Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3, 0-3 ATS) @ San Diego Chargers (2-1, 3-0 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: San Diego -13 (45)
Significant Injuries
Jacksonville: WR Marquise Lee (out– hamstring), TE Mickey Shuler (out– illness)
San Diego: TE Ladarius Green (questionable– hamstring), TE David Johnson (questionable– shoulder), CB Jason Verrett (questionable– hamstring), LB Jeremiah Attaochu (doubtful– hamstring), C Rich Ohrnberger (doubtful– back), RB Ryan Mathews (out– knee), LB Manti Te’o (out– foot)
Recent Trends
Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record
Jacksonville is 5-19 ATS in their last 24 games overall
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall
San Diego is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 September games
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams
The OVER is 7-2 in Jacksonville’s last 9 road games
The UNDER is 12-2 in San Diego’s last 14 games vs. AFC opponents
The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Jacksonville
1. Boy, that’s a lot of points.
2. The Jags hope rookie quarterback Blake Bortles can jump-start their offense, and their collection of skill-position talent is as healthy as it has been all season. Having wideout Cecil Shorts back in the lineup is tremendously important, as Shorts will be a tough cover for the San Diego defense.
3. Boy, that’s a lot of points.
Three reasons to back San Diego
1. The Chargers have played very well this season, winning twice and covering in all three of their games despite facing a brutal schedule. In their only previous home game they defeated defending Super Bowl champion Seattle, hanging 30 points on the vaunted Seahawks defense.
2. Jacksonville may have the worst defense in the history of the league, and that’s not an exaggeration: the Jags have allowed more points (119) through three games than any team has allowed in the first three games of any season since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger. They also rank last in total yards allowed.
3. The Jaguars rank 31st in total offense, 32nd (a.k.a. dead last) in total defense, they’re starting a rookie quarterback on the road against a playoff-caliber team, and they’ve covered just 5 times in their last 24 games (!!!) despite being underdogs in ALL 24 GAMES. Need I say more?
Prediction
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