PREMIER LEAGUE: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games with extended stats and recommended BETDAQ bets.
BRIGHTON V WOLVERHAMPTON
3pm With no early kick off with the Premier League today we kick off with Brighton taking on Wolves. This is the most open market of today’s action, with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Brighton 3.3, Wolverhampton 2.54 and the draw is 3.25. Wolves have made the transition to Premier League life very smoothly and are sitting nicely in ninth position – perhaps they can battle for a Europa League spot; however they will need to win games like this one. Brighton have been in good form though and come here off the back of two wins – prior to that they kept City to a 2-0 win at home and lost 2-1 to Spurs – fairly respectable given the quality those sides have. They have an excellent long-term record at home in the Premier League – winning over 70% of their matches – and we feel the value is with the Wolves lay here at 2.54.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Wolverhampton at 2.54.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBriWol
MATCH STATS
- Brighton and Wolverhampton Wanderers haven’t met in the top-flight of English football since the 1981-82 season – in six top-flight encounters between December 1979 and May 1982, Brighton won all six.
- Wolves last faced Brighton in the 2016-17 Championship campaign – the Seagulls won both matches without conceding a goal.
- Brighton’s 100% win record against Wolves in the top-flight (six wins out of six) is the joint-best 100% record in English top-flight history – Arsenal vs Reading, Man City vs Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest vs Portsmouth have also won six games out of six.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have only scored one goal in their last four league matches against Brighton & Hove Albion; an own-goal scored by Brighton defender Connor Goldson in a 1-0 win on New Year’s Day 2016.
- Brighton have won their last two Premier League games without conceding; as many wins as they’d recorded in their previous 16 combined (D5 L9). The Seagulls last won three consecutive top-flight matches in May 1981 (4 in a row).
- Brighton have won 36 of their 51 Premier League points at home (70.6%) – the third highest such share in the competition’s history after Bradford City (72.6%) and Barnsley (71.4%).
- Despite their defeat against Watford last time out, Wolves’ haul of 15 points from their nine Premier League games this season is the best total by a newly-promoted team at this stage of a campaign since West Bromwich Albion in 2010-11 (15 points).
- Wolverhampton Wanderers are the only team in Europe’s big five divisions yet to make a change to their starting XI in league matches this season.
- Brighton boss Chris Hughton has lost only one of his eight previous meetings against Wolves as manager (W3 D4), winning the last two in a row in the Championship.
- Raúl Jiménez (55.6%) has had a hand in a higher share of Wolves’ Premier League goals this season than any other player (5/9).
FULHAM V BOURNEMOUTH
3pm This is a very interesting game; and an important game for Fulham. They slipped into the bottom three last weekend after losing 4-2 to Cardiff – certainly a big surprise given how Cardiff have struggled to score goals this season. They now bump into an in-form Bournemouth side who sit sixth in the table. They failed to beat Southampton last weekend when only drawing 0-0 however prior to the International Break they netted four goals away against Watford – their goal scoring has been impressive this season and with Fulahm conceding 12 goals in their last three games it’s hard to see how they can stop Bournemouth from scoring here. We feel that Bournemouth should be shorter than 2.46 given the form of both sides and we’re happy to take those odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Bournemouth to beat Fulham at 2.46.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQFulBou
MATCH STATS
- Fulham and Bournemouth have never met in the English top-flight – their last league meeting was in the Championship in March 2015, with the Cherries winning 5-1.
- Fulham have won just two of their last 16 games against Bournemouth (D5 L9) – their last win against them was in a third tier game in January 1994.
- Bournemouth have won four of their last eight Premier League games against sides from London (W4 D2 L2), as many as they’d won in their previous 25 such clashes (W4 D6 L15).
- Fulham have conceded six more Premier League goals than any other team this season (25) – the highest total at this stage of an English top-flight campaign since Southampton in 2012-13 (26).
- Fulham have afforded their opponents more shots on target than any other Premier League team in 2018-19 (61).
- Bournemouth have won 23 points from their last 33 available in the Premier League (W7 D2 L2).
- Fulham are the fourth team in Premier League history to concede at least two goals in eight of their first nine Premier League games to a season (also Everton in 94-95, Derby in 00-01, Southampton in 12-13).
- Bournemouth have won three of their last five away Premier League games (L2), after winning three of the previous 19 in the competition (D7 L9).
- Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson has been directly involved in more Premier League goals this season than any other Englishman (three goals, four assists).
- Fulham’s Aleksandar Mitrovic scored five goals in his first six Premier League appearances this season, firing in 12 shots on target. The Serbian striker has since failed to score in his last three games and registered just one shot on target.
LIVERPOOL V CARDIFF
3pm Liverpool have been so impressive lately we are starting to see similar prices to Man City! They are trading as short as 1.12 to collect all three points here and it’s close to impossible to see anything but an easy home win here. Cardiff managed a surprise 4-2 win over Fulham last weekend however they have been struggling with life in the Premier League this season. With Liverpool banging in the goals for fun it’s hard to see Cardiff stopping them away from home – they seem a lot more comfortable in front of their own fans and their home form will be key to them staying up this season. We expect an easy Liverpool win here and after scoring four goals in the Champions League midweek; they can repeat the feat here – Any Other Home Win is 2.5 in the Correct Score market and that looks good value.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Any Other Home Win at 2.5.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLivCar
MATCH STATS
- Liverpool and Cardiff haven’t met since the 2013-14 season in the Premier League – the Reds won both games, winning 3-1 at Anfield and 6-3 away from home.
- Cardiff’s last league win over Liverpool was in December 1959 in the second tier, a 4-0 victory at Anfield in Bill Shankly’s third league match in charge of Liverpool.
- There have been at least three goals scored in each of the last 10 meetings between Liverpool and Cardiff in all competitions, with 45 goals scored in total.
- Liverpool have lost one of their last 45 home Premier League matches against newly promoted teams (W35 D9), with that defeat against Blackpool in 2010-11 – they’ve won all seven under Jurgen Klopp at Anfield by an aggregate score of 21-2.
- Cardiff have lost 14 of their last 15 Premier League matches against ‘big six’ opposition (D1), conceding two or more goals in 12 of those games.
- Cardiff scored as many goals in their 4-2 victory against Fulham as they did in their previous eight Premier League games this season (4).
- Liverpool have lost just one of their last 49 home Premier League games against ‘City’ sides (W30 D18), with that sole defeat coming against Welsh side Swansea City in January 2017.
- Liverpool’s Mo Salah has been involved in six goals in his last five Premier League appearances against newly promoted opposition (3 goals, 3 assists).
- Cardiff manager Neil Warnock has managed four away games against Liverpool in his managerial career, losing all four without seeing his sides score a goal – he has lost to a different manager on each occasion (Souness, Houllier, Benitez and Dalglish).
- Liverpool’s Alisson is looking to become the second Liverpool goalkeeper in Premier League history to keep seven clean sheets in his first 10 starts for the club after Jose Reina (7). Alisson has recorded six clean sheets in his opening nine Premier League starts so far.
SOUTHAMPTON V NEWCASTLE
3pm Things are not good at Newcastle Football Club at the moment. They now sit rock bottom after losing 1-0 at home to Brighton last weekend. They have had some tough fixtures to start the season; however they just aren’t getting the results they need the smaller clubs. Some fans want the manager out, some want the owner out – it won’t take long before the atmosphere turns very sour around the club and then they face a very tough battle to stay up. The reality is we are nine games into the season and they haven’t managed to win a game yet, their worst ever start to a Premier League season – they need to come together and find some form quickly. Southampton only sit a few places above Newcastle in the table in 16th position and have been really struggling to score goals. A 0-0 is very likely here but we’re happy to back the draw at 3.4 – we can’t see a winner here and both sides can cancel each other out.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 3.4.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQSouNwc
MATCH STATS
- Southampton have lost just one of their 17 home Premier League matches against Newcastle (W12 D4), a 2-1 defeat in September 2004.
- Newcastle won their last Premier League match against Southampton in March (3-0) – they haven’t won consecutive league games against them since January 2005.
- Southampton have won 15 Premier League games against Newcastle – at least three more than against any other opponent.
- Southampton have failed to score in four consecutive Premier League games for the first time since October 2004. Saints have only gone five Premier League matches in a row without scoring once before, back in April 2001.
- Newcastle United have made their worst ever start to a league campaign after nine games (assuming 3 pts/win), picking up just two points from nine Premier League matches.
- Newcastle and Huddersfield are the 15th and 16th teams respectively to fail to win any of their first nine games to a Premier League season – nine of the previous 14 teams to achieve this feat were relegated (64.3%).
- Only Steve Wigley (0.69) has averaged a worse points-per-game ratio as Southampton manager in Premier League history than Mark Hughes (0.82).
- Southampton manager Mark Hughes has won just one of his 13 Premier League meetings with Rafael Benitez (W1 D6 L6), losing both games against Newcastle last season when he was manager of Stoke City.
- Newcastle United have won just once in their last 14 matches in the Premier League (D2 L11), beating Chelsea on the final day of 2017-18 (3-0).
- Danny Ings has scored 50% of Southampton’s six Premier League goals this season – only Wilfried Zaha (60% for Crystal Palace) has scored a higher share of his team’s goals in the English top-flight in 2018-19.
WATFORD V HUDDERSFIELD
3pm Watford got back to winning ways last weekend when beating Wolves 2-0 away from home – a nice bounce back after going five games without a win. They look like they could battle for a Europa League spot at the moment; however they have to be more consistent than they were last season. Huddersfield have had a very tough start to the season; and like Newcastle they are nine games without a win. They sit in 19th position; only one point above Newcastle. They have managed to draw two of their last three away games – something to think about before committing to backing Watford at odds on and Huddersfield have an excellent record against Watford too. Perhaps Watford will win this one; but they look simply too short at 1.78 and from a value point of view we have to lay them at those odds. We expect a closer game than those odds suggest.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Watford at 1.78.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWatHdd
MATCH STATS
- Watford lost both of their Premier League matches against Huddersfield Town last season, including a 1-4 defeat at Vicarage Road.
- Huddersfield have won four of their last five league matches against Watford (L1), with two of those victories coming at Vicarage Road by the same scoreline (4-1 in May 2014 and December 2017).
- There have been three red cards shown in the last two league meetings between Watford and Huddersfield at Vicarage Road (two for Watford, one for Huddersfield).
- Huddersfield Town have won just one of their last 19 Premier League matches (W1 D7 L11), but this came against Watford. They defeated the Hornets 1-0 at home thanks to an injury time goal from Tom Ince.
- Huddersfield Town have won just three games and 16 points in their 23 Premier League away matches (W3 D7 L13) – one of these came at Vicarage Road (1-4 in December 2017). They are yet to beat a team away from home more than once in the competition.
- Watford have won seven of their 12 Premier League home matches under manager Javi Gracia (W7 D2 L3), but they have lost their last two at Vicarage Road: 1-2 versus Manchester United on MD5 and 0-4 to Bournemouth on MD8.
- Huddersfield Town have failed to score in 55.3% of their Premier League games (26 of
47); the highest share in the competition’s history. - Only in 1982-83 (17 pts), a season in which they finished 2 nd , have Watford won more points after the first nine games of a top-flight season than they have in 2018-19 (16).
- Watford striker Troy Deeney has scored six league goals against Huddersfield Town – only against Leeds United (7) has he scored more in his career. He was sent off after 33 minutes in this exact fixture last season, however.
- Two of Aaron Mooy’s four Premier League goals were scored in Huddersfield’s 4-1 win at Watford last season.
LEICESTER V WEST HAM
5.30pm West Ham had a tricky start to the season but they’re only three places behind Leicester in the table now and this should be an interesting tie to end the day. Leicester always tend to perform better at home compared to away from home and West Ham come into this clash with a poor away record – they have lost seven of their last ten away Premier League games. Leicester performed well on Monday night against Arsenal and they were unlucky to lose the game 3-1 – they have yet to actually draw a game this season! Both sides seem a little bit lacking in discipline thus far this season so we can see an open game here – with over 2.5 goals trading 2.06 that looks like the best value option in this clash.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 2.06.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLeiWhm
MATCH STATS
- Leicester have lost just one of their last seven Premier League games against West Ham (W4 D2) – but that defeat was in the most recent meeting in May 2018.
- West Ham haven’t won back to back away league matches against Leicester since April 1997, when they had a run of four wins at Filbert Street.
- Eight of Leicester’s last nine Premier League goals against West Ham have been scored in the first half.
- West Ham have lost seven of their last 10 away games in the Premier League (W2 D1), although one of those victories came against Leicester last season (2-0).
- Leicester lost their last home Premier League game against Everton – they haven’t lost consecutive PL matches at the King Power Stadium since September 2017 after losing to Chelsea and Liverpool.
- Leicester have lost two consecutive Premier League games for the fifth time in their last 16 outings – they last lost three or more in a row in February 2017 at the end of Claudio Ranieri’s tenure (5).
- West Ham have lost more points from winning positions than any other Premier League team this season (6).
- Since a run of three successive Premier League clean sheets in January, Leicester have kept just four in the following 23 games, conceding 43 goals – no other ever-present PL side have recorded fewer shutouts or conceded more in this period).
- Leicester boss Claude Puel has lost both of his home Premier League matches against West Ham, losing 3-1 in February 2017 with Southampton and 2-0 with the Foxes last season.
- Leicester’s James Maddison (18) has created more goalscoring chances in the Premier League this season than any other English player, with the Foxes playmaker providing two assists in the process.
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