantage.
Away from home here against the best side in the Bundesliga, it’s hard to see anything bar a Bayern win. You basically can’t fault Bayern looking at their under-lining numbers. I know they dropped points with a draw against Bayer Leverkusen, but Leverkusen have been playing exceptional football as well this season. Bayern’s average xG figure this season is 2.37, and we should see plenty of action here. Despite not winning a game, Bochum’s under-lining numbers aren’t too bad. They are creating an average xG of 1.6 which is the seventh best in the Bundesliga at the moment – they are conceding plenty of chances too though, they’re average xG conceded is 1.51 and you just can’t give away chances like that against a side like Bayern. I can see plenty of goals here, and the bet I like is Both Teams To Score at 1.98. Bochum have been creating enough to suggest they can find the net at some point, and Bayern will likely ease up when they score three or four goals too.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score at 1.98 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BayBch
BARCELONA V CELTA VIGO
5.30pm We move over to La Liga next as Barcelona host Celta Vigo. Since dropping points in their opening game of the La Liga season with a 0-0 against Getafe, Barcelona have been faultless. They are still two points behind Real Madrid though, which is a gap they’ll want to close soon as it seems like the title race is going to be very close this season! Barcelona had a smooth 5-0 win midweek in the Champions League, and they are averaging an xG created of 2.13 in La Liga this season. In short, they couldn’t be in better form. At times they have made mistakes at the back, but their average xG conceded in La Liga is only 1.10 which is actually the second best figure this season in Spain. That title goes to Valencia, who have only conceded an average xG of 1.01 this season. With Barcelona in such good form, they’ll be fully expected to win here and they come into the game as the heavy odds on favourites. They are trading 1.33 at the time of writing with Celta Vigo 10.0 and the draw is 6.2. Celta Vigo have been playing good football this season, and we should have a good game here.
Celta Vigo have only managed four points from their five games this season. They started the weekend sitting just outside the relegation zone with that record too, but their position in the table doesn’t tell the whole story. Their under-lining numbers are quite good, and they have been playing decent football. Their average xG created is 1.55 which is actually the sixth best in La Liga this season – they are conceding chances, but their average xG conceded isn’t too high at 1.31. It’s hard to see past a Barcelona win here, but it might not be as easy as the market expects. I did consider Celta Vigo +1.5 goals in the Handicap market, but I prefer Both Teams To Score 1.94 which is within six ticks of the Handicap price. Celta have created enough to find the net at some stage, and we should have an open game here.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score at 1.94 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BarClt
LAZIO V MONZA
7.45pm We move over to Serie A to finish the day as Lazio host Monza. It’s been an eventful week for Lazio; they drew 1-1 with Atletico Madrid in the Champions League but we had incredible scenes as the goalkeeper scored for Lazio in the 95th minute. It was really a “that’s why we all love football so much” moment. Incredible! In Serie A, Lazio are struggling though. They have only managed three points from four games, and at the moment it’s odds on that they will lose their spot in the top four. You could say that they were very lucky to actually have a spot in the top four last season based on their under-lining numbers but you have to give them huge credit for grinding out results when everyone around them were throwing away points! Based on how much they created last season in front of goal however, it was always likely that they might struggle this season. Monza actually have one more point than them coming into this game, and we should have a very interesting game ahead. Lazio are the odds on favourites, but they aren’t heavily odds on and I’m sure they’ll have plenty of layers out to get them.
The home win is trading 1.85 at the time of writing, with Monza 4.6 and the draw is 3.95. As you can probably tell from their position in the table, Lazio haven’t been playing great football this season. They are conceding more chances than they are creating at the moment, and their average xG conceded at 1.64 is quite high. Monza are conceding a similar number at 1.59, but they are marginally creating more chances with an average xG of 1.63. Lazio beat Monza twice last season, 1-0 here and then 2-0 away from home – while both of those games finished with Under 2.5 goals, I feel this fixture screams goals. Lazio have been conceding a lot of chances and it’s clear from the Monza figures that they have been playing a very open game this season. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.88 which looks a nice price to finish the day.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.88 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LazMon