SATURDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews REAL MADRID v OSASUNA, JUVENTUS v TORINO and GENOA v AC MILAN all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
REAL MADRID V OSASUNA
3.15pm We have another fantastic Saturday around Europe on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE! We had an excellent week of Champions League action with plenty of drama – the Napoli v Real Madrid game was superb viewing and we kick off the weekend with Real Madrid as they host Osasuna in La Liga. Real were involved in an absolute thriller on Tuesday night, and things pretty much couldn’t be going better for them at the moment. They had a setback in La Liga with a loss away to Atletico Madrid, but after Barcelona dropped points recently too they still sit top of the table by one point. They have been creating chances for fun; their average xG created is 2.17 which is the best figure in La Liga at the moment. Their star summer signing Jude Bellingham has been a roaring success, and there just seems to be a feel good factor around the side at the moment. They will be fully expected to win here, and they are trading as short as 1.33 at the time of writing. If you fancy a shock, Osasuna are trading 11.0 and the draw is 5.8. Real have a good record against Osasuna too – they’ve won 17 of 15 meetings.
I feel this is a case of how many goals can Real score rather than will they win. I won’t be tipping up 1.33 because there’s no prizes for that, but I would recommend them for any Acca this weekend! They have been very comfortable at home this season, their average xG created is a very high 2.53. It has been a while since they hammered Osasuna though. Last season they won 2-1 and 2-0. Perhaps that explains why Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.63 – I felt that was pretty high when I clicked into the market. The market is expecting Real to have to do most of the work there because Both Teams Not To Score is trading odds on. Osasuna have only created an average xG of 1.17 this season so they haven’t offered much going forward; they have been reasonably solid at the back too though. I’m going to stay away from the handicap market here because of that, and I feel Both Teams Not To Score is worth backing at 1.87. Real can keep a clean sheet here on their way to winning.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.87 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/RmaOsu
JUVENTUS V TORINO
5pm Next we move over to Serie A as Juventus host Torino. For all the drama that we had midweek in the Champions League, you would miss Juventus there! Obviously they would have been there bar the ten point deduction after an investigation into their transfer dealings. Getting back into the Champions League has to be their sole aim this season, but they could have a decent chance in the title race too. I felt Inter Milan were going to run away with the title but a surprise loss at home against Sassuolo has opened things up. Juventus start the weekend four points behind Inter and AC Milan, but they’ll have to increase their performance level if they want to get into a serious title race. Juventus haven’t exactly been playing superb football this season, or last season to be honest, they have been grinding out wins rather than blowing sides away. For example their average xG created this season is 1.39 which is a pretty mid-table figure in Serie A. They are conceding close to that too; their average conceded is 1.24. They really should be winning games like this with home advantage, but you can understand why they are trading as big as 1.88.
I have to say I was expecting to see Juventus trading shorter than 1.88 when I clicked into the market. Torino have been poor this season – they start the weekend sitting in mid-table and they have struggled to create chances. Their average xG created is only 1.02 which is in the bottom five attacking figures. They have been rock solid at the back though, and that is their strong point. I would expect them to sit back here and play for a draw; perhaps that is why Juventus are as big as 1.88. I couldn’t put anyone off the 1.88 personally, but this game screams a lack of chances and goals. Under 2.5 goals is trading 1.68 and with both sides struggling to create chances this looks like a cracking bet. Both Teams Not To Score is also an appealing price at 1.84, but I prefer the Under 2.5 goals bet.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.68 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/JuvTro
GENOA V AC MILAN
7.45pm We stay in Serie A to finish the action on Saturday as Genoa host AC Milan. We have a very interesting market here, and I have to say I was surprised to see AC Milan trading odds on. At the time of writing, AC Milan are 2.02 with Genoa at 4.1 and the draw is 3.6. Genoa have managed to grind out eight points from their seven games thus far, but their xG figures are very worrying. They have only created an average xG of 0.70 which is the worst attacking figure in Serie A this season. You might think this figure improves at home and that they have been poor away; it actually doesn’t really. At home, their average xG is only 0.74. They are just really struggling to create chances this season. They have been reasonably solid at the back, but they are still conceding an xG of close to double what they are creating. I wouldn’t say that AC Milan are performing exceptionally well this season, but they are getting results and start the weekend joint-top with Inter Milan. It’s going to be hard to get away from an AC Milan back here.
AC Milan are creating an average xG of 1.36 which, like Juventus above, is basically a mid-table performance level. They are also conceding the same figure as Juventus above at 1.24. These aren’t fantastic figures, but compared to Genoa they are playing at a much higher level. I would have them odds on here, and the only thing for me to decide in what stake to go with! My main worry is the AC Milan away performances – they haven’t created a lot away from home and they do concede more than chance average chances away from home too. The thing is though, Genoa are so limited going forward I don’t see them taking advantage. It is tempting to have a Max Bet because I would definitely have AC Milan odds on here – even closer to 1.8 – but their away performances are only me back. However, they are still my most confident bet of the day at 2.02.
The Ultra Says:
Four points win AC Milan to beat Genoa at 2.02 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/GenAcm