It’s going to be fascinating to see what happens with Manchester City’s price on Betdaq over the next five weeks. At the moment they are trading at 1.75 to back, 1.77 to lay, which is sure to change before the end of 2011 but which way will the price go?
Gary Neville said on the Monday Night Football that the next few weeks could be the defining period in Manchester City’s season. Between now and the end of the year they have a tough run of matches in the Premier League, Champions League and Carling Cup.
Man City have made the joint-best start after 12 games of any club in English top division history – three other clubs have started with 11 wins and one draw. Only Tottenham in 1960-61 have gone on to win the title after such a start. They are the first team to take 34 points from first 12 games of a top division season since Kenny Dalglish’s Liverpool in 1990-91 – they went on to finish second.
That combination is what they face on Super Sunday and City (2.67 on Betdaq) and it should be a real test (Liverpool 2.91). I’m really looking forward to presenting the game live from Anfield on Sky Sports HD1 and in Sky 3D. Liverpool thrashed them 3-0 in this fixture last season and have lost just one of the last 12 PL meetings, keeping eight clean sheets and are unbeaten in the last eight meetings at Anfield, winning six. City’s only win at Anfield in the last 30 years was 2-1 in May 2003 – Nicolas Anelka scored twice against his former club.
Manchester City’s tough run of fixtures got off to a bad start in Napoli on Tuesday and we are about to learn a lot more about Roberto Mancini’s side.
This week I fancy Swansea at 2.28 to beat Aston Villa in the first game on Super Sunday. Swansea have been hugely impressive at the Liberty Stadium this season, while Villa showed their limitations on the road at Tottenham on Monday night.
The feature race of the weekend is the Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury. There is no Denman or real superstar this year and the ‘hype horse’ in the race is favourite Aiteen Thirtythree, who looks too short in the market for what he’s achieved so far on the racecourse.
I’m still scratching my head as to how Great Endeavour won the Paddy Power off a 5lb higher mark than when I backed him in last year’s race and he was well beaten. I’m sure Great Endeavour will stay this longer trip and he’s a big player but his tendency to throw in the odd bad run just puts me off.
The horse I fancy at a nice price is Beshabar, who looks tailor-made for this race. He’s young, improving rapidly and has the necessary stamina in abundance as we saw when he ran away with the Scottish Grand National in April. Beshabar may not be the ‘sexiest’ horse in the field but I’m sure he’ll run a big race and trade shorter in-running.
Betting on BETDAQ – Ed’s Punts:
Swansea to beat Aston Villa
Beshaber (Hennessy Gold Cup Newbury
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