New York Giants (1-2, 1-2 ATS) @ Washington Redskins (1-2, 2-1 ATS)

*ATS= against the spread

BETDAQ Line: Washington -3.5 (46)

Significant Injuries

New York: CB Zack Bowman (questionable– quadricep), OT James Brewer (questionable– back), OT Charles Brown (questionable– shoulder), LB Jon Beason (doubtful– foot), LB Devon Kennard (out– hamstring), WR Odell Beckham (out– hamstring)

Washington: G Shawn Lauvau (questionable– knee), DE Kedric Golston (questionable– groin), DE Jason Hatcher (questionable– hamstring), WR DeSean Jackson (questionable– shoulder), C Kory Lichtensteiger (questionable– groin), CB Tracy Porter (questionable– hamstring), LB Akeem Jordan (out– knee), TE Jordan Reed (out– hamstring), QB Robert Griffin III (out– ankle)

Recent Trends

New York is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday night games

New York is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win

New York is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 September games

Washington is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game

Washington is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. NFC East opponents

The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these 2 teams

The UNDER is 5-1 in New York’s last 6 games vs. NFC opponents

The UNDER is 5-1 in Washington’s last 6 games vs. NFC East opponents

The UNDER is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams

Three reasons to back New York

1. These teams are very evenly matched and have been for several years, which is why the favorite in this matchup always has such a difficult time covering. The underdog is 6-1 against the spread the last 7 times these teams have met, and the Giants are on the receiving end of a very friendly 3.5-point number here.

2. The Washington offense is badly overrated after scorching two of the NFL’s worst defenses in Weeks 2 and 3. Yes, the Redskins combined for 75 points in those 2 games, but they faced Jacksonville– a team that ranks last in total defense and has allowed more points through 3 games than any team since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger– and Philadelphia, who finished last in the league in total defense in 2013. The ‘Skins simply aren’t as good as people think they are right now.

3. The New York offense finally showed signs of life last week against a tough Houston defense, rolling up 420 total yards and 30 points. In Week 1 the Redskins managed just 6 points against that same Houston defense, and the only thing that’s changed for the ‘Skins in the meantime is the identity of their quarterback, as backup Kirk Cousins has taken over for an injured Robert Griffin III.

Three reasons to back Washington

1. The Redskins have scored 75 combined points in their last two games, looking nearly unstoppable in the process. Quarterback Kirk Cousins is playing at an elite level, and this week he faces a New York defense that ranks 22nd in yards allowed.

2. The Giants have been mostly terrible on offense this season, with Eli Manning clearly struggling to adjust to new coordinator Ben McAdoo’s West Coast scheme. In their only road game they produced just 197 total yards in a 21-point loss to Detroit.

3. Washington is currently the only team in the NFL to rank in the top-5 in both total offense and total defense, and they have a +17 point differential despite losing 2 of their 3 games this season. Simply put, the Redskins are a much better team than the Giants. This game is a clear mismatch.

Prediction


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