PREMIER LEAGUE TUESDAY: We preview Tuesday’s Premier League action with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats for each game. Match of the night is CHELSEA v ARSENAL kicking off at 8.15pm.
ASTON VILLA V WATFORD
7.30pm The Premier League fixture just keep on coming! We have FA Cup action at the weekend, so we have a full Premier League fixture list midweek to enjoy and we kick things off with a huge game towards the bottom of the table. The results at the weekend really brought a lot of sides closer together – we now have just three points between 15th and 19th, with a further three to Norwich. Everything is to play for, and games like this are really massive. Watford have been on a great run lately and have pulled themselves out of the bottom three. They are only one point ahead of Aston Villa though and a loss here would put them back into 18th. Watford come into this game in excellent form and are only going one way in the table. We’re very happy to lay Villa at 3.0 and have the draw and Watford win on our side to start the evening.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Aston Villa at 3.0.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQastwat
MATCH STATS
- Aston Villa have lost their last three Premier League meetings with Watford, having been unbeaten in their first four such games against the Hornets (W3 D1).
- Watford have scored three goals in each of their last three Premier League games against Aston Villa, winning each time. They’d failed to score in any of their first four against them in the competition (D1 L3).
- Aston Villa have kept a clean sheet in all three of their evening kick-offs at home in the Premier League this season (7pm or later), winning two and drawing one.
- Aston Villa have lost three of their last four home league games (W1), more than they had in their first seven at Villa Park this season (W3 D2 L2). They’ve shipped 13 goals in those three defeats, six more than they had in their first seven home games this term (7).
- Following their 3-0 win at Bournemouth in their last away game, Watford are looking to secure back-to-back league wins on the road for the first time since a run of three in September 2017.
- Watford are unbeaten in six Premier League games (W4 D2), keeping a clean sheet in four of them. Only once have they had a longer run without defeat in the top-flight (7 between April-May 1985).
- Watford have failed to score in a league-high 11 different Premier League games this season – one more than they did in the whole of 2018-19 (10).
- Watford’s Troy Deeney has scored five goals in his three Premier League games against Aston Villa, including two in the reverse fixture at Vicarage Road. Against no other opponent has the Watford captain scored more goals in the competition.
- As well as having the most goals (7) and assists (5) of any Aston Villa player in the Premier League this season, Jack Grealish has also had more shots (45) and created more chances (54) than any of his teammates.
- Excluding Anfield, new Aston Villa goalkeeper Pepe Reina has kept more Premier League clean sheets at Villa Park than he has at any other ground in the competition (5 in 8 games).
BOURNEMOUTH V BRIGHTON
7.30pm This is another huge game at the bottom of the table. Brighton are in 15th on 25 points and while Bournemouth are sitting in 19th, they are only five points behind. It’s fair to say that both teams have been on a poor run and if they don’t turn things around soon they will both be fighting to stay up as the season goes on. Bournemouth couldn’t be in worst form at the moment – try at an important time in the season too. They have managed just four points from their last 36 available, dropping into the bottom three and they are creating very little too. For all that Brighton have dropped a lot of points this season – they continue to try and play good football. They are scoring goals and losing points from winning positions – indeed they have lost 14 points from winning positions this season. Much like the above game, the home lay looks a cracking bet here at 3.0. Bournemouth just aren’t creating enough chances to win games at the moment.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Bournemouth at 3.0.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQboubri
MATCH STATS
- Bournemouth have won four of their last five home league meetings with Brighton (D1), winning both of their Premier League games against the Seagulls at the Vitality Stadium.
- Brighton are looking to complete the league double over Bournemouth for the first time since the 2007-08 campaign when the sides were competing in League One.
- Brighton have won only one of their 10 Premier League games against fellow south coast sides (D4 L5), though it was in their last such match – a 2-0 win against Bournemouth last month.
- Brighton have won just one of their eight Premier League games played on Tuesdays (D2 L5), losing each of the last four in a row. The Seagulls have lost all four of their away games on Tuesday in the competition.
- Bournemouth are winless in their last five Premier League home games (D1 L4) – they’ve never gone six without a home win in the competition, last doing so in October 2011 in League One.
- After keeping a clean sheet in two of their first three away league games this season, Brighton have conceded in each of their last eight on the road (W1 D1 L6).
- Bournemouth have picked up just four points from their last 36 available in the Premier League (W1 D1 L10). The Cherries have also failed to score in seven of their last nine top- flight matches, including each of the last four in a row.
- Brighton have dropped 14 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season – more than they have in any of their three campaigns in the competition (13 in both 2017-18 and 2018-19).
- Bournemouth are averaging just 10 shots per game at home in the Premier League this season – since we have such stats from 2003-04, only Reading in 2012-13 have ever averaged fewer at home in a single Premier League campaign (9.7).
- Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson is without a Premier League goal since September, failing to score with any of his last 21 shots in the competition.
CRYSTAL PALACE V SOUTHAMPTON
7.30pm This should be a very close game between two solid teams. Southampton have really turned their season around since losing 9-0 to Leicester and being in the bottom three. They are now approaching the top ten and if they continue in their form that they are in at the moment, a top ten finish looks odds on. A remarkable achievement given where they started from! It’s hard to see many goals in this game as Palace have been rock solid at the back. They even managed a draw away to Manchester City at the weekend, albeit a 2-2 scoreline which is a lot more goals than Palace games usually see! Selhurst Park is one of the lowest scoring grounds this season and with both teams rock solid at the back, we like unders here. Under 2.5 goals looks ten ticks too big at 1.8 and we’re happy to back that.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Under 2.5 goals at 1.8.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcrysou
MATCH STATS
- Crystal Palace have lost four of their last six Premier League home games against Southampton (W2), including each of the last two without scoring.
- Since their return to the top-flight in 2012, Southampton have won more Premier League games against Crystal Palace than they have vs any other side (8).
- After a run of three consecutive home league defeats, Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last four at Selhurst Park (W2 D2), coming from behind to win (1) or draw (2) in each of the last three.
- Away from home, Southampton have won just one of their last 14 evening kick-offs in the Premier League (7pm or later), beating Swansea 1-0 in May 2018 under Mark Hughes (D6 L7).
- Southampton are looking to win four consecutive away games for only the second time in Premier League history, last doing so in February 2015.
- Crystal Palace’s last four Premier League games have been draws – the last team to draw five in a row in the competition were West Ham in December 2015, while the last team to have five score draws consecutively were West Brom (May 2003-August 2004).
- Southampton have won 61% of their Premier League points in away games this season (17/28), the highest such ratio in the division.
- All 48 Premier League goals in Crystal Palace’s matches this season have been from inside the box (F22 A26) – the only side whose games haven’t seen a goal scored from outside the area so far.
- Southampton striker Shane Long has scored in 50 Premier League games, one of only 81 players to do so. Among those 81, Long has lost the highest percentage of the games he’s scored in (34% – 17 out of 50).
- Cenk Tosun scored on his first Premier League start for Crystal Palace against Manchester City; the only player to score in his first two starts in the competition for the Eagles was Bakary Sako in August 2015.
EVERTON V NEWCASTLE
7.30pm This should be another very close game, between two evenly matched sides. They sit in 11th and 12th in the table, both on 29 points. Both sets of fans have had their moments of anger this season and we’ve seen changes at both clubs – the reality is that they are both midtable clubs these days and it’s hard to see that changing anytime soon. Everton have improved under Ancelotti and Newcastle have had some shock results against the bigger clubs this season, but both still drop points when they shouldn’t. You have to feel that home advantage will play a big part here – Everton are definitely a better side in front of their own fans and they have a good long-term record against Newcastle, only losing three of their last 16 Premier League meetings. At 1.57 though, Everton look more than a little short for backing. It’s likely they will get the job done here but 1.57 is simply too short and from a value point of view, we have to be against those odds. It’s the least confident tip of the evening, but we fully expect a much closer game than 1.57 suggests.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Everton at 1.57.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQevenew
MATCH STATS
- Everton have won 11 of their last 16 Premier League meetings with Newcastle (D2 L3) – more than they had in their first 33 against them in the competition (W10 D8 L15).
- Everton have lost just one of their last 15 home league games against Newcastle (W10 D4), going down 0-1 in September 2010.
- Everton are unbeaten in their last four home league games (W3 D1), keeping a clean sheet in each of their last three.
- Away from home, Newcastle have won two of their last three evening kick-offs in the Premier League (7pm or later), more than they had in their previous 21 such games in the competition (W1 D6 L14).
- Newcastle have won just three of their last 31 Premier League away games against the six ever-present sides (D3 L25), with all three of those victories coming against Spurs.
- Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti has never lost a home Premier League game against a team starting the day in the bottom-half on 19 previous occasions (W15 D4) – two of those winless games were against the Toffees, while one was against Newcastle in May 2011 as Chelsea manager.
- The two teams with the highest percentage of headed goals in the Premier League this season are Everton (38%) and Newcastle (32%).
- Everton striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored six of Everton’s last nine Premier League goals; Calvert-Lewin has nine Premier League goals this season and could become only the second Englishman in the last 13 seasons to score 10 league goals in a season for Everton, along with Wayne Rooney in 2017-18.
- Newcastle manager Steve Bruce inflicted Carlo Ancelotti’s heaviest home defeat of his entire managerial career in November 2010, winning 3-0 with Sunderland at Chelsea – however, the Italian has won his other four games against Bruce.
- Newcastle’s Allan Saint-Maximin registered his first Premier League assist against Chelsea – the Magpies have won 64% of their league games when he’s started this season (P11 W7 D2 L2), compared to just 8% when he hasn’t started (P12 W1 D3 L8).
SHEFFIELD UNITED V MANCHESTER CITY
7.30pm Manchester City dropped more points at the weekend at home to Crystal Palace and one has to wonder how long before Guardiola has had enough. City started at 1.11 on BETDAQ to win that game, and it’s fair to say that short odds backers of City have been well and truly burnt this season. These sides met recently in Manchester with City running out 2-0 winners. That scoreline doesn’t tell the full story though as Sheffield United were very unlucky – they had a high expected goals and VAR decisions against them that day. Sheffield United have been excellent this season and sit just outside the top six at the moment, we make City too short here at their current 1.42. They just haven’t played good enough this season to justify the odds that they have been going off at. We’ve seen them concede too many goals and with Sheffield United’s attacking flair, they can get a result here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester City at 1.42.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQshemci
MATCH STATS
- Sheffield United have faced Man City more often without victory in the Premier League than they have versus any other side (7 – D3 L4).
- Man City are looking to win three consecutive away league games against Sheffield United for the first time since a run of four between 1905 and 1908.
- Manchester City have won each of their last five Premier League games in Yorkshire, as many as they had in their previous 20 in the county in the top-flight (W5 D6 L9).
- Man City lost their last evening kick-off in the Premier League, 2-3 against Wolves. They’ve not lost consecutive games kicking off at 7pm or later in the competition since April 2007.
- Sheffield United have won just one of their last 15 league games against reigning top-flight champions (D3 L11), losing their last five in a row without scoring. Their only victory in that run was at home to Leeds in April 1993 (2-1).
- Manchester City have kept just two clean sheets in their last 13 Premier League games, with one of those against Sheffield United at the Etihad.
- Three of Sheffield United’s six Premier League defeats this season have come against teams starting the day in the top-three of the division, losing all three without scoring.
- Manchester City have scored 33 away Premier League goals in 11 games on the road this season at an average of three per game – in English top-flight history, only one team have averaged more goals per game away from home in a season, with Preston North End scoring 35 in 11 games in 1888-89 (3.2 on average).
- Sheffield United midfielder John Fleck has scored five league goals this season – his most in a single season in English football. His five goals this campaign are more than he managed in 86 appearances across 2017-18 and 2018-19 for the Blades (four).
- Manchester City striker Sergio Agüero has scored five goals in two Premier League appearances in January – one more than he managed in 11 appearances this season across September, October, November and December (four goals).
CHELSEA V ARSENAL
8.15pm The London Derby! Undoubtedly the highlight of the Premier League fixtures this weekend. We seen these two meet recently when Arsenal threw away a 1-0 lead in the last ten minutes, eventually losing the game. They have improved under Arteta but they are still totally untrustworthy away from home and he hasn’t given them a backbone under pressure yet. Chelsea had a surprise 1-0 loss away to Newcastle at the weekend, but Arsenal aren’t without a win in two games against Crystal Palace and Sheffield United.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Chelsea 1.83, Arsenal 4.8 and the draw is 4.0. After seeing the sides play at the Emirates, Chelsea look worth backing here at 1.83. That game could barely have gone better for Arsenal until the last ten minutes but Chelsea still won. Add this to the fact that Arsenal are a very poor side away from home. Chelsea are a confident selection at the odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Chelsea to beat Arsenal at 1.83.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQchears
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea are looking to complete the Premier League double against Arsenal for the fifth time (2005-06, 2009-10, 2012-13 and 2015-16). Only Liverpool (5) and Man Utd (5) have done this against the Gunners on as many as five occasions.
- Arsenal are winless in their last seven Premier League away games against Chelsea (D1 L6) since winning 5-3 in October 2011. However, no team has won more Premier League away games at Stamford Bridge than the Gunners (7).
- This will be the ninth time Chelsea and Arsenal have met in a Premier League match kicking off at 7pm or later – six of the previous eight have been drawn, with Chelsea winning 1-0 in March 1993 and Arsenal winning 3-1 in December 2010.
- In all competitions, Chelsea have lost six home games this season – they last lost more at Stamford Bridge in a single campaign back in 1994-95 (7).
- Arsenal have won just one of their last 10 away Premier League games (D6 L3), though they are unbeaten in their last five on the road (W1 D4).
- Chelsea have already lost as many Premier League games this season as they did during the entirety of last season under Maurizio Sarri (eight defeats).
- Arsenal have dropped 13 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, with more than half of these coming since Mikel Arteta was appointed manager in December (7).
- In all competitions, Arsenal’s Gabriel Martinelli has scored nine goals in 10 starts for the club. Martinelli is looking to become the first 18-year-old to score in consecutive Premier League matches for the Gunners since Nicolas Anelka in January 1998.
- Frank Lampard is looking to become the first English Chelsea manager to do the league double against Arsenal since Dave Sexton in 1969-70.
- Only Norwich City (6,245) have given more Premier League minutes to players aged 21 or younger this season than Chelsea (5,736) and Arsenal (4,091).
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