PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: We preview Sunday’s Premier League matches with recommended BETDAQ bets and extended match stats. NEWCASTLE V WOLVES, ARSENAL V CRYSTAL PALACE, NORWICH V MANCHESTER UNITED and highlight of Super Sunday LIVERPOOL V TOTTENHAM.
NEWCASTLE V WOLVES
2pm We have a very interesting Super Sunday ahead and we kick off with Newcastle hosting Wolves. Newcastle were able to beat Manchester United 1-0 in their last home game, however they still sat in the bottom three at the start of this weekend’s fixture. Apart from a few brief moments, they have been very poor in general and given how bad Manchester United have been away from home; we can’t read too much into that win either. Wolves started their season poorly, but they have massively turned things around in the last few weeks.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Newcastle 3.15, Wolves 2.68 and the draw is 3.15. Wolves come into this game off the back of three straight away wins in all competitions, two in the Europa League and the other coming against Manchester City. They have found form and although we can expect a tight game here with Newcastle keeping the scores low; Wolves look great value at 2.68. They have been grinding out wins, which is just the style you need to beat Newcastle. Under 2.5 goals is tempting but it’s only 1.6 and Wolves at 2.68 makes the most appeal.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Wolves to beat Newcastle at 2.68.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQnewwol
MATCH STATS
- Newcastle have only lost one of their eight Premier League meetings with Wolves (W2 D5), with both wins against them coming in 2011 under Alan Pardew (April and October).
- Wolves scored a 90th minute goal in both league meetings with Newcastle last season, with those goals earning them a 2-1 win at St James’ Park and a 1-1 draw at Molineux.
- Newcastle have won seven of their last 12 home Premier League matches (W7 D2 L3), as many as they’d won in their previous 25 at St James’ Park.
- This is Wolves’ 100th away Premier League game, winning just 16 of their previous 99 (W16 D29 L54). Two other teams have played their 100th away match at Newcastle and both lost – Sunderland in October 2005 and Watford in November 2018.
- Although only two teams have collected fewer home points in the Premier League this season than Newcastle (5), the Magpies have conceded fewer home goals than any other side (2).
- Wolves haven’t won consecutive away top-flight games in the same season since the 1980-81 campaign, when they beat Leeds United and Sunderland in March and April.
- Newcastle haven’t scored more than once in any of their last nine Premier League games (five goals), last having a longer run between February and April 2015 under John Carver (10 games).
- Since the start of last season, Raúl Jiménez has been involved in 25 Premier League goals for Wolves (16 goals, 9 assists), 10 more than any other player.
- Newcastle’s 19-year-old midfielder Matty Longstaff has completed 90 minutes in their last two Premier League games – in their previous 349 top-flight games, only one teenager completed 90 minutes in a match (Haris Vuckic vs West Brom in December 2011).
- 12 of Wolves’ last 14 Premier League goals have been scored in the second half of games – they have scored in the first half of just two of their last 11 Premier League matches (two goals).
ARSENAL V CRYSTAL PALACE
4.30pm Arsenal had an eventful Thursday night in the Europa League here! They went behind twice, only to come back and win 3-2. Say what you want about Arsenal, but their games are entertaining. Perhaps that’s not what Arsenal fans want to hear – again they have leaked goals and looked bad when put under pressure. They usually find a way to win at home though, which unfortunately there still looking for a template to win away from home when things get tough.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Arsenal 1.51, Crystal Palace 7.2 and the draw is 4.9. Palace have been playing some good football this season and grinding out results. They sat in sixth position in the table prior to the weekend fixtures, just one point behind Arsenal in fifth. They have come up short against the big sides though; losing 2-0 to Manchester City and 4-0 to Spurs – who have been poor this season. Arsenal at home are a lot more reliable than Arsenal away and the 1.51 on a home win here looks good value – we’re happy to back that.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Arsenal to beat Crystal Palace at 1.51.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQarscry
MATCH STATS
- Arsenal have lost two of their last five league meetings with Crystal Palace (W2 D1), as many as they had in their first 33 such games against the Eagles (W22 D9 L2).
- Crystal Palace are looking to secure back-to-back wins against Arsenal in all competitions for the first time.
- Arsenal have never failed to score in 19 home league games against Crystal Palace – they’ve faced the Eagles more often without ever failing to score at home than they have against any other side in their top-flight history.
- Arsenal have scored at least twice in each of their last 12 home league London derbies (W9 D2 L1), though they are winless in their last two (2-3 vs Crystal Palace, 2-2 vs Spurs).
- Following a 2-1 win at West Ham in their last such game, Crystal Palace are looking to win back-to-back away Premier League London derbies for the first time since November 1997. Indeed, the Eagles have won two of their last three derby matches on the road (L1), as many as they had in their previous 15 (W2 D3 L10).
- Arsenal haven’t lost a home league game in October since 2002 (1-2 vs Blackburn), winning 25 and drawing five since. It’s their joint-longest unbeaten home run in a single month in Premier League history (also 30 in March between 1998 and 2015).
- Arsenal manager Unai Emery hasn’t lost back to back home league matches against an opponent since 2013, when he lost against Atlético de Madrid in April and August as Sevilla manager in LaLiga.
- Crystal Palace’s Luka Milivojevic has scored more Premier League goals against Arsenal than he has against any other side in the competition, netting four goals in five games against the Gunners.
- Since February 2018, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored 26 Premier League goals in games played on Sunday – no player has scored more on a day of the week in that time (Mo Salah, 26 goals on Saturday).
- Crystal Palace have won their last three away Premier League matches against teams starting the day in the top-five of the league, beating Arsenal in April, Man Utd in August and West Ham in October this year.
LIVERPOOL V TOTTENHAM
4.30pm This is undoubtedly the highlight of the weekend! We have a repeat of the Champions League Final as league leaders Liverpool host Spurs. Liverpool’s winning run came to an end last weekend at the hands of Manchester United; however Liverpool will argue that they were a little unlucky with VAR and bossed the game. Spurs finally got a much needed win midweek in the Champions League, but they have been very poor in the Premier League and Liverpool should get back to winning ways here.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Liverpool 1.57, Tottenham 6.8 and the draw is 4.6. Liverpool have made Anfield a fortress in recent times and given how many goals Spurs have been conceding this season, a Liverpool win here looks massive at 1.57. It looks like an absolute banker for your BETDAQ Multiples this weekend and it’s the best bet of the weekend in the Premier League. Liverpool will totally outclass and outscore this Spurs side based on everything we’ve seen this season.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool to beat Tottenham at 1.57.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQlivtot
MATCH STATS
- Liverpool have lost just one of their last 13 Premier League meetings with Tottenham (W8 D4), going down 1-4 at Wembley in October 2017.
- Tottenham are winless in their last eight away league games against Liverpool (D3 L5), last winning at Anfield in May 2011 (2-0), thanks to goals from Rafael van der Vaart and Luka Modric.
- Liverpool won both league meetings with Spurs last season, and also beat them 2-0 in the Champions League final. They last won four in a row against them between 2013-2015 (a run of five).
- This will be Tottenham’s 25th Premier League game away from home against a side starting the day top of the table – they won their first such match (2-0 at Blackburn in November 1992), but are winless in their subsequent 23 games (D3 L20).
- Liverpool have lost just one of their last 48 games in the Premier League (W39 D8 L1), losing 1-2 vs Man City in January 2019. At Anfield, the Reds are unbeaten in 44 Premier League contests (W34 D10), last losing against Sam Allardyce’s Crystal Palace in April 2017 (1-2).
- Liverpool have won each of their last 11 Premier League games at Anfield – they last embarked upon a longer winning run at home in the top-flight during a 13-game streak between April and November 1985.
- Tottenham are without a win in their last 10 Premier League away games (D2 L8), including a 1-2 defeat to Liverpool in March. The Lilywhites last endured a longer such run between May 2000-January 2001 under George Graham (14 games).
- Between them, Sadio Mané (17), Mohamed Salah (12) and Roberto Firmino (7) have scored 69% of Liverpool’s last 52 home league goals. The last time neither of the three scored for the Reds at Anfield in a league game was December 2018 (1-0 vs Everton via Divock Origi).
- Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has scored six goals in his last eight starts against Spurs across all competitions, with four of those coming while playing for the Merseyside club (also one each for Basel and Fiorentina).
- Tottenham’s Harry Kane has been directly involved in seven goals in nine Premier League appearances against Liverpool (5 goals, 2 assists). However, Kane failed to score in both of his PL games against Liverpool last season, after netting three goals in two games against them in 2017-18.
NORWICH V MANCHESTER UNITED
4.30pm Manchester United finally got themselves an away win in the Europa League on Thursday night, and after a draw with Liverpool at the weekend maybe things are improving for United. The jury is still most definitely out though and this will be another tough test for them away from home. It’s been eight Premier League away games now without a win for United, and they have lost five of those. With stats like that, it’s hard to back them – especially at odds on.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Norwich 4.5, Manchester United 1.85 and the draw is 4.0. Norwich came into this weekend sitting 19th in the Premier League with only seven points from nine games – however they shocked everyone when they managed to beat Manchester City here recently. United should really be beating sides like Norwich, but we can’t have them at 1.85. Newcastle equally had a poor record prior to beating United. You just can’t trust United away from home at the moment and at odds of 1.85, we have to lay them.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester United at 1.85.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQnormun
MATCH STATS
- None of the last 12 Premier League meetings between Norwich and Man Utd have finished level, with Norwich winning three and losing nine, since a 2-2 draw in December 1993.
- Manchester United have won six of their eight Premier League away games against Norwich, losing at Carrow Road in April 2005 and November 2012. Their last two visits there have finished in 1-0 wins.
- Norwich could become the first promoted side to win a Premier League game against both Manchester clubs in the same season since both Wolves and Portsmouth did so in 2003-04.
- Manchester United are winless in eight Premier League away games (D3 L5), their longest such run in the top-flight since a streak of 11 between February-September 1989. They’ve also failed to score more than once in any of these eight games, their longest such run since May 1987 (11 games).
- Manchester United’s next goal will see them become the first team in Premier League history to score 2000 goals in the competition.
- 23 of Norwich City’s last 25 Premier League goals have been scored in home games, a run stretching back to January 2016.
- Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has handed five players their Premier League debuts for Manchester United (Garner, Chong, Greenwood, James, Williams), with those players aged, on average, just 19 years and 38 days on their debuts.
- Norwich’s Teemu Pukki was involved in eight goals in his first five Premier League games (6 goals, 2 assists) – since then, he has failed to score or assist in any of his last four games.
- Manchester United have lost their last two Premier League matches against newly-promoted sides, losing to Wolves and Cardiff last season. They haven’t lost three top-flight games in a row against sides newly-promoted that season since November 1960.
o - Norwich City’s four Premier League games at Carrow Road this season have seen 20 goals scored (9 for, 11 conceded), two more than any other team in home Premier League games this season.
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