PREMIER LEAGUE: We preview Sunday’s three Premier League games including MAN U v EVERTON with extended stats and recommended BETDAQ bets.
BURNLEY V CHELSEA
1.30pm Chelsea finally clicked into gear in the Europa League on Thursday night when scoring three goals. They have a weak Group; but were making hard work of winning games. They have been excellent in the Premier League so far this season; and managed to just keep hold of their unbeaten record in the dying moments against Manchester United last weekend. They are now two points behind City and Liverpool though and they simply can’t afford to lose any more ground.
The blues are heavy odds on favourites, with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Burnley 12.0, Chelsea 1.38 and the draw is 5.2. On the face of it Chelsea look very short at 1.38; however Burnley have been poor this season. They shipping five goals against City last weekend and they only have eight points from nine games – simply not good enough for a side who finished in an Europa League spot last season. Both sides have seen plenty of goals in their games this season and with no value in the match odds market we’re happy to back over 2.5 goals at 1.85.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.85.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBlyChe
MATCH STATS
- Burnley are yet to beat Chelsea at Turf Moor in a Premier League match (P4 W0 D1 L3) – their last home league win over the Blues was in April 1983 in the second tier.
- Chelsea have lost just one of their eight Premier League games against Burnley (W5 D2), a 2-3 home defeat on the opening day of last season.
- Burnley have won just two points from their last 12 home Premier League games against the ‘big six’, drawing two and losing 10 since a 2-0 win over Liverpool in August 2016.
- Chelsea are unbeaten after the first nine games of a top-flight season for just the fifth time in their history alongside 1964-65 (3 rd ), 1966-67 (9 th ), 2005-06 (1 st ) and 2014-15 (1 st ).
- Burnley have lost six of their last seven home Premier League games played on Sunday (W1), losing each of the last four in a row, including two this season against Watford (1-3) and Man Utd (0-2).
- Burnley have won seven points from their last four games (W2 D1 L1), one more than they picked up in their previous 11 Premier League matches combined.
- Maurizio Sarri could become the first Chelsea manager to remain unbeaten in his first 10 Premier League matches in charge of the club (P9 W6 D3 L0).
- This will be Burnley boss Sean Dyche’s 10 th Premier League match versus an Italian manager (W3 D1 L5), with the Englishman winning three of his last six such games.
- Chelsea’s Ross Barkley has scored in each of his last two Premier League appearances; the last Englishman to net in three consecutive games for Chelsea in the top-flight was Frank Lampard in February 2013 (4).
- Chelsea’s Eden Hazard has averaged goal or assist every 66.7 minutes in the Premier League this season (7 goals + 3 assists in 667 mins); his best mins/goal involvement ratio in a single campaign in the competition.
CRYSTAL PALACE V ARSENAL
1.30pm Arsenal grinded out yet another away win on Thursday night in the Europa League and have now won 11 games in a row. If we weren’t sure before; we are now – this is a totally different Arsenal team! They are grinding out away wins in tricky situations and we haven’t seen that from Arsenal in years. They will probably come up short against the top quality sides like City and Liverpool – however there’s no reason to think they won’t compete for a Top Four spot this season.
They have an excellent record against Crystal Palace too – they’ve won nine of the last 11 Premier League meetings and Arsenal have only lost once away to Palace in the last nine meetings. The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Crystal Palace 4.7, Arsenal 1.81 and the draw is 4.2. Palace aren’t exactly impressing this season with only seven points from nine games; and as we said midweek about Arsenal – it looks like a good time to back them on this winning run. They have new confidence and a new attitude away from home – they should outclass this Palace side and the 1.81 looks worth backing.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Arsenal to beat Crystal Palace at 1.81.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCryArl
MATCH STATS
- Crystal Palace have lost nine of their last 11 Premier League matches against Arsenal (W1 D1), losing both games in 2017-18.
- Arsenal have only lost one of their nine away Premier League visits to Crystal Palace (W6 D2), a 0-3 reverse in April 2017.
- Crystal Palace have netted just three goals in their last eight Premier League games, failing to score on five occasions in this run. Only in 2017-18 (2) have the Eagles scored fewer goals after the first nine games to a top-flight season than in 2018-19 (5).
- Arsenal have won more points (437) and averaged more points per game (1.81) in Premier League London derbies than any other team.
- Crystal Palace have won 80 points and averaged 0.92 points per game in Premier League London derbies; the second worst figures in both categories.
- Arsenal lost their first five away matches on Sundays in all competitions in 2018 – they have since won each of their last three.
- Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson has won none of his last nine Premier League games against Arsenal (W0 D3 L6) since a 1-0 win with Fulham in August 2008.
- Crystal Palace could become the seventh team in Football League history to both fail to win and score in any of their first five home league games to a season after Huddersfield (2018-19), Everton (1998-99), Halifax Town (1990-91), Mansfield Town (1971-72), West Brom (1921-22) and Norwich City (1920-21).
- Arsenal have scored more Premier League goals via substitutes this season than any other team (6).
- Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored a Premier League goal on average once every 104.6 minutes – the best mins/goal ratio in the competition’s history (min. 10 goals).
MANCHESTER UNITED V EVERTON
4pm The Jose Mourinho Saga continues on Sunday afternoon as Manchester United host an in-form Everton side. Mourinho would have been desperate to hear the final whistle against Chelsea last weekend when leading 2-1 – only to have a last minute goal go against him and then carnage followed on the touchline. They were simply outclassed by Juventus here midweek in the Champions League and you really can’t back them with confidence at home at the moment.
The are odds on favourites nevertheless, with the match odds at the time of writing; Manchester United 1.77, Everton 5.4 and the draw is 3.95. Everton have won their last three Premier League games while scoring seven goals – and given how many United have conceded thus far this season; it’s fair to say that we can expect an Everton goal at some stage. Can United create enough chances to outscore Everton? That’s a tough question – they have only won twice here all season and we can’t touch the 1.77 on United. It’s a very tempting lay; however Both Teams To Score is trading 1.75 and that looks like a cracking bet here with the form of both teams going into this game. We expect another tough afternoon for United and Mourinho – when will they be able to turn things around?
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Both Teams To Score at 1.75.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMunEvn
MATCH STATS
- Manchester United have won 19 home Premier League games against Everton – only against Spurs have they won more (21).
- Everton are winless in seven matches against Manchester United in all competitions (W0 D2 L5) since a 3-0 home win in the Premier League in April 2015.
- Manchester United have scored more goals (98) and won more games (35) against Everton in the Premier League than against any other opponent.
- Five of Manchester United’s last seven Premier League goals against Everton have been scored in the last 10 minutes of matches.
- Manchester United currently have a goal difference of -1 in the Premier League this season; the first time that they have had a negative goal difference after nine games of a league campaign since 1990-91.
- Only in 2014-15 under Louis van Gaal (13 points) have Manchester United won fewer points from their opening nine games in a Premier League season than in 2018-19 (14). In fact, this is the second time Jose Mourinho has won just 14 points from a possible 27 in his opening nine matches of a season as Man Utd boss (also did so in 2016-17).
- David de Gea has conceded 16 goals in nine Premier League matches for Manchester United this season – in 2017-18, he conceded the same tally of goals in his first 24 matches and didn’t concede his 17 th goal until January 31st.
- Everton forward Richarlison has made 13 Premier League appearances against ‘big six’ teams but hasn’t scored a single goal and made just one assist (1063 mins played).
- Manchester United striker Romelu Lukaku; who is Everton’s all-time leading goalscorer in the Premier League with 68 goals, scored one goal and assisted another in his only previous match against the Toffees in a Man Utd shirt (September 2017).
- Everton boss Marco Silva has only won one of his six competitive managerial meetings with Portuguese compatriot Jose Mourinho in all competitions (W1 D1 L4); this coming in a League Cup tie with Hull City at home in January 2017 (2-1).
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