TRIO OF NAPS AND DERBYS: Naps hat-trick, Derby treble, Classics six-timer, and another value-bet victory (2-0) over Pricewise! That’s Daqman’s amazing scoresheet of winning sequences after he made Jack Hobbs his Saturday banker. We list them in full today in his column.
TWO CURRAGH CRACKERS: Daqman analyses two big races in Ireland put forward by Pricewise for this afternoon’s Curragh meeting, the Pretty Polly Stakes and the Rockingham Handicap.
FIVE MORE FOR THE 50: Daqman now needs only five more wins for a feature-race 50 up this season in events chosen by Pricewise, and he’s pledged to land his 200th win in the challenge by St Leger time.
WHY DAQMAN IS KING OF THE TIPSTERS..
DAQMAN LANDS NAPS HAT-TRICK: Jack Hobbs (WON 10-11) gave Daqman his third consecutive winning nap yesterday, as he continued to build up his sequences. The three naps:
WON 8-13 Suffused
WON 3-1 Covert Love (6.0 BETDAQ)
WON 10-11 Jack Hobbs
IT’S ALSO A DERBY TREBLE UP! Jack Hobbs also gave him a hat-trick of Derby winners, his sixth Classic success of the current Flat season, following three Guineas:
WON 4-1 Gleneagles (Newmarket 2,000)
WON 2-5 Gleneagles (Irish 2,000)
WON 11-2 Pleascach (Irish 1,000)
WON 3-1 New Bay (French Derby)
WON 13-8 Golden Horn (Epsom Derby)
WON 10-11 Jack Hobbs (Irish Derby)
AND EIGHT SUPER BANKERS: As a gold banker (30 points win), Jack Hobbs also gave Daqman eight from 10 super bankers (silver, gold and diamond), as follows:
WON 8-13 Romsdal (gold)
WON 8-13 Telescope (gold)
WON 8-13 Soapy Aitken (silver)
WON 4-5 Yorkidding (silver)
WON 2-5 Gleneagles (diamond)
WON 11-10 Leaderene (silver)
WON 13-8 Golden Horn (gold)
WON 10-11 Jack Hobbs (gold)
6-1 WIN IN VALUE CHALLENGE: Daqman scored again yesterday – at Newmarket – with Markaz (WON 6-1) which, along with Jack Hobbs, gave him a 2-0 win over Pricewise on the day, hard on the heels of his 6-0 victory at Royal Ascot.
DAQMAN 45, PRICEWISE 9: The score is now Daqman 45, Pricewise 9 (overall 186-82), and those Royal Ascot winners included:
WON 12-1 Trip To Paris (Ascot Gold Cup)
WON 10-1 Muhaarar (from 14.5 on BETDAQ)
THREE CONSECUTIVE LAYS: Our man is also on three successful lays in a row, all scored at Royal Ascot:
WON (place lay) Collaboration (unplaced 8-1)
WON (lay) Telescope (unplaced 6-4 favourite)
WON (lay) Wicklow Brave (unplaced 5-4 favourite)
SHOGUN COULD BE THE NEXT GLENEAGLES
2.15 The Curragh: This is the race in which Ballydoyle last year produced Gleneagles. It was his second race after finishing fourth earlier in the month.
But the three Aidan O’Brien contenders today are all unraced. Ryan Moore opts for Shogun, brother to the Oaks winner Qualify.
The stable form in the race this century is 121101311121. Beaten favourite two years ago? Australia, second.
3.15 Saint-cloud (Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud) Treve.
3.20 The Curragh Three-year-olds have never managed to win this, and horses of that age were beaten favourite in two of the last three seasons.
Today’s market leader, Cenotaph, also three, has twice been beaten favourite. Seven furlongs is a specialist distance and they can’t find his trip – he’s been tried at 6f, 8f and 10f, and now the 7f – and he looks a loser to me, though handicapping first time at a low level.
PLEASCACH FOR VALUE IN THE PRETTY POLLY
4.30 The Curragh (Pretty Polly Stakes) English raiders have completed a hat-trick in this race, which has gone to Aidan O’Brien with Epsom Oaks losers twice since 2007.
He has another one here in Diamondsandrubies , who was fourth to his Oaks winner, Qualify, at Epsom this year, almost six lengths behind Legatissimo, who just failed to hold off Qualify’s late run.
The 2015 fillies Classic crop was thought to be special, and O’Brien talked of the Epsom Derby for Found at one stage (she ended up being beaten in the Coronation Stakes). Qualify ran in yesterday’s Irish Derby (beaten 11 lengths) and Pleascach, the Irish 1,000 winner (Tamadhor sixth), was beaten in the Ribblesdale.
Today is fillies and mares only but the question now is whether they are even up to beating the class of 2014 or even 2013, which is represented largely by those formidable English opponents.
Newmarket’s Ed Walker landed a four-timer yesterday, so late-developer Mutatis Mutandis cannot be discounted, though she leaps three grades here from her Listed win at Nottingham.
Ribbons (James Fanshawe) and Secret Gesture (Ralph Beckett) meet again. They were separated more than three lengths when first and third at Deauville (Group 1) last August but that was on very soft ground and so much is running on whether there is rain today (it depends which forecast you read).
Secret Gesture got her revenge last month on a sounder surface at York (by a length and threequarters in a Group 2) but Ribbons was giving 3lb that day.
There’s talk of the Champion Stakes for Dermot Weld’s lightly-raced Brooch, another late developer who has climbed the Group ladder and now faces her big test at the top.
Daqman’s verdict: It’s a fascinating contest, an Eclipse for the fillies; on a line through Lucida, there isn’t a pound between the two Guineas winners, Legatissimo and Pleascach, both allowed 12lb from the older mares, who are 10-3 up in this race since 2002.
Another line also has them on top of each other. Legatissimo was beaten a short-head by Qualify in the Oaks, and Qualify was more than a length behind Giovanni Canaletto in yesterday’s Irish Derby.
Pleascach was a length off Curvy in the Ribblesdale; Curvy a neck in front of ‘Giovanni’ in the Gallinule.
If it’s that tight, why is Pleascach 6.6 and Legatissimo 2.74 in the BETDAQ orange, as I write? It’s clear where the value is, though you’d worry that this race comes only 10 days after the Ribblesdale for Pleascach..
The market also tells us that only Brooch of the older mares is fancied but her rating is lower than any recent winner of this, so she has to improve again.
The Pricewise selection, Tamadhor, could improve on her sixth in the Irish 1,000. I agree with her trainer that she ran on as if today’s 1m 2f would suit but it’s one thing to get the trip and another to have the finish in a contest like this. Her breeding is for a mile.
MOORE TO TURN UP THE VOLUME ON SPEAKER
5.00 The Curragh (Rockingham Handicap) Five-year-olds are six out of eight in this and, whether this stat proves right or wrong, you’ve gotta have something to focus on in a 24-runner sprint.
The microscope also reveals that the results by stall are split between high and low but, with some fields smaller than today, high is generally favoured.
If I go ‘five-year-old drawn low’, I get Kimbay, Blaine (needs rain) and Your Pal Tal, though I don’t much fancy coming out of the one stall on this AW-only winner.
In Salutem and Zalty should turn around recent Tipperary running with Kimbay. Zalty is hard to win with and has scored only over further.
If I go ‘five-year-old drawn high’, I get In Salutem, Master Speaker, and, Discussiontofollow, having only his second run of the season here.
In Salutem is ultra consistent but can’t beat Master Speaker on their one-two over 6f here in May and Ryan Moore returns to the Master Speaker saddle.
On a line through Russian Soul, who was third that day, Ardhoomey must come into the reckoning but he’ll probably try to make all, which is another good omen for the low numbers.
Desert Law came back to form at Epsom but that’s a unique track and, otherwise, he hadn’t won since 2012. It would be a surprise if he can suddenly bang in back-to-back wins.
Prince Connoisseur won over CD in first-time blinkers, taking an all-aged race when only three. The blinds were left off for his seasonal reappearance but are back on again today.
Daqman’s verdict: I took 9.8 Master Speaker in the BETDAQ orange this morning, and thought Prince Connoisseur looked big at 14.5.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points, except the lay)
LAY 10pts CENOTAPH (3.20 The Curragh)
BET 4pts win (nap) PLEASCACH (4.30 The Curragh)
BET 2.5pts win MASTER SPEAKER and 1.5pts win and place PRINCE CONNOISSEUR (5.00 The Curragh)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 5 x 1pt win doubles and 2 x 1pt win trebles Shogun (2.15 The Curragh) with Pleascach (4.30 The Curragh) and both Master Speaker and Prince Connoisseur (5.00 The Curragh).
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