As I have one of those convenient memories many punters restrict themselves to (who wants to remember the losers?), I thought I would write this week’s article in almost diary format so I could make sure I didn’t miss a thing, good or bad!
Sat in my local watering hole (sometimes, it just has to be done), I sat down to watch Newcastle against Chelsea having already backed the home team at odds of 4.2 with my beloved BETDAQ before kick off. Naturally, I like to try and prove they have it all wrong and men can multitask after all, so I sat there with my I-Pad in my hand backing horses at the same time. Asking the landlord to flick through the channels was a suggestion fraught with danger so I kept an eye on the Leeds V Millwall game on line instead but apart from them not leading at half time (always a worry), they went on to win 2-0 and with my three point bet landed, all was well in the world.
Having decided I liked not one but about a dozen horses on the day, I started with Keys in the opener at Aintree only to see him jump like a fish (if that makes sense?), weakening on the run in to be beaten by the jolly, making my 2.7 with BETDAQ a waste of time even if it did look good value before they were off!
With the Irish racing to also keep me out of mischief (and some would say away from the bar), I got back to levels on the day thanks to a little 2.1 about Mikael D’Haguenet scored at Fairyhouse, though a length and a half left me worried until the line! Watching Bear’s Affair drift like a barge before the 12.45 at Wetherby I gave him a miss (thank goodness), but at least he got round this time and is one for the future, though I did miss the start of the 1.05 at Aintree with all the excitement of a Chelsea penalty.
Deciding to try and calm down a bit, my next bet was a decent one on Curtain Razer who I seem to remember was talked up by Ruby Walsh on The Morning Line, and at odds of 2.18, 2.17, and 2.16 I sat back waiting to collect. Just as Chelsea scored making my afternoon almost reliant on the horses if I wanted a profit on the day, Curtain Razer started running on the spot and my fate was sealed on that race if nothing else (cheers Ruby, what do you know eh?).
With Mad Max withdrawn from the 2.10, I waited a while (unlike me to be sensible) until the 2.30 for a little on Gibb River – as you can tell I am a bit of a Henderson fan! He was bigger than I thought (10.5 to win and 3.35 to place) so I had a bit each way with BETDAQ prices far bigger than I had hoped, and although he was beaten in to third, he ran a brave race, and more importantly covered my earlier losses and then a bit on top! By now Newcastle were 0-2 down and my attention switched back to the racing just as they scored their third and I backed Nacarat for the 2.45 at Aintree at 2.76 with BETDAQ which was just begging to be snapped up, though I was quite aware he was on the drift and my stakes were based accordingly, which was handy as he only managed a well beaten third.
My NAP of the day as many will have read was Sizing Europe who was clearly the best horse at the weights in the Tingle Creek Chase from Sandown, and more importantly, he was the only one of the main contenders who was suited by the two mile trip. Yes I did go in heavy at BETDAQ odds of 3.05 and I am glad I did as he was heavily backed on course for a starting price of 11/8 (about 2.4) so that only proves where the value really lies? Having made my dough for the day I had one more silly bet on Deep Purple (again from The Morning Line) but at 13.5, a small win bet was all I bothered with. Stone the crows as he went and won (making me wish I had increased my bet size) for a very profitable afternoon and a big thank you from me to all the BETDAQ layers!
Looking forward for a change, the football this weekend looks tricky but ten I may think that way thanks to recent results going against me? This Saturday I hate to say it but Arsenal must be seen as a home banker against Everton and even at odds of 1.5 with BETDAQ they have to be backed, and I will make it a double with Sunderland (2.0 BETDAQ) who will be fighting for their places with new manager Martin O’Neill looking sure to make urgent changes.
For my other bets, Southampton proved they are not invincible when going down to bottom club Doncaster last week (ruining my accumulator and never to be forgiven), and surely BLACKPOOL are overpriced at 6.0 BETDAQ for an away win? They sit in seventh and are certainly play off possibles, and although no good thing, the price is just too big to get away from?
Moving on to my beloved racing, and it isn’t easy to even second guess the trainers at this stage but the big one at Cheltenham on Saturday is the Spinal research The Atlantic Gold Cup due off at 2.30. It’s a very tough one to call with Quantitativeeasing heading the market as I write but I prefer a little each way on
Medermit who is overpriced at around the 17.0 mark with BETDAQ. He normally jumps for fun, has a touch of class about him, and can be forgiven one lapse last time out when looking to have every chance until jumping errors wrote off his chances but that was behind Master Minded and a rejuvenated Somersby, which is nothing to get too disappointed about.
This week’s suggestions:
Football:
3pt Win Double – ARSENAL to beat Everton (1.5 BETDAQ) and SUNDERLAND to beat Blackburn (2.0 BETDAQ)
1pt Win BLACKPOOL to win at Southampton (6.0 BETDAQ).
Horse Racing:
1pt each MEDERMIT 2.30 Cheltenham (BETDAQ 17.0 to win, 5.5 to place)
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