SECONDITIS.. INCLUDING AT 14-1: After winners on Friday and Saturday which included 14-1 and 10-1, Daqman ran out of luck yesterday when his nap and outsider were both second (Alderbrook Lad 2nd 14-1) and his pick of Andre Fabre’s Deauville trio was an absentee (with ‘a fever’) while Fabre had first and second in the race!
FIVE BETDAQ RACES AT KEMPTON: Today Daqman analyses five Betdaq-sponsored races on the Kempton Park Polytrack card. They include his nap.
GUIDE TO THE EBOR FESTIVAL: He also previews the day-to-day feast at the York Ebor Festival, and tomorrow will put Gleneagles and Golden Horn toe to toe in his guide to their International clash on Wednesday.
O’BRIEN GRIP ON VOLTIGEUR AND EBOR
Wednesday Things haven’t gone all that well this season for sprint-ace trainer Kevin Ryan but the opening race of the Ebor Festival is his favourite heat.
And Kevin, who has won it the last twice with Blaine and Bogart, already has Bogart (Neil Callan) and Distant Past (Jamie Spencer) jockeyed up for Wednesday’s renewal, both having prepped for this a month ago, both needing only two or three to come out so that they creep in at the foot of the handicap.
Richard Hannon has five of the 18 left in the Acomb Stakes for two-year-olds; which of them he picks will be worth your full attention.
But that’s nothing to Aidan O’Brien: he has nine of the 13 Great Voltigeur probables, and will be very hard to beat.
Thursday The season’s series of top tests for two-year-old fillies includes Thursday’s Lowther Stakes, won last year by Tiggy Wiggy.
The stats say that Queen Mary winner and second or Albany also-rans are the ones to be on.
Albany first, second and fifth, Illuminate, Ashadihan and Glenroan Rose are among the acceptors, at this stage while Easton Angel (2nd), Besharah (3rd) , Kassia and Delizia were beaten in the Queen Mary.
It’s a fillies day, with the Group-1 Yorkshire Oaks (3.40) and Galtres Listed Stakes (4.20), and a teasing fillies’ handicap completing the card.
Friday Nunthorpe day but the Lonsdale Cup (2.30) for stayers is usually easier to predict: it goes to something that took front rank in the Goodwood Cup.
This year, the first three at Goodwood, Big Orange, Trip To Paris and Quest for More, may all stand their ground.
Saturday The Gimcrack is the prelude to the Ebor Handicap, which the betting suggests is the St Leger prep for Ballydoyle’s Fields Of Athenry.
Three-year-olds used to win the Ebor regularly but few get into it in these days when handicaps are packed solid at the top.
Fields of Athenry, however, as number 21 on the card, rated 114 -thanks to back-to-back wins in the Pattern at Leopardstown – looks certain to get a run and equally sure to be involved in the finish with every chance of adding an Ebor to the stable’s Voltigeur.
PREMIER PUNT IS HANNON IN A NURSERY
2.25 Kempton (Betdaq – We’re Serious About Horses Handicap) Three-year-olds have been winning everything! Or it seems that way. But a second-season favourite got stuffed at 7-4 in this last season.
So is Most Tempting tempting you most? She’s with the right trainer for a sprint but has failed to maintain her progress since winning in a first-time visor.
Mossgo is a Lingfield specialist, high in the handicap now, and Temple Road has also scored five times at Lingfield. Extreme Supreme’s success has come at Southwell.
So who’s the Kempton star? The question should be who was the Kempton star. Answer: Howyadoingnotsobad. But he hasn’t won a race for three years.
However, ‘Howya’ has moved from Bill Turner – poor old Bill’s having his worse season ever – and comes fresh to this for his new yard, more than a stone lower (including the claim) than for his last success on this course.
2.55 Kempton (Betdaq.com £20 Free Bet Handicap) Same question as in the opener: are the three-year-olds good enough?
Saeed Bin Suroor’s Wahgaah, the only three-year-old in a big field for this last year, slammed the older horses six lengths!
The stable’s Khusoosy beat the other three-year-old in today’s heat, Landwade Lad, last backend but hasn’t been seen since, and neither one did the usual winter stint on AW.
The Gay Cavalier is interesting. He’s raced in a higher grade on turf, and is now 7lb lower on Polytrack than when winning here over a furlong further in February (say it with your false teeth out).
Berrahri is 10lb higher than his Kempton-winning mark (over a mile) and this trip will also stretch George Guru.
Though top-weight, Double Discount is back a pound below his course-winning rating of last October.
May Queen will most likely take them along at some stage but is raised in grade here, and I shall go for Khusoosy.
3.55 Kempton (Download The Betdaq App Nursery Handicap) Bulge Bracket (his Haydock third was a four-runner affair) and Captainthunderbolt (consecutively last of eight, last of nine, last of seven) haven’t done an awful lot to justify top-weight here!
In fact, they’ve all started at big prices (some 50-1 even 100-1), except for Queensberry Odyssey – supported on the last day and blinkered first time here – and also Premier Currency, for Richard Hannon.
Premier Currency has never started bigger than 7-1 and was well punted on today’s course over a furlong shorter just five days ago.
He was beaten only a neck and today’s step up to a mile should be the makings of him.
If Pat Dobbs looked over his shoulder that day, he would have seen the Kodiac filly Little Lotte closing him down inside the final furlong.
Premier Currency’s dam was related to a Group-1 winner so maybe he has that touch of class to see off the filly again, and Team Hannon has always been regarded as a nursery stronghold.
4.25 Kempton (Betdaq.com 50% Commission Refund Maiden Stakes) The three-year-old fillies look well off here, getting weight from the colts of their generation and more than a stone from the four-year-olds.
Can the Teofilo filly Tedhkaar come on enough for her first run and beat the more experienced, Every Instinct, who was beaten at Ffos Las despite having the run of the race? Maybe.
4.55 Kempton (Betdaq.com £50 And £100 Games Bonuses Handicap) Is it Savvy to stick with three three-year-olds yet again? The filly of that name makes her handicap debut for Jeremy Noseda.
Savvy, Motivator’s brother The New Pharaoh and Tobago Cays are the maidens moving into a handicap here.
Full Of Speed has some form in the book but beware that it comes from an amateurs’ race. I shall play the Kempton horses.
Sandy Cove and Thane Of Cawdor are both close to their winning weight marks, and Sandy Cove drops down to class 6 for the first time since winning here in February.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked 1 to 9 for strength; 10 is a banker)
BET 4pts win HOWYADOINGNOTSOBAD (2.25 Kempton)
BET 5pts win KHUSOOSY (2.55 Kempton)
BET 8pts win (nap) PREMIER CURRENCY (3.55 Kempton)
BET 4pts win TEDHKAAR (4.25 Kempton)
BET 2pts win and place SANDY COVE (4.55 Kempton)
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