THE EDGE: The Edge previews the 3rd ODI between ENGLAND v AUSTRALIA with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
England v Australia 3rd ODI
MATCH OVERVIEW:
Australia have an early chance to win the ODI series on BETDAQ Betting Exchange as they do battle with England again on Tuesday. Australia have looked the much better side so far this tour, and it’s been more-or-less plain sailing as they took a 2-0 lead at the weekend. England fans might have thought they had a decent chance at chasing down 270, but those hopes were quickly put to bed when Australia had them 65/5 within the first ten overs. Much like the 1st ODI; England might have thought they were in a good position with 315 runs on the board before Australia made it look well short chasing it down with six overs to spare.
Apart from the Liam Livingstone knock in the 2nd T20; Australia have looked a level above this England side. It’s hard to be too harsh on England – they are without their usual captain Jos Buttler through, and they also have a number of players missing through injury and rotation given this series was schedule to start the day after the Test series with Sri Lanka. The ECB have made it clear Jofra Archer will be “managing his workload” this series, and he was left out of the 2nd ODI. I would suggest he’ll play this time, and England dearly need him in their bowling attack against an in-form Australian batting line-up.
England have a number of areas to improve on – they need a better start from the openers, mainly because once their middle order is exposed early that brings problems. We saw that at the weekend in Leeds. From an Australian point of view, they have an excellent chance to win the series quickly and then perhaps give a few guys a chance in the final two ODI’s. It’s a big game for England!
WEATHER AND PITCH WATCH:
We’re deep into September now, so it’s wise to always have an eye on the radar. The weather forecast for Tuesday isn’t great at the moment. Obviously things can change before Tuesday, but it looks like we might have issues in the second innings as the rain arrives late. As things stand, it looks like showers but obviously the big question is how long they last and how quickly the ground staff can get the ground ready to play. I’d definitely keep an eye on the radar as the day goes on; we’re more than likely going to have a Duckworth Lewis situation in the chase. Last time we had an ODI at the Riverside ground, South Africa scored 333/5 to win by 62 runs back in 2022.
RECOMMENDED BET:
We have landed two nice bets on Australia so far this series, and I haven’t seen any reason to change tactics here. Especially considering the price hasn’t really moved for Australia – the largest price they were going into a game was the 3rd T20 when the market knew to expect a lot of rain, and if we did get a game it would have been five overs a side. I was happy to have a confident bet on Australia at the weekend, but I feel I’m happy to reduce stakes here given the dodgy weather forecast expected in the second innings. I still feel the 1.65 on Australia is good value, but you’d want to have low stakes before the off here, and possibly look to add to the position in-running.
The Edge Says:
One point win Australia to beat England at 1.65 Betdaq Exchange
View the market here -> https://betdaq.biz/EnlAus3
IN-RUNNING STRATEGY:
The in-running strategy could get very interesting here with the forecast. As I mentioned above, it looks like if we get rain it will arrive in the second innings which is obviously the innings that moves the market a lot! It does without saying here to keep an eye on the radar, because that’s likely to bring a lot of opportunities in this game. In terms of the teams, you’d want to support the Aussie batting again as they have been in superb touch – hopefully they bat first – and I’m also happy to take on the England middle order again.
