PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our ProForm stats identify the key statistical positives at Kelso, Southwell and Taunton.
Positives:
Kelso: Lucinda Russell is in great form in the last 14 days, she’s had 6 winners and 7 places from her 22 runners. Her expected winners for that time were just over 2 so her string are in decent form. She saddles four today at Kelso; Ryalex in the 2-00 (currently 3.25), Present Flight in the 2-30 (3.2), Miss Tiggy in the 3-00 (5.2) and Bescot Springs in the 4-30 (14.0).
Kelso 2-30: Lucinda Russell and Derek Fox have teamed up here to have a 29% strike rate over fences, Present Flight is 3.2.
Southwell 2-00: David Bridgewater have won with 50% of his runners over fences at Southwell (9 from 18), he saddles Saffron Prince in the first, currently 4.5.
Southwell 2-50 and 4-50: Caroline Bailey and Harry Skelton have teamed up to ride 9 winners from 24, nearly three times above expected. They team up with Denali Highway (9.2) and Being Global (7.0) today.
Negatives:
Kelso 2-00: Craig Nichol has only managed 1 winner from 56 rides over hurdles at Kelso, his expected was over 4. Ca Le Ferra is 9.2 for him in the first.
Kelso 4-00: Dianne Sayer and Harry Challoner have only had 1 winner from the 37 times they’ve teamed up, Boruma is 10.5.
Taunton 2-40: Phillip Hobbs is without a winner in his last 30 runners, a slight blip and not a way spell given he had so many runners at Cheltenham, however still a slight worry if backing Banyu at 1.78.
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