14-1 SHOT SUSSEX NATIONAL SECOND: Daqman added to his lead over Pricewise with a winning bet in the Sussex National yesterday, when top-weight Tommie Beau was a gallant second at 14-1 to land him the place part of his win-50 w/p bull’s-eye bet. The scores are now 20-7.
Sunday
WON (2nd w/p) 14-1 TOMMIE BEAU (Sussex National)
Saturday
WON 7-2 CARRIGEEN CASTLE from BETDAQ 8.3
WON 2-7 HANDSTANDS (Daq Multiples)
WHERE THE WINNERS COME FROM: Daqman has another outsider today, this time at 21.0 ante-post on the BETDAQ Sportsbook, in the first of his Cheltenham Festival stats tests: See How They Won.
21.0 CHELTENHAM ANTE-POST
👀 SEE HOW THEY WON: Sorry to lose the Grade 1 at Naas yesterday, when I fancied Chapeau de Soleil’s stamina might kick in and secure a place for him on the heavy ground.
He would have been facing An Tobar, Croke Park, Firefox and Ile Atlantique over 2m 4f.
These are the very same horses he is set to meet in the Bingham Novices Hurdle over a furlong further on the Wednesday of Cheltenham or the Albert Bartlett (3m) on the Friday.
They – none of them – have been seen in the last 97 days or more, and I expect them to be looking for another prep race. The last five Albert Barlett winners had all been out in the January or February.
None had Grade-1 form, though three of the five who would become star names had finished second in Grade 2 or Grade 3 preps, as well as taking their maidens: they were Minello Indo, Vanillier and Stay Away Fay; that’s the quality we’re looking for.
On breeding, Chapeau De Soleil looks ideal for the Albert Bartlett. The Soldier Of Fortune six-year-old has 3m and 3m 2f hurdle winners, and even a Grand National winner, down the dam’s side.
BETDAQ Sportsbook value: I took 21.0 Chapeau de Soleil this morning.
CARRY ON RUNNING
⭕ 2.25 Taunton The course survived their morning inspection but it looks a tricky card dominated by short price favourites in the earlier races.
The only race I was keen on is this two mile handicap chase where Keep Running who will hopefully do just that and build on his course and distance runner-up to Dr T J Eckleburg over course and distance last month.
He’s 4lb better off with that rival so has every chance of turning the half length defeat around.
Dr T J Eckleburg has since finished runner-up, also over course and distance, and has been raised 2lb by the handicapper for that defeat.
Extraordinary Man should also be competitive here. His trainer David Bridgewater with his only runner of 2024 so far when Dom Of Mary won well at Plumpton yesterday and Extraordinary Man has now seemingly improved his jumping and followed up a Hereford win with a second at Fakenham back in November. This does look a little tougher though.
GREENWICH TO GIVE THEM A MEAN TIME
⭕ 3.55 Newcastle It’s a mix of class 5 and class 6 action at Gosforth Park tonight but I have found a couple of bets.
It’s very much a case of ‘keeping the show on the road’ and we might well appreciate that given the adverse weather forecast for the rest of the week.
There’s no other jockey you would want on your side in an apprentice race than Billy Loughnane – even though his recent strike-rate (4 from 50) has dropped from the spectacular highs of last year.
He looks to have a good chance here with Greenwich who progressed in each of his starts last season and I think the handicapper has been quite generous starting him off on a mark of 60. Connections are clearly keen to get a run into him as he also holds two engagements later in the week which is always a positive factor to keep an eye on.
Van Zant got off the mark with a first win in 20 starts when winning at Wolverhampton on Boxing Day and even though only one pound higher for that success is not the sort to support at short odds on Betdaq Betting Exchange to go back to back.
I think a bigger danger may come from the Charlie Fellowes trained Fitz Perfectly who I will include as a bet. Charlie Fellowes is another trainer who had a winner yesterday and Fitz Perfectly ran her best race to date when second at Lingfield. She dominated that race and was only pegged back close home. She should be suited by the drop in distance.
⭕ 7.00 Newcastle The Caltonian looks the nap on the card in the finale.
The Linda Perratt trained runner was value for a lot more than the official two and quarter lengths he scored by last time here over the longer trip but can prove equally as effective now dropped back to the minimum.
The handicapper has predictably had his say but The Caltonian might be still ahead of the game as he looks a completely different animal on the all-weather (3 from 6) compared to the turf (0 from 10).
He should again hold Rory who was six and a half lengths behind him last time out.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
2.25 Taunton (win 10)
BET 5.5pts win KEEP RUNNING
3.55 Newcastle (both win 10)
BET 5.1pts win GREENWICH
BET 1pt win FITZ PERFECTLY
7.00 Newcastle (win 10, nap)
BET 9.9pts win THE CALTONIAN
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