SUNDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews Sunday’s games including ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL at 4.30pm – all including a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BOURNEMOUTH V NOTTINGHAM FOREST
2pm It’s a massive Super Sunday from the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! Everyone will be glued to the huge clash between Liverpool and Arsenal late on in the prime TV Sunday slot, but we have three fixtures kicking off before that at 2pm, including games involving Chlesea and Manchester United. We begin the day with Bournemouth hosting Nottingham Forest however, and after the results midweek Forest are definitely under pressure. Luton stole the headlines midweek with a 4-0 win over Brighton moving out of the relegation zone. That put Everton into the bottom three, but as we all know they have been playing pretty good football this season – obviously they are under pressure because of the ten point deduction but they seem to have a decent chance of getting points. Luton’s recent wins have definitely brought Forest into the mix; I said a few weeks ago when Luton started winning that only really Nottingham Forest could take their spot in the bottom three and I still stand by that. Obviously they got a new manager bounce with wins against Newcastle and Manchester United; six absolutely priceless points considering they start this weekend just two points away from the relegation zone now.
Forest wouldn’t have expected to pick up points midweek against Arsenal, and it’s fixtures like this that they should be targeting. However, Bournemouth have been creating a lot this season and they have had a decent record at home recently. Obviously their winning run came to an end when they bumped into Spurs and Liverpool, but you can forgive them that. The home side come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.75 with Nottingham Forest 4.9 and the draw is 4.3 at the time of writing. It’s hard to find many positives with Forest this season; their average xG created is only 0.93 which is now the second worst attacking figure in the Premier League. The only positive for Forest is that Bournemouth have been equally as bad as them at the back; both sides have the same average xG conceded of 1.58. With both sides conceding so many chances, Over 2.5 goals looks a very nice position at 1.72. Both Teams To Score is appealing too, but there’s only two ticks in the difference so I’m happy with the Overs bet at the odds.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.72 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BouNtt
CHELSEA V WOLVES
2pm Next we have Chelsea hosting Wolves. Both these sides were involved in big games midweek with Chelsea facing Liverpool and Wolves hosting Manchester United. Chelsea were hammered 4-1 by Liverpool and that’s probably reflective of where they are as a team at the moment. What once was a very competitive fixture has now become an almost routine win for Liverpool. Chelsea were a mid-table side last season and not much has changed this season. As much pressure as Erik ten Hag has got from the media at Manchester United, I feel Mauricio Pochettino has almost got off the hook for the time being. Chelsea are basically creating what they are conceding this season, and that type of performance level puts you in mid-table where Chelsea are. This is definitely a game that they should win on paper, but clearly they have struggled to win games this season. Chelsea come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.66 with Wolves 5.6 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing. The sides met on Christmas Eve – remember all the fuss made of that fixture when the fixture list came out – and Wolves managed to win 2-1.
Chelsea actually went into that game in decent form too, at the time it looked like they might be turning a corner. We saw two goals in injury time after Wolves took the lead in the 51st minute but Chelsea weren’t good enough to get a result. I would expect a better performance here with home advantage, plus Wolves have really struggled to create chances away from home this season. Their average xG created is only 1.13 away from home, but to their credit they have got a lot of points recently. They scored four against Brentford and three against Everton too! It’s hard to have confidence in Chelsea at the moment, and I can’t make the case that they should be massively shorter than their current 1.66. They have conceded so many sloppy goals this season I feel Wolves can score at some point – Both Teams To Score looks a nice position at 1.81 in what should be a game with plenty of mistakes made!
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score at 1.81 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CheWlv
MANCHESTER UNITED V WEST HAM
2pm We finish the 2pm games with Manchester United hosting West Ham. The United circus rumbled on this week with the Marcus Rashford drama and it just seems there’s never a dull moment with United these days. I have to say, once again, I thought Erik ten Hag handled this situation very well – player power has definitely ruled for too long at Old Trafford and he is working hard to change that. The reality is that Rashford has been well under par this season, and what he done in Belfast was out of order; how did he think he was going to get away with it these days when everyone has an excellent camera on their phone in their pocket! West Ham were also in action on Thursday night against Bournemouth, and they have been the most over-performing side in the Premier League this season. Their average xG created is in the bottom seven, but then they have been sitting the top six/seven for most of the season. They also have the second worst defensive figure in the Premier League, they aren’t conceding those chances and coupled with the fact they have scored more goals than they should, it’s easy to say that the Hammers have been the luckiest team in the league this season.
United come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.82 with West Ham 4.4 and the draw is 4.2 at the time of writing. As much as West Ham have had a lot of issues this season, at least they are grinding out results. That hasn’t been the case for United who have been sitting in mid-table, they’ve been playing like a mid-table side and they also have mid-table stats. They are conceding more chances than they are creating this season, and even in home games against sides that they “should” beat they’ve made life very difficult for themselves. It’s hard to have confidence in either side to be honest, but the 1.82 on United does feel short here. They’ve come back from two goals down a few times this season, and you wouldn’t be totally surprised to see something like that happen here given how many chances West Ham have been conceding. I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market here because this game screams goals. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.66 and that looks a cracking bet in what should be a very open game. I feel we’re getting so much value here it’s worth a Max Bet.
The Striker Says:
Five points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.66 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ManWhu
ARSENAL V LIVERPOOL
4.30pm We finish Super Sunday with the highlight of the weekend as Arsenal host Liverpool. What a massive game this is for both sides, and it will be absolutely fascinating to see how it plays out. Liverpool have a huge week in the title race, and they ticked the first box with a smooth win over Chelsea on Wednesday night; now comes the real challenge. They kept their five point lead over Manchester City, but City still have a game in hand and with Kevin De Bruyne back I can’t see them dropping many points! From an Arsenal point of view, this is a must win game to try and get back into the title race. They were in a great position when the sides met just before Christmas – it was a very even game and a 1-1 draw was a decent result for Arsenal away from home. After Christmas though things went pear shaped for Arsenal with losses against West Ham and Fulham and now they are going to start this game a five points behind Liverpool, and unlike City they don’t have a game in hand either. A win for Arsenal would be a cracking result for Manchester City, there’s no doubt about that, but Arsenal won’t care about that, they have to win to close the gap themselves. As things stand, a win for Liverpool would really knock Arsenal out of the title race which sounds dramatic but I couldn’t see them closing that gap. What a massive game then!
Arsenal come into the game as favourites at 2.36 with Liverpool 3.15 and the draw is 3.8 at the time of writing. Both sides have obviously been exceptional this season and it’s hard to pick holes in either of them. Both sides have an average xG created in the top three this season along with Manchester City, but Liverpool do have a relatively big attacking edge. Only Arsenal and Manchester City are conceding an average xG of under 1.0 this season though, so basically the difference between what Liverpool are creating is the difference between what Arsenal are conceding. From that point of view, even with home advantage, I feel the 2.36 on Arsenal is a little too short here. Liverpool have been playing some exceptional football recently and they put Chelsea to the sword on Wednesday night too. The 3.15 on Liverpool is a tempting bet, but with so little between the sides just before Christmas it’s not a bad position to have the draw on our side too so I prefer the Arsenal lay at 2.36.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Arsenal to beat Liverpool at 2.36 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ArsLvp
