PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our ProForm stats identify the key statistical positives at Warwick, Haydock, Southwell, Kempton and Dundalk.
Positives:
Warwick 3-15 and 4-50: Aidan Coleman has a 28% strike rate in Warwick over fences, he rides Ready Token (8.4) and Crack Of Thunder (7.4).
Warwick: 5-20: Phillip Hobbs and Richard Johnson have won on 5 of the 12 times they’ve teamed up with Warwick Bumpers, Beau Du Brizais is 9.4.
Haydock 2-55 and 4-00: Paul Moloney has rode twice his expected winners over hurdles at Haydock, he rides Man From Seville (7.0) and Down The Line (9.6) today. He also has a good record with Down The Line’s trainer, Alan Swinbank, they’re S/R is 28%.
Haydock 3-30: Paul Nicholls has a 34% strike rate over fences at Haydock, Some Buckle is 3.9.
Southwell 3-40: Conor Dore and Paul Mulrennan have a 29% strike rate together, with almost double their expected winners, Elusivity is 3.55. They’re S/R at Southwell is also an impressive 32%.
Kempton 5-45: Ian Williams is in good form in the last 14 days with 6 winners, he saddles Virgil Earp at 9.4.
Kempton 8-15: James Bethell and Ted Durcan have teamed up for almost double their expected winners at Kempton, Rich Again is 6.0.
Negatives:
Haydock 3-30: Jack Greenall is 0 from 17 over fences at Haydock, Shimla Dawn is 8.8.
Haydock 2-20: Nicky Richards has only had 1 winner in the last 14 days when over 3 was expected, Mardale is 3.2.
Haydock 5-00: David Pipe and David Noonan’s strike rate together is only 8%, a good bit below expected, Impulsive American is 3.95.
Southwell 5-10: Alan Swinbank and Neil Farley strike rate together is less than 5% – Moonshine Ridge is 4.0.
Dundalk 7-30: Ana O’Brien’s S/R at Dundalk is less than 5%, a good bit below expected, Shark island is 8.4.
Dundalk 9-00: James Nash and Pat Smullen have only teamed up for 1 winner from 25 at Dundalk, Our Manekineko is 2.9.
PROFORM BETS
Betdaq BACK of the day on stats: Elusivity 3-40 Southwell, at around 3.55.
Betdaq LAY of the day on stats: Our Manekineko 9-00 Dundalk, at around 2.9.
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