PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for a busy days racing today.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Curragh 1-50: Ger Lyons and Colin Keane have an excellent long-term strike rate of 22% together from a near 600 sample, they start their day with King Electric at 6.8. Lyons is in great form too, with nearly three times his expected winners in the past 14 days.
Windsor 2-50, 3-25 and 4-35: Roger Varian and Andrea Atzeni have a 40% strike rate when they team up at Windsor, with over double their expected winners, Catskill Mountains is 16.5, Cliff Edge is 10.5 and Mediation is 3.55.
Windsor 4-00: David Elsworth and Jamie Spencer have a healthy 25% strike rate when they team up, they have the favourite here, Somethingthrilling at 3.0.
Beverley 2-55: Mark Johnston and Joe Fanning have a solid 24% strike rate together at Beverley, they have the second favourite Ravenhoe here, currently trading 6.4 on BETDAQ.
Beverley 5-50: Michael Appleby and George Buckell have a 30% strike rate together, over double their expected, Stars N Angels is 15.0.
Bath 1-55: Ed de Giles has a 32% strike rate from his runners at Bath thus far, he saddles Quantum Dot at 13.0.
Bath 2-30: Ian Williams and Franny Norton have a 23% strike rate together, a good bit over their expected, they have Midtech Star at 7.6.
Bath 4-15: Richard Hannon and Kieran O’Neill have had over double their expected wins when teaming up at Bath, Shes All Mine is 8.6.
Also in this race, Tom Marquand has a 28% strike rate here with double his expected winners, he gets the leg up on Gunman, currently 13.5.
Kempton 2-10: Harry Fry has a 28% strike rate with his runners over hurdles here, he starts his day with the favourite in the first, Mr Kite is currently 4.5 on BETDAQ.
Kempton 2-45 and 3-55: Nico de Boinville has a highly impressive 50% strike rate from his rides over fences around Kempton, over double his expected. He rides Days Of Heaven at 3.55 and Ericht at 13.5 – when teaming up with Nicky Henderson (trainer of both) here too, their strike rate is 57%.
Kempton 3-55: Chris Gordon has had over double his expected winners with his runners from fences at Kempton, Ballyheigue Bay is 19.0.
Kempton 5-35: Tom George and Paddy Brennan have had nearly double their expected winners over fences here, they team up again with Parsnip Pete at 5.9.
Warwick 12-30 and 1-00: Alan King and Richard Johnson have a 37% strike rate when teaming up, they have two at Warwick today – Midnight Cowboy at 3.3 and Dusky Legend at 1.23.
Down Royal 2-05 and 2-40: A very small sample but JW Kennedy is 4 from 8 over hurdles at Down Royal, he has two today – Areema at 8.0 and Carpet Elegance at 11.5.
Down Royal 3-15: Karl Thornton and Donagh Meyler have had over double their expected winners together, Round Tower is 6.6 for the 3-15.
Curragh 1-50: AP O’Brien and Ana O’Brien are 0 from 36 when teaming up at the Curragh, Hyzenthlay is 6.4 to lay on BETDAQ.
Curragh 3-00: Jim Bolger has now gone 47 runners without a winner, he has a busy day today at the Curragh, starting with Round Two at 7.2.
Curragh 4-10: Dermot Weld could have started the season better, he has had less than half his expected winners in the last 14 days, his Fascinating Rock (2.18) clashes with Found (2.38) in what should be a great race.
Windsor 1-40: Dean Ivory and Paul Booth are only 1 from 69 together when the expected was over 4, Eljaddaaf is 13.0.
Windsor 3-25: Shane Kelly should have over double the amount of winners he has had at Windsor from his 114 rides there, Bunbury is 8.8.
Beverley 5-15: Micky Hammond only has a 2% strike rate with his runners around Beverley, Just Paul is 15.0.
Bath 1-55: Oisin Murphy has a disappointing 5% strike rate from his rides at Bath, his expected was nearly three times that, he starts his day on Krazy Paving at 5.9.
Bath 4-50: Sam Hitchcott is another jockey with only a 5% strike rate at Bath and it should be way higher, he takes the ride on Tessellate in the 4-50, currently trading 10.0.
Kempton 2-10: Venetia Williams only has a 6% strike rate from her runners over hurdles at Kempton, she saddles Putting Green at 5.4.
Kempton 2-45: Tom Scudamore should have had over double the amount of wins he has had over fences at Kempton, he rides New World here at 4.7.
Warwick 2-35: Charlie Longsdon should have had over double the amount of winners he has had over fences here, Long Lunch is 8.2 in an open betting heat.
Down Royal 4-20: Henry De Bromhead has now gone 33 runners and 30 days without a winner, he saddles two in the 4-20 – Elegant Statesman at 4.2 and The King Of Brega at 8.2.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: DAYS OF HEAVEN 2-45 Kempton, at around 3.55.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: FASCINATING ROCK 4-10 Curragh, at around 2.18.
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